The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Tinalera]

Godzilla x Kong

Thurs Mar 28 Fri Mar 29 (T-4)

Toronto and Montreal Canada

 

Toronto	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	4	23	354	5719	6073	0.0582
Fri	4	38	524	8193	8717	0.0601
Montreal	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	3	18	109	3397	3506	0.0310
Fri	2	16	246	3829	4075	0.0603

[TheFlatLannister]

On 3/24/2024 at 6:59 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

G x K: The New Empire

 

Thursday 

 

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
583	4768	117356	4.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

363

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-4

(0.617x) of Dune 2 $5.74M  

(1.119x) of Ghostbusters $5.26M  

Comps average: $5.5M 

FLORIDA 

 

G x K: The New Empire

 

Thursday 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
644	5607	128867	4.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

839

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

61

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-3

(0.657x) of Dune 2 $6.11M  

(1.187x) of Ghostbusters $5.58M  

Comps average: $5.85M 

 

This was a really good day

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1

Previews(T-4) - 48429/567757 926667.77 2982 shows +4822

Friday - 50975/843140 930224.17 4430 shows +7113

 

It should hopefully have a good final 4 days. its just the kind of movie that should finish strong. 

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1

Previews(T-3) - 58668/597617 1110918.90 3196 shows +10239 

Friday - 64635/941190 1167794.51 5097 shows +13660

 

Terrific day but I expected this looking at Monday PS for past few weeks. It always seem to be huge coming out of a weekend. Let us see if the momentum continues tomorrow or is it just the Monday thing. I am thinking 8m previews is in play after this and true friday in high teens or even 20m is in play with very good walkups considering its a semi holiday and will play well with family crowd.

 

something like 8/20/21/15 - 64m OW is my prediction a this point. 

[Cmasterclay]

64m OW would be pretty great for a declining franchise that blew its last big hook on a day and date release.

Edited March 26 by Cmasterclay

[leoh]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1

Previews(T-3) - 58668/597617 1110918.90 3196 shows +10239 

Friday - 64635/941190 1167794.51 5097 shows +13660

 

Terrific day but I expected this looking at Monday PS for past few weeks. It always seem to be huge coming out of a weekend. Let us see if the momentum continues tomorrow or is it just the Monday thing. I am thinking 8m previews is in play after this and true friday in high teens or even 20m is in play with very good walkups considering its a semi holiday and will play well with family crowd.

 

something like 8/20/21/15 - 64m OW is my prediction a this point. 

I think a comparison with Dune pre sales (MTC1) would be interesting:

 

T-3 Dune Thursday previews was at 99792 (increasing +13388)

GxK:NE T-3 is -41% behind Dune T3.

• Therefore: I’d say GxK Thursday previews is gonna be around 6M (considering those 10M reported by WB)

 

T-4 Dune Friday was at 116242 (increasing +18213) 

T-4 GxK:NE is -44% behind Dune Friday T-4.

• Therefore: I’d say GxK pure Friday is gonna be around 12M (considering those 20.2M reported by WB)

 

So this would lead us to something like 6 + 12 + 18 + 14 = 50.

 

So right now, considering Dune a good comp, I’d say GxK:NE 50M-55M OW (high end considering a +10pp over Dune pace due to Easter weekend).  
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited March 26 by leoh

[Bob Train]

1 minute ago, leoh said:

I think a comparison with Dune pre sales (MTC1) would be interesting:

 

T-3 Dune Thursday previews was at 99792 (increasing +13388)

GxK:NE T-3 is -41% behind Dune T3.

• Therefore: I’d say GxK Thursday previews is gonna be around 6M (considering those 10M reported by WB)

 

T-4 Dune Friday was at 116242 (increasing +18213) 

T-4 GxK:NE is -44% behind Dune.

Therefore: I’d say GxK pure Friday is gonna be around 12M (considering those 20.2M reported by WB)

 

So this would give me something like 6 + 12 + 18 + 14 = 50

 

So right now, if we consider Dune a good comp, it seems to me GxK:FE 50M-55M OW (high end considering a +10pp over Dune pace due to Easter weekend).  

Dune had terrible walkups because people bought their PLF tickets in advance, GxK will have way better walkups because it's appealing to a more casual audience that doesn't buy in advance

[HummingLemon496]

Dune had a horrible final day or so of sales because all of the fanboys presold their tickets early, definitely a bad comp for dumb monster movie like GxK

Edited March 26 by HummingLemon496

[ReturnOfTheBoxOffice]

24 minutes ago, leoh said:

I think a comparison with Dune pre sales (MTC1) would be interesting:

 

T-3 Dune Thursday previews was at 99792 (increasing +13388)

GxK:NE T-3 is -41% behind Dune T3.

• Therefore: I’d say GxK Thursday previews is gonna be around 6M (considering those 10M reported by WB)

 

T-4 Dune Friday was at 116242 (increasing +18213) 

T-4 GxK:NE is -44% behind Dune Friday T-4.

• Therefore: I’d say GxK pure Friday is gonna be around 12M (considering those 20.2M reported by WB)

 

So this would lead us to something like 6 + 12 + 18 + 14 = 50.

 

So right now, considering Dune a good comp, I’d say GxK:NE 50M-55M OW (high end considering a +10pp over Dune pace due to Easter weekend).  
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I need this movie to over-perform just to spite you at this point.

[Porthos]

22 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire — Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-4 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	136	19691	21271	1580	7.43%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

186

 

T-4 Comps

	%		Sold T-4	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BA	83.78		216	1886		0/169	22425/24311	7.76%		4494	35.16%		7.20m
Wick 4	68.55		241	2305		0/119	14274/16579	13.90%		5448	29.00%		6.10m
Fast X	88.07		159	1794		0/179	26350/28144	6.37%		4122	38.33%		6.61m
AtSV	40.07		370	3943		0/142	18531/22474	17.54%		9744	16.22%		6.95m
RotB	93.16		195	1696		0/120	17741/19437	8.73%		9744	16.22%		8.20m
FNAF	47.91		242	3298		0/159	18168/21466	15.36%		6466	24.44%		4.93m
BOSS	140.69		108	1123		0/90	12272/13395	8.38%		2701	58.50%		8.09m
GBFE	186.76		88	846		0/142	22130/22976	3.68%		2197	71.92%		8.78m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Godzilla x Kong's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     380/7688   [4.94% sold]
Matinee:    57/2083   [2.74% | 3.61% of all tickets sold]
3D:            209/4926 [4.24% | 13.23% of all tickets sold]
PLF:          927/9733  [9.52% | 58.67% of all tickets sold]

 

 

Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire — Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-3 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	172	22066	23919	1853	7.75%

 

Total Showings Added Today	36
Total Seats Added Today	2648
Total Seats Sold Today	273

 

T-3 Comps

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BA	85.31		286	2172		0/223	27742/29914	7.26%		4494	41.23%		7.33m
Wick 4	70.00		342	2647		0/152	16697/19344	13.68%		5448	34.01%		6.23m
Fast X	90.13		262	2056		0/228	30813/32869	6.26%		4122	44.95%		6.76m
AtSV	41.56		516	4459		0/142	18015/22474	19.84%		9744	19.02%		7.21m
RotB	93.68		282	1978		0/162	21019/22997	8.60%		9744	19.02%		8.24m
FNAF	50.14		398	3696		0/220	22434/26130	14.14%		6466	28.66%		5.16m
BOSS	141.67		185	1308		0/115	13982/15290	8.55%		2701	68.60%		8.15m
GBFE	189.08		134	980		0/193	26679/27659	3.54%		2197	84.34%		8.89m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Godzilla x Kong's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      426/8226  [5.18% sold]
Matinee:     69/2252  [3.06% | 3.72% of all tickets sold]
3D:            243/5195  [4.68% | 13.11% of all tickets sold]
PLF:        1062/9733  [10.91% | 57.31% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Now late reviews are always something of a wild card, but thinking 7m+ is very very likely, and like @keysersoze123 thinks, touching 8m is a possibility.  Not sure how strong of a possibility, but I think it's def possible, again while noting the wildcard of incoming reviews/reactions.

 

For me, holding steady against Rise of the Beasts is a pretty good omen, as is gaining on Across the Spider-Verse.  Also rose slightly against Black Adam.

 

Still not bringing in Jurassic World Dominion as the extra month of pre-sales is still putting waaaaaay too much of a thumb on the scale.

 

All in all doing what it needs to.  But, as said, late-ish reviews are a wild card as always, so we'll see what Tue/Wed brings.

 

[Grand Cine]

4 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MTC1

Previews(T-3) - 58668/597617 1110918.90 3196 shows +10239 

Friday - 64635/941190 1167794.51 5097 shows +13660

 

Terrific day but I expected this looking at Monday PS for past few weeks. It always seem to be huge coming out of a weekend. Let us see if the momentum continues tomorrow or is it just the Monday thing. I am thinking 8m previews is in play after this and true friday in high teens or even 20m is in play with very good walkups considering its a semi holiday and will play well with family crowd.

 

something like 8/20/21/15 - 64m OW is my prediction a this point. 

I expect a drop stronger because of Easter , more a 45% drop but great OW overall if the projection hold

Edited March 26 by Grand Cine

[Issac Newton]

 

North America Start - $917K at 154 Theatres

 

For COMPs

Dad, I'm Sorry - $320.5K

The House Of No Man - $440.7K
 

Spoiler

$133K from UK, France, Germany, Norway, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Poland

 

1st Vietnamese Title to debut with $1M+ at Overseas (200 Theatres)

 

 

[Boxofficerules]

Winnie The Pooh: Blood And Honey 2 starts out with 100% on Rotten Tomatoes.

 

https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/winnie_the_pooh_blood_and_honey_2

[vafrow]

23 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-4, Thursday Previews 

 

Total Sales: 308

New Sales: 46

Growth: 18%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 24

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 12.8

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Late Afternoon: 74/6

Early Evening: 142/9

Late Evening: 92/9

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 18/4

Dolby 3D: 123/6
VIP: 48/5

4DX: 34/3

Regular 3D: 0/3

IMAX: 85/3

 

Comps

1.051x HG: BoSS for $6.0M

1.073x Madame Web for $6.5M

2.265x Aquaman 2 for $10.2M

Average: $7.6M

 

It went up against comps for the first time since the start, albeit marginally.

 

Still, nice to see a sign of stabilizing.

 

Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-3, Thursday Previews 

 

Total Sales: 402

New Sales: 94

Growth: 31%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 24

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 16.8

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Late Afternoon: 100/6

Early Evening: 150/9

Late Evening: 119/9

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 25/4

Dolby 3D: 121/6
VIP: 77/5

4DX: 34/3

Regular 3D: 0/3

IMAX: 109/3

 

Comps

1.245x HG: BoSS for $7.2M

1.179x Madame Web for $7.1M

2.310x Aquaman 2 for $10.4M

Average: $8.2M

 

Very strong day. I think people were waiting to come out of the weekend before making plans.

 

Up against all comps. 

[vafrow]

23 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Monkey Man, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-11, Thursday previews

 

Total Sales: 18

New Sales : 2

Growth: 13%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 2

Showtimes: 4

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 4.5

Ticket premium in effect: No

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Evening: 11/2

Late Evening: 7/2

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 16/2
Regular: 2/2

 

A couple of new sales. Just waiting to hopefully a bigger screen count come Wednesday, that will give it a boost.

 

Monkey Man, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-10, Thursday previews

 

Total Sales: 21

New Sales : 3

Growth: 17%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 2

Showtimes: 4

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 5.3

Ticket premium in effect: No

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Evening: 14/2

Late Evening: 7/2

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 19/2
Regular: 2/2

 

Continues at a steady pace. New showtimes go up later today. 

[ThatWaluigiDude]

1 hour ago, Boxofficerules said:

Winnie The Pooh: Blood And Honey 2 starts out with 100% on Rotten Tomatoes.

 

https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/winnie_the_pooh_blood_and_honey_2

So, how is that one in pre sales?

[Relevation]

29 minutes ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

So, how is that one in pre sales?

Ran a quick check for OD Tuesday at my two theaters out of curiosity

 

TWO THEATER MN PRESALES TRACK (T-1/0)

03/26/24

Winnie the Pooh: Blood and Honey 2 - 17 tickets sold

 

COMPS

Winnie the Pooh: Blood and Honey 2

1.00x of Imaginary ($725K)

0.18x of Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba - To The Hashira Training ($319K)

0.11x of Madame Web ($635K)

AVERAGE: $560K

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Godzilla x Kong	T-3	Jax	5	54	83	469	9,814	4.78%
		Phx	6	39	47	457	7,067	6.47%
		Ral	8	55	53	352	7,740	4.55%
	Total		19	148	183	1,278	24,621	5.19%
Land of Saints	T-3	Jax	4	12	1	3	1,567	0.19%
		Phx	2	5	0	1	451	0.22%
		Ral	2	5	0	0	274	0.00%
	Total		8	22	1	4	2,292	0.17%

 

Godzilla x Kong T-3 adjusted* comps

 - TMNT (Total) - .85x (5.74m)

 - M:I 7 (Total) - .71x (7.49m)
 - Venom 2 - .8x (9.85m)

 - Suicide Squad - 2.07x (9.18m)

 - Jurassic World 3 - .3x (5.46m)

 - Sonic 2 (Total) - 1.07x (8.25m)

 - Ghostbusters Afterlife (Total) - 1.37x (7.85m)

 - Ghostbusters Frozen - 1.734x (7.78m)

 - Transformers (Total) - .757x (7.995m) 

 

Size adjusted comps - 6.75m

 

*I added new adjustments for ATP using the following scale.  Let me know if these ranges should be changed.

Standard: 1x

3D: 1.12x

IMAX: 1.18x

Both: 1.2x

 

All comps are adjusted based on the distinction between the two movies.  For instance, Ghostbusters FE had IMAX screens, while Godzilla has both.  Comp has been increased by 1.02x

 

I'm also using national annual ATP adjustments for movies from different years.

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Godzilla x Kong	T-2	Jax	5	60	77	546	10,461	5.22%
		Phx	6	47	153	610	7,543	8.09%
		Ral	8	61	120	472	8,070	5.85%
	Total		19	168	350	1,628	26,074	6.24%
Land of Saints	T-2	Jax	4	12	0	3	1,567	0.19%
		Phx	3	7	1	2	531	0.38%
		Ral	2	5	1	1	274	0.36%
	Total		9	24	2	6	2,372	0.25%
Winnie: Blood 2	T-0	Jax	5	5	19	19	463	4.10%
		Phx	6	6	22	22	904	2.43%
		Ral	6	6	15	15	429	3.50%
	Total		17	17	56	56	1,796	3.12%

 

Godzilla x Kong T-2 adjusted comps

 - TMNT (Total) - 1.04x (7m)

 - M:I 7 (Total) - .792x (8.36m)
 - Venom 2 - .803x (9.87m)

 - Suicide Squad - 2.23x (9.89m)

 - Jurassic World 3 - .322x (5.83m)

 - Sonic 2 (Total) - 1.12x (8.61m)

 - Ghostbusters Afterlife (Total) - 1.45x (8.28m)

 - Ghostbusters Frozen - 1.842x (8.27m)

 - Transformers (Total) - .825x (8.71m) 

 

Size adjusted comps - 7.19m

 

Movie	3-day pace	Prev 3-day	Prev 3-day	Last Day
Godzilla x Kong	64.94%	26.85%	22.71%	27.39%
Turtles Total	51.95%	31.71%	20.80%	4.41%
M:I 7 Total	54.24%	25.43%	14.08%	14.16%
Venom 2	-	-	19.16%	27.07%
Suicide Squad	54.33%	27.70%	14.04%	18.31%
JW3	-	-	-	19.23%
Sonic 2 (Total)	62.05%	24.55%	22.04%	22.02%
Ghostbusters Total	-	-	20.07%	20.82%
Ghostbusters: FE	57.30%	23.84%	14.95%	19.95%
Transformers Total	-	-	-	16.88%

 

When I switch to exclusive preview comps the size adjusted total comes up to 7.7m.  Just looking at how this is pacing, I'm expecting this to be closer to 9m than 8m in the end.  It even beat Venom 2 in growth yesterday.  Mark to beat today is +30%

 

Blood & Honey is only having one show per theater tonight.  Some scattered sales throughout which is a good sign.  It looks like they aren't getting the discount Tuesday prices since it's a fathom release so I'll go with 200k.

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Monkey Man	T-10	Jax	5	17	0	12	2,828	0.42%
		Phx	6	14	0	31	1,683	1.84%
		Ral	7	14	1	20	1,840	1.09%
	Total		18	45	1	63	6,351	0.99%
Someone Like You	T-8	Jax	5	12	0	49	1,280	3.83%
		Phx	6	12	0	2	1,316	0.15%
		Ral	6	20	0	18	1,722	1.05%
	Total		17	44	0	69	4,318	1.60%

 

Monkey Man T-10 adjusted* comps

 - Violent Night - 1.02x (1.14m)

 - Cocaine Bear - .438x (875k)

 - Equalizer 3 - .46x (1.43m)

 - Strays (Total) - 1.05x (1.16m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - .373x (1.14m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .24x (1.13m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.17m

 

Someone Like You T-8 adjusted* comps

- I Wanna Dance - .566x (423k)

 - Respect (Total) - .365x (252k)

 - Downton Abbey (Total) - .138x (255k)

 - 80 for Brady (Total) - .329x (417k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 456k

 

*See previous post for notes on adjustments

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Monkey Man	T-9	Jax	6	18	1	13	3,006	0.43%
		Phx	6	14	3	34	1,683	2.02%
		Ral	7	14	6	26	1,840	1.41%
	Total		19	46	10	73	6,529	1.12%
Someone Like You	T-7	Jax	5	12	2	51	1,280	3.98%
		Phx	6	12	0	2	1,316	0.15%
		Ral	6	20	1	19	1,722	1.10%
	Total		17	44	3	72	4,318	1.67%

 

Monkey Man T-9 adjusted comps

 - Violent Night - 1.014x (1.14m)

 - Cocaine Bear - .497x (993k)

 - Equalizer 3 - .474x (1.48m)

 - Strays (Total) - 1.11x (1.22m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - .412x (1.27m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .239x (1.13m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.22m

 

Someone Like You T-7 adjusted comps

- I Wanna Dance - .514x (384k)

 - Respect (Total) - .319x (220k)

 - Downton Abbey (Total) - .133x (245k)

 - 80 for Brady (Total) - .291x (370k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 412k

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Civil War	T-17	Jax	5	34	3	13	6,188	0.21%
		Phx	6	19	0	20	4,009	0.50%
		Ral	6	20	1	22	2,899	0.76%
	Total		17	73	4	55	13,096	0.42%

 

T-17 adjusted comps

 - NTTD (Total) - .159x (1.25m)

 - Elvis - .447x (1.73m)

 

*No EA shows in the theaters I track

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Civil War	T-16	Jax	5	34	2	15	6,188	0.24%
		Phx	6	19	2	22	4,009	0.55%
		Ral	6	20	1	23	2,899	0.79%
	Total		17	73	5	60	13,096	0.46%

 

T-16 adjusted comps

 - NTTD (Total) - .15x (1.18m)

 - Elvis - .382x (1.48m)

 

*No EA shows in the theaters I track

[M37]

::Checks in on weekend sales updates for GxK::

Hey, um guys (& gals!)...

 

All indications are for a very strong upward trajectory from here on out. Growth rates for both MTC1 and Sacto are tracing among the highest data points in their respective data sets, most notably and aptly Transformers ROTB. Keeping up that pace, as Keyser and Porthos both indicated, puts $8M in previews solidly in play, and wouldn't take too much more of push to flirt with $9M: The one catch is that late dropping - and potentially poor - reviews may derail momentum, plus whatever impact the NCAA Sweet 16 games have in keeping some of the male skewing demo home; those factors do soften the floor, giving a Thursday range of like $7-$9M

 

Based solely on growth rates, would put final targets at approximately (as this is Q&D analysis)

MTC1 = 150-160K

Sacto = ~4500

See above for why those targets may not verify, but that's where currently trajectory predicts

Florida = not enough data to estimate, but will be very interested in seeing the Miami walk-ups, given how this market/state perform on Jurassic films

 

The weekend pattern and corresponding IM is tricky with the holiday, but currently Friday sales in MTC1 is 70% higher than Trans ROTB at T-3,  which would comp to $28-$29M, and while I think the fan nature of Godzilla and holiday effect probably means that doesn't quite pan out, mid-$20M range seems like a good target, with a BPWF like 2x Thursday almost certainly the floor. Saturday likely drops from TFri (See F8ate of Furious), to something around ~2.5x Thur [See Trans ROTB, JWD, and Godzilla KOTM], and rolling it all up gives an approximate 8x+ IM, for a full weekend of expectation of $60-$75M, most likely in the Black Adam/Fast X range of high $60M

Edited March 26 by M37