Weekend Thread - Good Boys 21.4m OW, other openers not worth mentioning

[tawasal]

 

2 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

Irritated a slew of irrelevant releases killed Aladdin's tc over the past couple weeks. Really tragic ending for one of the best runs of the decade. Hope an LD expansion happens. 

Just a look at the movies from this decade with the best multiplier only counting their opening wide weekend. For movies that started with limited opening or had non-friday opening will have their pre - first wide friday numbers taken away from their total gross. Only looking at movies that have grossed over 200m total and over 50m opening weekend.

 

So a movie like Frozen will be 400,738,009 - 26,541,900 = 374,196,109 total gross divided with 67,391,326 opening weekend to get to a multiplier of 5.52x

 

1. Frozen - 374,196,109/67,391,326 = 5.55x

2. Gravity - 274,092,705/55,785,112 = 4.91x

3. Aquaman - 330,361,807/67,873,522 = 4.86x

4. Inception - 292,576,195/62,785,337 = 4.65x

5. Zootopia - 341,268,248/75,063,401 = 4.54x

6. Despicable Me - 251,513,985/56,397,125 = 4.45x

7. Bohemian Rhapsody - 216,428,042/51,061,119 = 4.23x

8. The Martian - 228,433,663/54,308,575 = 4.20x

9. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies - 220,712,578/54,724,334 = 4.03x

10. Ted - 218,815,487/54,415,205 = 4.02x

11. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018) - 270,620,950/67,572,855 = 4.004x

12. Wonder Woman - 412,563,408/103,251,471 = 3.99x

13. Big Hero 6 - 222,527,828/56,215,889 = 3.95x

14. Moana - 223,308,171/56,631,401 = 3.943x

15. Inside Out - 356,461,711/90,440,272 = 3.941x

16. American Sniper - 346,701,594/89,269,066 = 3.88x

17. Aladdin (2019) - 353,537,257/91,500,929 = 3.86x

18. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 936,662,225/247,966,675 = 3.77x

19. Toy Story 3 - 415,004,880/110,307,189 = 3.76x

20. The LEGO Movie - 257,760,692/69,050,279 = 3.73x

21. Despicable Me 2 - 308,503,620/83,517,315 = 3.69x

22. Despicable Me 3 - 264,624,300/72,434,025 = 3.65x

23. Finding Dory - 486,295,561/135,060,273 = 3.60x

24. Mission: Impossible - Fallout - 220,159,104/61,236,534 = 3.59x

25. Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted - 216,391,482/60,316,738 = 3.587x

26. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey - 303,003,568/84,617,303 = 3.580x 

27. Brave - 237,283,207/66,323,594 = 3.57x

28. Guardians of the Galaxy - 333,176,600/94,320,883 = 3.532x

29. The Secret Life of Pets - 368,384,330/104,352,905 = 3.530x

30. The Jungle Book (2016) - 364,001,123/103,261,464 = 3.52x

31. Toy Story 4 - 424,439,307/120,908,065 = 3.510x

32. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug - 258,366,855/73,645,197 = 3.508x

Edited August 18, 2019 by tawasal

[MovieMan89]

I agree BBTL looked super unappealing in marketing. Even though I saw the trailer a bazillion times, I never thought it looked good at all and was shocked to see that RT score this weekend. 

[BoxOfficeFangrl]

38 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I agree BBTL looked super unappealing in marketing. Even though I saw the trailer a bazillion times, I never thought it looked good at all and was shocked to see that RT score this weekend. 

To me it looked like something critics would find "heartwarming" but general audiences would struggle to care about. I'm not sure how much a Springsteen biopic would make right now, so a movie where it's about some other guy who likes his songs has an even lower ceiling. Yesterday has a similar premise but with more of a hook and surrounding an even more iconic act, still it's a modest hit at best. Mamma Mia wasn't an ABBA biopic, but had huge advantage with years as a massive stage hit before it became a movie. At least Blinded by the Light didn't cost much ($15 million budget).

 

Anyway, some British writer needs to come up with a project where Viveik Kalra and Daniel Radcliffe play long lost half brothers.

[Webslinger]

Blinded by the Light actually plays like a crowd pleaser through-and-through. Plenty of mainstream audiences would have a whole lot of fun with it if they would just give it a chance.

[filmlover]

Blinded by the Light is the latest Sundance acquisition that failed to take off. Still surprises me that studios are willing to spend so much on movies there that aren't obvious potential awards contenders but I guess it's all about claiming streaming rights these days.

[cookie]

Goods news for holdovers that the next two weeks look like death before Pennywise arrives.

[Cap]

My mother and I just got out of Blinded By The Light.  I cried the entire movie. My mother cried the entire movie.  The 50 year old man beside me cried the entire movie.  The people in front where singing along during the big dance numbers.

 

It was such a beautiful and joyous look at how music creates a universal language that helps us all correct better with each other and a strong family drama about learning to find your own voice while honoring your traditions.  I think it's the best thing (other than Endgame) I've seen this year.  It's Boss.

[CoolioD1]

the plot description for Good Boys on wikipedia seems unnecessarily long to me: threw it in the word counter and i got

 wiki plot descriptions for:

citizen kane - 655 words

lawrence of arabia - 764 words

avengers endgame - 692 words

gone with the wind - 757 words

good boys - 1790 words

[sfran43]

 

[MattW]

The end of August is always really weak, this year is completely normal.  Lining up Labor day weekend for the last few years:

 

	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019
Aug	148.106	132.091	116.918	147.302	132.166
Aug	106.62	132.091	96.488	129.469	120.084
Aug	87.831	117.321	69.312	103.631	108.155
LD Wknd 3day	90.555	100.094	77.622	99.366	90
Sept	102.512	100.848	164.041	121.114	130
Sept	112.827	90.02	112.222	109.131	105

 

Holdovers next weekend should drop between 30 and 40%, Fallen will add 10-15m, Overcomer and Ready or Not combining for up to 10m for a weekend of 90-105m, right in the middle of the range of previous years.

Labor day weekend I think holdovers will drop 15-20%, and basically just one new opener doing 5-10m, weekend total in the 80s.

 

The weekend IT opened holdovers dropped 60%, around 35m this year, plus IT2 will make it 125-150.

 

Thurs Aug 29th: 

Added Labor day and Sept predictions.

Edited August 30, 2019 by MattW

[Cooper Legion]

3 minutes ago, MattW said:

The end of August is always really weak, this year is completely normal.  Lining up Labor day weekend for the last few years:

 

	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019
Aug	148.106	132.091	116.918	147.302	132.166
Aug	106.62	132.091	96.488	129.469	118.153
Aug	87.831	117.321	69.312	103.631
LD Wknd 3day	90.555	100.094	77.622	99.366
Sept	102.512	100.848	164.041	121.114
Sept	112.827	90.02	112.222	109.131

 

Holdovers next weekend should drop between 30 and 40%, Fallen will add 10-15m, Overcomer and Ready or Not combining for up to 10m for a weekend of 90-105m, right in the middle of the range of previous years.

Labor day weekend I think holdovers will drop 15-20%, and basically just one new opener doing 5-10m, weekend total in the 80s.

 

The weekend IT opened holdovers dropped 60%, around 35m this year, plus IT2 will make it 125-150.

Jesus, I forgot how putrid 2017 was. That definitely helped Homecoming and WW with those late legs.

[terrestrial]

5 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

Jesus, I forgot how putrid 2017 was. That definitely helped Homecoming and WW with those late legs.

It helped to counter that in September 2017, Kingsman Golden Circle a bit too.

It is still by far #1 for R-rated horror, I guess it surprised at least a few with its BO results.

 

Edited August 19, 2019 by terrestrial

[Avatree]

6 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

Jesus, I forgot how putrid 2017 was. That definitely helped Homecoming and WW with those late legs.

Wonder Woman made $10 million in August, it was too late in run to have much effect.

[Cooper Legion]

3 minutes ago, Avatree said:

Wonder Woman made $10 million in August, it was too late in run to have much effect.

Yeah, raw numbers were pretty small by then. Looking at the really late legs (like, 8th weekend multipliers and whatnot) isn’t really important for actual legs since most of the money is made before the 8th weekend. It’s more of an intellectual curiosity/trivia at that point.

Edited August 19, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[Avatree]

16 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Yeah, raw numbers were pretty small by then. Looking at the really late legs (like, 8th weekend multipliers and whatnot) isn’t really important for actual legs since most of the money is made before the 8th weekend. It’s more of an intellectual curiosity/trivia at that point.

About 96% of domestic gross on most movies is made by weekend 6.

[baumer]

10 hours ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

That is a monster opening for Once Upon a Time, in both New Zealand and Australia. I think when we were doing dollar equivalents years ago, you have to multiply the number in New Zealand by 60 to get a true representation of what it would be like in North America. So that's around a 50 million dollar opening in NZ and a 60+ million dollar opening in Australia. 

[baumer]

11 hours ago, CoolioD1 said:

the plot description for Good Boys on wikipedia seems unnecessarily long to me: threw it in the word counter and i got

 wiki plot descriptions for:

citizen kane - 655 words

lawrence of arabia - 764 words

avengers endgame - 692 words

gone with the wind - 757 words

good boys - 1790 words

 

The plot description for citizen Kane should be about 10 words.

 

Story of media mogul who loves his sled. Horrible acting, dry as fuck. Cure for insomnia. Invented some movie shit. Avoid at all costs. 

 

Okay that's 24 words but you get the picture.

[Avatree]

12 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

That is a monster opening for Once Upon a Time, in both New Zealand and Australia. I think when we were doing dollar equivalents years ago, you have to multiply the number in New Zealand by 60 to get a true representation of what it would be like in North America. So that's around a 50 million dollar opening in NZ and a 60+ million dollar opening in Australia. 

don't know what metrics being used but bear in mind, the above tweet is in NZD, not USD. (USD = 1.56 NZD)

i.e. the movie opened to $0,5m

 

9 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

The plot description for citizen Kane should be about 10 words.

 

Story of media mogul who loves his sled. Horrible acting, dry as fuck. Cure for insomnia. Invented some movie shit. Avoid at all costs. 

 

Okay that's 24 words but you get the picture.

You know what's a cure for insomnia, it's your endless posts attacking citizen kane.

 

Edited August 19, 2019 by Avatree

[baumer]

I will always attack Citizen Kane.

[HeadShot]

37 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

The plot description for citizen Kane should be about 10 words.

 

Story of media mogul who loves his sled. Horrible acting, dry as fuck. Cure for insomnia. Invented some movie shit. Avoid at all costs. 

 

Okay that's 24 words but you get the picture.

citizien kane is a classic though.