Weekend Thread: Weekend Actuals - Spider-Man FFH $45.35M | Toy Story 4 $20.95M | CRAWL $12.01M | STUBER $8.23M | Yesterday $6.70M | Aladdin 6.17M

[Curtis1986]

Yawn. Bring on the king

[LonePirate]

So who here had Aladdin with the same number of consecutive days above $1M as Black Panther? Anyone? Bueller? Bueller?

[RamblinRed]

14 minutes ago, Ms Lady Hawk said:

https://deadline.com/2019/07/spider-man-far-from-home-crawl-stuber-weekend-box-office-1202645451/

 

Deadline being Deadline as is the case most weekends. No way FFH makes only 40M. Try 47-50M.

 

2nd Update, Friday Midday: In the wake of Sony’s Spider-Man: Far From Home, and heading into the colossal Lion King, counterprogramming remains the freshest stuff on the marquee, but it’s not king. Paramount’s Sam Raimi-alligator production Crawl is seeing $4.5M-$5M today (including $1M from last night) for a 3rd place start between $11M-$12M at 3,170 locations.

Paramount

Disney/Fox’s R-rated action comedy Stuber with $3M-$3.5M today and $7.5M-$9M for the weekend at 3,050 is far worse in 4th place. Far From Home, as expected, has No. 1 in its web with around $40M, -56% for a running total of $269.2M by Sunday at 4,634 theaters.

i would expect these estimates to go up as the weekend goes on. FFH needs to get to at least 45M this weekend. Anything less would be a minor disappointment imo.

 

Not surprised about the newcomers.

[keysersoze123]

Holdover numbers this early is useless. Let us wait until evening and Charlie should give update on friday numbers.

 

Openers should be fairly accurate. Though for small openers small change will have big impact.

[Ms Lady Hawk]

https://variety.com/2019/film/news/box-office-spider-man-far-from-home-crawl-stuber-1203265987/

 

Variety has FFH at 37M. It is same as Deadline for TS4. Yes, best to wait for the Asgardians. 

[Krissykins]

Oooh phew, that would be solid for Crawl ($13m budget) and in line with tracking ($10-12m). 

 

Just saw Annabelle Comes Home and it rocked. 

[AlexMA]

Yeah those extremely early numbers are bull, we'll get a much better idea of what's what in a couple hours.

 

But how about Aladdin, right? And no, absolutely not a single soul saw that coming, Aladdin having as many consecutive days over $1 million as Black Panther or The Avengers. And if you had told any of us that 2 months ago you'd go straight into the loony bin.

 

And now it just needs to beat Yesterday to have 8 consecutive weekends in the top 5, Black Panther's equal in that department (Avengers had to settle for "only" 6 weeks). What a wild run this has been and it's still going strong on its way to $350 million in North America and over $1 billion worldwide.

[a2k]

hmm...FFH needed just 34.4% bump on Fri to hit 12.0

 

12 (+34.4%) // +53.4% SMH

16 (+33.4%) // +29.1%

12 (-25%) // -26.1%

= 40

 

Don't think below that is possible in any case with low competition and strong reception.

 

Feel like with TS4's 1st 2 weekend and FFH's ow, the usual thing will continue. By late Sun we could be seeing a 42-43 weekend if nothing more.

Edited July 12, 2019 by a2k

[Davidwested]

11 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Oooh phew, that would be solid for Crawl ($13m budget) and in line with tracking ($10-12m). 

 

Just saw Annabelle Comes Home and it rocked. 

Annabelle Comes Home is fantastic it has some genuine scares in the roots of Conjuring, It Follows.

[TalismanRing]

It would be nice if they gave a Friday number.  It would have to jump less than 20% on Friday to make only $37m

[Geo1500]

lol I got thread banned in the lion king thread for being the only reasonable voice out there. Shame that the mods are in on the trolling around here. I have reported alot of obvious trolls like shay for derailing threads but mods want trolls around because they are trolls themselves pff I am disappointed.

 

Edited July 12, 2019 by Geo1500

[CJohn]

Reason number #95397848365893489 why Paramount is the fucking dumbest thing on Earth: hide your crowd pleasing horror pic from critics in order to make it seem it is a turd only to pull a 89% fresh tomato on RT on opening day.

[filmlover]

Crawl is actually looking to slightly beat expectations if those early numbers hold up. Tomato Law at work! @CJohn

 

Stuber is looking to be a nonstarter unsurprisingly.

[CJohn]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Crawl is actually looking to slightly beat expectations if those early numbers hold up. Tomato Law at work! @CJohn

 

I didn't plan on seeing it but now I am likely going Sunday.

[Legion Again]

37-40

[nguyenkhoi282]

34 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

37-40

Idk how they came up with those

[MovieMan89]

1 hour ago, CJohn said:

Reason number #95397848365893489 why Paramount is the fucking dumbest thing on Earth: hide your crowd pleasing horror pic from critics in order to make it seem it is a turd only to pull a 89% fresh tomato on RT on opening day.

They legit had me convinced Crawl was gonna be some 3m opening 10% disaster from the marketing (and lack thereof). Paramount ceases to be a functional studio in the modern age. Only a matter of time before they're absorbed into The Mouse, and honestly I won't even be mad about it. At least they'll be competent again. 

[MattW]

I have spiderman in the 42-44 range.  40 seems very low, but the 48-50 predictions seem way too high.

[DAJK]

My theatre got Stuber instead of Crawl (ugh). Only chance to see Crawl is if I catch a 10:00 show on my way home tonight, and even then I'd have to convince my mom to see it...

[JohnnyGossamer]

Seated for Crawl. Not enough killer gators flicks. We're out here. We want more if them.