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[marveldcfox]

Not shocked. Wom among general public is mixed. The runtime is not helping at all. Kong 2005 all over again.

Edited December 20, 2022 by marveldcfox

[JustLurking]

Yea that's not good. Oh well.

[Mulder]

That three hour and 12 minute runtime is going to hit this hard honestly.

[Ozymandias]

wow, I said 16m like 4 hours ago in the weekend thread as a joke

[Cheddar Please]

1 minute ago, Ozymandias said:

wow, I said 16m like 4 hours ago in the weekend thread as a joke

Congratulations you're a prophet

[AJG]

3 minutes ago, Mulder said:

That three hour and 12 minute runtime is going to hit this hard honestly.

There’s so much of this movie that could be trimmed and tightened up. There’s a better 2:45 movie in hidden in this excessively long film.

[M37]

5 minutes ago, Cheddar Please said:

 

Agreed, I feel like this comment from the r/boxoffice thread sums it up quite nicely

BTW 34% of the subreddit predicted >20m 

I mean, if it pre-sales like a CBM, IMs like a CBM, has a demo breakdown like a CBM, has a Monday Dec drop like a CBM … at some point it just is what it is 

 

Still a chance for some kind of turn around post-Christmas, but from what is tending towards a lower baseline, and I can’t say with high confidence that $500M is the floor here …

[Eric Loves Rey]

2 minutes ago, Ozymandias said:

wow, I said 16m like 4 hours ago in the weekend thread as a joke

Can you make a joke that I'll win the lottery and that Timothee will be my boyfriend? You know, just for funsies.

[Maggie]

Are we really trustin early deadline numbers?

[Cheddar Please]

1 minute ago, Maggie said:

Are we really trustin early deadline numbers?

Well, if they're wrong at least we'll have something to laugh at in the morning 

(My over RO locked prediction already seems to be aging like milk...)

Edited December 20, 2022 by Cheddar Please

[Menor the Destroyer]

Just now, Maggie said:

Are we really trustin early deadline numbers?

Yes. 

[interiorgatordecorator]

..........

[Ozymandias]

2 minutes ago, Cheddar Please said:

Congratulations you're a prophet

 

hell yeah i feel special

[XXR vs XXR]

Just now, Maggie said:

Are we really trustin early deadline numbers?

 

Yes. It contributes to page count and that's how the mod team gets paid. 

[Ryan Reynolds]

550m+  LOCKED

[Mulder]

1 minute ago, Maggie said:

Are we really trustin early deadline numbers?

Been a bit for me but aren't Deadline's early weekday numbers usually better vs their weekends? Also they were pretty good for Avatar 2 this weekend.

[Porthos]

Just now, Maggie said:

Are we really trustin early deadline numbers?

 

It's all fun and games, but I was literally about to make the same point.

 

On the other hand...

 

18 minutes ago, Menor Reborn said:

Yep, seems about right (comps to weekend are headed for 15.5-17 in the theaters I'm tracking). As I said in the weekend thread looks like length is winning out over PLF skew. 

 

We're probs in the right ballpark, plus or minus a bit.

[GipJo]

NA only has 67 IMAX theaters, isn't that incredibly low? China has a whopping 800+ IMAX screens. If Avatar 2 needs premium screens for legs, how much impact the lack of screen have?

[Mulder]

Just now, GipJo said:

NA only has 67 IMAX theaters, isn't that incredibly low? China has a whopping 800+ IMAX screens. If Avatar 2 needs premium screens for legs, how much impact the lack of screen have?

A lot lol. As @Porthosand a few others have been saying, the lack of PLF screens for a movie sold on "SEE IT IN THE BIGGEST BEST SCREEN POSSIBLE" might genuinely hurt this.

[Ozymandias]

are we still on track for 3-5 billies?