NEW YEAR WEEKDAYS THREAD: New Year Day Final Trend P 26. Happy New Year.

[Madhuvan]

6 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

 

If it actually gets that close to $500 million, I can see a dedicated push by Disney to get it over. 

A sing along will make it past BatB

Edited December 31, 2019 by Madhuvan

[CJohn]

Anything under Rogue One is straight up hysterical and that is locked to happen. There is nothing boring about this.

[reddevil19]

16 minutes ago, Madhuvan said:

A sing along will make it past BatB

They should do that with TROS.

[WrathOfHan]

Y'all want an Uncut Gems forecast? 

 

Remainder of this week: 6.1M (29.3M Total)

Jan 3: 7.1M (3.7M weekdays, 40.1M Total)

Jan 10: 5.4M (2.2M weekdays, 47.7M Total)

Jan 17: 3.4M (1.7M weekdays, 52.8M Total)

Jan 24: 1.8M (500k weekdays, 55.1M Total)

Final Total: 60M (6.25x from 3 day/2.86x Total)

 

Even if this starts dropping hard after the holidays end, it should still become A24's highest grossing film.

[REC]

TROS dom under F2 dom

[Justin4125]

11 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Anything under Rogue One is straight up hysterical and that is locked to happen. There is nothing boring about this.

Rogue One was a big hit, it made more that ROTS adjusted for inflation. I don't think Disney expected a spin-off to outearn ROTS upon their acquisition of Lucasfilm. Given all that has happened to the current franchise since RO was released (including a spinoff featuring a pole character making sub 400m WW), I dont think a ~$500m dom finish is terrible, its just a wash. A big nothing, boring but certainly not laughably bad as it appears you want to make it seem

[a2k]

[Krissykins]

7 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Y'all want an Uncut Gems forecast? 

Final Total: 60M (6.25x from 3 day/2.86x Total)

 

Even if this starts dropping hard after the holidays end, it should still become A24's highest grossing film.

And all with the same cinemascore as Cats. 

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

Adam Sandler is dominating streaming and box office at the same time. Love it. 

[a2k]

Swapping JUMs and SWs to compare across the same release period:

 

2019 JUM 59.25 3-day + 251 = 310 dom

2017 SW8 220 3-day + 400 = 620 dom

 

2019 SW9 177.4 3-day + 332.5 = 510 dom

2017 JUM 52.5 5-day + 352 = 404.5 dom

Edited December 31, 2019 by a2k

[Krissykins]

What kind of theatre loss are we expecting for Cats? 2,000+ at least? 
 

No chance it even gets to $30m now. Maybe not even $25m. 

[WrathOfHan]

5 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

What kind of theatre loss are we expecting for Cats? 2,000+ at least? 
 

No chance it even gets to $30m now. Maybe not even $25m. 

Probably only 100-200 this weekend because there's only one new release and plenty of Star Wars screens to be dropped, but next weekend I'd expect 1,400-1,500+

Edited December 31, 2019 by WrathOfHan

[BoxOfficeFangrl]

8 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

What kind of theatre loss are we expecting for Cats? 2,000+ at least? 
 

No chance it even gets to $30m now. Maybe not even $25m. 

Are theater drops really bad on New Year's weekend? Hardly anything new is out. The weekend after will be brutal, plus Universal will want theaters to move on to 1917's release.

[a2k]

4 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

What kind of theatre loss are we expecting for Cats? 2,000+ at least? 
 

No chance it even gets to $30m now. Maybe not even $25m. 

25 should be locked no?

4.8 FSS took it to 17.8

3.5 Mon-Thu 21.30 cume

FSS, say 70% down to 1.45 for 22.75

Just 2.25 or 1.55x*1.45 away from 25.

You are right not locked.

[a2k]

		Movie	Distr	Gross	%YD	%LW	Thr	Per Thr	Total Gross	D
-	(2)	Jumanji: The Next Level	Sony Pictures	$8,325,000	-24%	+13%	4,227	$1,969	$183,791,805	18
-	(3)	Little Women	Sony Pictures	$4,275,000	-19%		3,308	$1,292	$33,505,000	6
-	(10)	Richard Jewell	Warner Bros.	$675,000	-26%	+23%	2,502	$270	$16,814,186	18
-	(-)	A Beautiful Day in the Ne…	Sony Pictures	$368,000	-16%	-10%	1,014	$363	$56,236,042	39
-	(-)	Playing with Fire	Paramount Pi…	$40,000	-16%	-16%	188	$213	$44,108,929	53
-	(-)	Just Mercy	Warner Bros.	$19,000	-42%		4	$4,750	$246,072	6

Edited December 31, 2019 by a2k

[Feanor]

Man, $500M for Frozen 2 would be amazing. I hope it pulls through

[Noctis]

RoTS went from $14m to $15m...

 

Bitch, are Forbes and Deadline going to be RIGHT

[cdsacken]

9 hours ago, danhtruong5 said:

Hmm.....really?

Yes especially in comparison

[Legion Again]

F2 drop looks merely okay to me. More of a 480 indicator than a 500 indicator

[cdsacken]

1 hour ago, CJohn said:

Anything under Rogue One is straight up hysterical and that is locked to happen. There is nothing boring about this.

Hysterical is losing money like Justice League or BVS. Big disappointment though.