The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, HummingLemon496 said:

Almost a year between two 100M+ openers is crazy. In comparison from The Batman to Ant-Man there were 9.

 

Amazing what a pair of industry crippling strikes will do, not just in delaying high profile films but upsetting the entire entertainment-theater complex.  Both during the strikes and in the medium-term afterwards. 

 

*starts to type several versions of a thought*

*keeps deleting them and starting over*

 

Look, I get some of us are... disappointed by the current state of the box office.  But, really, what were people expecting when we got news about film after film after film getting pushed back into the latter half of the year? Might not be quite as bad as the COVID delays, but, at the same time, "second verse, same as the first."

 

Yes, it sucks that The Fall Guy might not break out (though we really don't know yet).  But... Like, can't say I'm personally surprised by how some films have done recently.  Hell, even had a couple of over-performers in there.

 

Talk to me at the end of the year and after we see how much recovery there's been (if there has been a recovery).

 

Anything else I really have to say about this probably belongs in a WE thread or the strikes thread, now over in the Speakeasy.  Or maybe some other forward looking/general discussion thread.

 

(this is something I've been biting my tongue about, but couldn't hold it in any longer)

 

 

[justnumbers]

3 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Amazing what a pair of industry crippling strikes will do, not just in delaying high profile films but upsetting the entire entertainment-theater complex.  Both during the strikes and in the medium-term afterwards. 

 

*starts to type several versions of a thought*

*keeps deleting them and starting over*

 

Look, I get some of us are... disappointed by the current state of the box office.  But, really, what were people expecting when we got news about film after film after film getting pushed back into the latter half of the year? Might not be quite as bad as the COVID delays, but, at the same time, "second verse, same as the first."

 

Yes, it sucks that The Fall Guy might not break out (though we really don't know yet).  But... Like, can't say I'm personally surprised by how some films have done recently.  Hell, even had a couple of over-performers in there.

 

Talk to me at the end of the year and after we see how much recovery there's been (if there has been a recovery).

 

Anything else I really have to say about this probably belongs in a WE thread or the strikes thread, now over in the Speakeasy.  Or maybe some other forward looking/general discussion thread.

 

(this is something I've been biting my tongue about, but couldn't hold it in any longer)

 

 

I have a feeling that from May on the schedule picks up, big movies at least every 2 weeks (3 at most) and the momentum picks up and holds from then on. I may just be a optimistic but starting in May, I actually feel good about the schedule. Even if The Fall Guy isn't the breakout people wanted it to be.

 

We'll just have to wait and see. And hope there isn't other strikes or industry crippling events at least for the next 4 years.

[vafrow]

23 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

The Fall Guy, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-6, Thursday previews and Wednesday EA

 

Total Sales: 23

New Sales: 3

Growth: 15%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 12

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 1.6

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Evening: 18/6

Late Evening: 5/6

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

 

Dolby: 16/6

IMAX: 2/4

4DX: 5/2

 

EA sales

Total: 55

Showtimes: 6

Theatres: 5

 

Comps (Previews only, no EA)

0.434x Wonka for $1.5M

0.338x GB:FE for $1.6M

0.093x GxK for $0.9M

0.101x HG:BoSS for $0.6M

Avg: $1.2M

 

Comps (includes EA)

1.472x Wonka for $5.2M

1.147x GB:FE for $5.4M

0.315x GxK for $3.1M

0.342x HG:BoSS for $2.0M

AVG: $3.9M

 

Slight bump in sales, but still far off the pace.

 

The Fall Guy, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-5, Thursday previews and Wednesday EA

 

Total Sales: 25

New Sales: 2

Growth: 9%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 12

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 1.8

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Evening: 20/6

Late Evening: 5/6

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

 

Dolby: 18/6

IMAX: 2/4

4DX: 5/2

 

EA sales

Total: 54

Showtimes: 6

Theatres: 5

 

Comps (Previews only, no EA)

0.446x Wonka for $1.6M

0.329x GB:FE for $1.5M

0.095x GxK for $1.0M

0.100x HG:BoSS for $0.6M

Avg: $1.2M

 

I've dropped the comps with EA rolled in. While that number might end up being closer to what the final preview number is, I don't think it's giving an accurate picture. This film is performing bad, and this market seems worse than others.

 

With how bad POTA has been and Garfield, there just seems to be extremely little interest in movie going right now around here.

 

I'd maybe look to see if the sports calendar is the culprit, but the Blue Jays are playing bad, Raptors aren't in the playoffs and the Leafs are now on the brink of elimination. There's nothing else going on. People just aren't interested in what's in the market right now.

 

 

[vafrow]

23 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, T-13 Thursday previews and Wednesday EA shows, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 44

New Sales: 1

Growth: 2%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 16

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 2.8

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Late Afternoon: 1/3

Early Evening: 38/7

Late Evening: 5/6

 

Sales by Format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 13/7

IMAX: 19/6

VIP: 12/3

 

EA shows 

Sales: 24

Theatres: 4

Showtimes: 4

New Sales: 3

 

Comps (excludes EA unless stated)

1.172x Fall Guy (both with EA and preview)

0.093x Dune 2 for $0.9M

0.978x GB:FE for $4.6M

0.346x GxK for $3.5M

0.458x HG: BoSS for $2.6M

 

Average: $2.9M

 

Continues to trend down. 

 

 

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, T-12 Thursday previews and Wednesday EA shows, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 41

New Sales: -3

Growth: -7%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 16

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 2.6

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Late Afternoon: 1/3

Early Evening: 35/7

Late Evening: 5/6

 

Sales by Format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 13/7

IMAX: 19/6

VIP: 9/3

 

EA shows 

Sales: 24

Theatres: 4

Showtimes: 4

New Sales: 3

 

Comps (excludes EA unless stated)

1.083x Fall Guy (both with EA and preview)

0.084x Dune 2 for $0.8M

0.854x GB:FE for $4.0M

0.261x GxK for $2.6M

0.347x HG: BoSS for $2.0M

 

Average: $2.4M

 

Sales dropped by 3. Cancelled tickets for one of the shows it seems. It keeps getting worse.

[vafrow]

On 4/24/2024 at 6:26 AM, vafrow said:

 

The Garfield Movie, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), D2/T-30, Thursday previews

 

Total Sales: 0

New Sales: 0

Growth: 0%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 14

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 0.0

Ticket premium in effect: No

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Afternoon: 0/1

Late Afternoon: 0/3

Early Evening: 0/5

Late Evening: 0/5

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Regular: 0/4

3D Regular: 0/6

Dolby: 0/2

3D Dolby: 0/2

 

Still no sales. KFP4 was at 12 for day 2.

 

The Garfield Movie, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-26, Thursday previews

 

Total Sales: 0

New Sales: 0

Growth: 0%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 14

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 0.0

Ticket premium in effect: No

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Afternoon: 0/1

Late Afternoon: 0/3

Early Evening: 0/5

Late Evening: 0/5

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Regular: 0/4

3D Regular: 0/6

Dolby: 0/2

3D Dolby: 0/2

 

EA - Sunday May 19

Sales: 0

Showtimes: 2

Theatres: 2

 

Still no sales. I have KFP4 and Wonka both set up for comps, but need some actual sales to be able to do anything with them.

[SpiderByte]

Apes still has reviews left so it could surge but Fall Guys had really good reviews for a while now... hopefully WOM leads to walkups. It looks so fun it'd suck if this wound up as this years DnD

[emoviefan]

1 hour ago, SpiderByte said:

Apes still has reviews left so it could surge but Fall Guys had really good reviews for a while now... hopefully WOM leads to walkups. It looks so fun it'd suck if this wound up as this years DnD

That';s what I have been afraid The Fall Guy is going to end up being is this year's D and D. The one advantage it  has though is that if has a OW close to that like 36 or so it does not have a 800LB gorilla like Mario in it's second weekend to kill it's legs. Ironically it does have Gorilla's as competition but the OW will not even be close for KOTPA to  Mario.

[Relevation]

7 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Amazing what a pair of industry crippling strikes will do, not just in delaying high profile films but upsetting the entire entertainment-theater complex.  Both during the strikes and in the medium-term afterwards. 

 

*starts to type several versions of a thought*

*keeps deleting them and starting over*

 

Look, I get some of us are... disappointed by the current state of the box office.  But, really, what were people expecting when we got news about film after film after film getting pushed back into the latter half of the year? Might not be quite as bad as the COVID delays, but, at the same time, "second verse, same as the first."

 

Yes, it sucks that The Fall Guy might not break out (though we really don't know yet).  But... Like, can't say I'm personally surprised by how some films have done recently.  Hell, even had a couple of over-performers in there.

 

Talk to me at the end of the year and after we see how much recovery there's been (if there has been a recovery).

 

Anything else I really have to say about this probably belongs in a WE thread or the strikes thread, now over in the Speakeasy.  Or maybe some other forward looking/general discussion thread.

 

(this is something I've been biting my tongue about, but couldn't hold it in any longer)

 

 

Honestly, I feel people are really overstating how much the strikes in particular are to blame for the rough BO for the first 4 months of this year. Not saying it had no impact, but look at what the schedule here was like before the strikes:

 

(Bolded were delayed out of Jan-Apr 2024)

01/05 - Night Swim

01/12 - Bob Marley: One Love, The Book of Clarence, The Beekeeper

01/19 - The Tiger’s Apprentice 

02/02 - Argylle, Wise Guys, Imaginary 

02/09 - It Ends With Us, Dirty Dancing 2

02/16 - Madame Web

03/01 - The Fall Guy, Elio

03/08 - Kung Fu Panda 4, A Quiet Place: Day One

03/15 - Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire

03/22 - Snow White

03/29 - Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse, Mickey 17

04/12 - The Lord of the Rings: The War for the Rohirrim 

04/19 - Abigail

 

Now on paper this looks better, but I really doubt this schedule holds up irregardless of the strikes. Elio, Snow White, Beyond the Spider-Verse, and Mickey 17 all had significant production troubles predating the strikes and likely wouldn’t have made their dates had they happened or not. The Tiger’s Apprentice was punted direct to streaming so I don’t think that changes without the strikes happening. I really doubt Sony wants to keep It Ends With Us right next to Madame Web even without the strikes, so that probably would’ve been moved elsewhere too. 

 

So really, the only major strike casualties here were Wise Guys, Dirty Dancing 2, The Fall Guy, A Quiet Place: Day One, and The Lord of the Rings: The War for the Rohirrim, none huge grossers or even likely to clear $150M in their pre-strike dates. And The Fall Guy only moved to May 3 anyways, not even a stone’s throw away. 

 

In comparison to what the schedule doesn’t have without the strikes, obviously no Dune: Part Two. That’s a massive $275M+ grosser just not on the board at all, on top of Civil War likely not doing as well due to increased PLF competition, Mean Girls potentially not getting moved off Paramount+ due to the lack of needed demand, and no Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire either.

 

The 4 movies that moved decently far away largely because of the strikes (AQP:D1, DD2, Wise Guys, and LOTR) probably combined make around $320M+ ish domestic, off some back of napkin math. Losing Ghostbusters, possibly Mean Girls, and Dune while Civil War does $30M worse means you lose $435-500M+ in unrealized revenue from movies which would not have been in Q1 2024 had the strikes not happened. Which honestly lends credence to the idea that the strikes actually helped the box office in this window specifically, because more money was made than otherwise would’ve happened. 

 

So I really don’t think the strikes should be the bogeyman for the catatonic BO this year so far, it really was just a real drought of major tentpoles due to production woes, and a bunch of mid range movies that didn’t really connect. We were in for a rough go of things no matter what when Argylle is the only $200M+ budgeted blockbuster in the first two months of the year and none of the Christmas tentpoles are doing anything to save that. 
 

Possibly off topic for this thread but that was sitting in my head for a bit and I felt like mentioning it

Edited April 28 by Relevation

[el sid]

The Fall Guy, counted on Friday (= 2 days ago) for next Thursday, had 534 sold tickets (in 7 theaters). Best sales - not very surprising - in the two AMCs in California.

 

Comps (all movies counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday): BT (4.6M from previews) had 879 sold tickets = 2.8M + 3 days left.

TLC (2.5M) had 306 = 4.35M + 3 days left.

Amsterdam (550k) had 184 = 1.6M + 3 days left.

Death on the Nile (1.1M) had 212 = 2.8M + 3 days left.

And Uncharted (3.7M) had 868 sold tickets = 2.3M + 3 days left. 

Average: 2.75M + 3 days left.

So tomorrow The Fall Guy will definitely have a better number than 2.75M. The question now is how big its jump till tomorrow will be (till today I saw no big changes but the weekend sales tend to be very small in my theaters). Normally it would have around 700+ sold tickets by tomorrow. But with the reviews already being out and a lot of buzz, Idk.

So for the moment, that's a decent number in my theaters but its jump could be a bit smaller than usually.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 4/27/2024 at 7:21 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Fall Guy	T-5	Jax	6	36	7	36	6,208	0.58%
		Phx	7	24	4	61	4,147	1.47%
		Ral	8	31	6	66	4,762	1.39%
	Total		21	91	17	163	15,117	1.08%
Fall Guy (EA)	T-4	Jax	5	10	1	53	2,007	2.64%
		Phx	1	2	3	26	618	4.21%
		Ral	2	2	0	28	412	6.80%
	Total		8	14	4	107	3,037	3.52%
Tarot	T-5	Jax	5	21	2	9	1,752	0.51%
		Phx	6	16	2	12	2,534	0.47%
		Ral	7	18	-1	8	2,268	0.35%
	Total		18	55	3	29	6,554	0.44%

 

Fall Guy (Total) T-5 adjusted comps

 - Monkey Man - 2.368x (3.91m)

 - Jungle Cruise - 1.51x (4.23m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .573x (2.7m)

 - Cocaine Bear - missed

 - Civil War - 1.179x (3.42m)

 - Free Guy - 1.134x (2.6m)

 - Ticket to Paradise (Total) - 3.375x (4.48m)

 - Lost City (Total) - .783x (3.07m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 3.15m

 

Tarot T-5 adjusted comps

 - Last Voyage - .426x (320k)

 - M3GAN - missed

 - Black Phone - .185x (492k)

 - Abigail - .604x (604k)

 - Talk to Me - .392x (488k)

 - The First Omen - 1.318x (956k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 710k

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Fall Guy	T-4	Jax	6	36	7	43	6,208	0.69%
		Phx	7	24	11	72	4,147	1.74%
		Ral	8	31	4	70	4,762	1.47%
	Total		21	91	22	185	15,117	1.22%
Fall Guy (EA)	T-3	Jax	5	10	5	58	2,007	2.89%
		Phx	1	2	2	28	618	4.53%
		Ral	2	2	9	37	412	8.98%
	Total		8	14	16	123	3,037	4.05%
Tarot	T-4	Jax	5	21	1	10	1,752	0.57%
		Phx	6	16	3	15	2,534	0.59%
		Ral	7	19	0	8	2,550	0.31%
	Total		18	56	4	33	6,836	0.48%

 

Fall Guy (Total) T-4 adjusted comps

 - Jungle Cruise - 1.51x (4.23m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .587x (2.76m)

 - Cocaine Bear - missed

 - Civil War - 1.22x (3.53m)

 - Free Guy - 1.11x (2.53m)

 - Ticket to Paradise (Total) - missed

 - Lost City (Total) - .792x (3.11m)

 - Equalizer 3 - .96x (3.65m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 3.27m

 

Tarot T-4 adjusted comps

 - Last Voyage - .371x (278k)

 - M3GAN - missed

 - Black Phone - missed

 - Abigail - .589x (589k)

 - Talk to Me - .379x (472k)

 - The First Omen - missed

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 4/27/2024 at 7:50 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

Saturday

 

Unsung Hero - 256/5,639

 - Crawdads - .314x (1.68m)

 - Easter Sunday - 1.28x (2.31m)

 - Ticket to Paradise - .397x (2.43m)

 

Adjusted comps (using 3.6m TF)

 - Crawdads - 3.56m

 - Easter Sunday - 3.83m

 - Ticket to Paradise - 4.13m

 

Sat prediction: ~3.75m

 

Challengers - 265/7,349

 - Ungentlemanly Warfare - .869x (2.71m)

 - Civil War - .297x (2.6m)

 - Paradise - .411x (2.51m)

 - Crawdads - .326x (1.74m)

 

Adjusted comps (using 4.2m TF)

 - Ungentlemanly - 4.61m

 - Civil War - 4.39m

 - Paradise - 5.59m

 - Crawdads - 4.73m

 - Elvis - 4.97m

 - Bullet Train - 5.02m

 

Sat prediction: ~4.9m

 

Boy Kills World - 42/3,537

 

Sat prediction: ~650k

Santikos Tracking

 

Sunday

 

Unsung Hero - 191/5,824

 - Crawdads - .276x (1.28m)

 - Easter Sunday - 1.273x (2.05m)

 

Adjusted comps

 - Crawdads - 1.61m

 - Easter Sunday - 2.27m

 

Sun prediction - 2m

 

I'm guessing this will play pretty well on Sunday being a religious movie

 

Challengers - 146/7,414

 - Ungentlemanly - .568x (1.17m)

 - Civil War - .201x (1.2m)

 - Bullet Train - .196x (1.47m)

 - Crawdads - .211x (978k)

 

Adjusted comps

 - Ungentlemanly - 2.05m

 - Civil War - 2.31m

 - Bullet Train - 2.89m

 - Crawdads - 2.81m

 

Sun prediction - 2.75m (hopefully it's performing better elsewhere)

 

Boy Kills World - 41/3,628

 

Sun prediction - 550k

[emoviefan]

16 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Fall Guy	T-4	Jax	6	36	7	43	6,208	0.69%
		Phx	7	24	11	72	4,147	1.74%
		Ral	8	31	4	70	4,762	1.47%
	Total		21	91	22	185	15,117	1.22%
Fall Guy (EA)	T-3	Jax	5	10	5	58	2,007	2.89%
		Phx	1	2	2	28	618	4.53%
		Ral	2	2	9	37	412	8.98%
	Total		8	14	16	123	3,037	4.05%
Tarot	T-4	Jax	5	21	1	10	1,752	0.57%
		Phx	6	16	3	15	2,534	0.59%
		Ral	7	19	0	8	2,550	0.31%
	Total		18	56	4	33	6,836	0.48%

 

Fall Guy (Total) T-4 adjusted comps

 - Jungle Cruise - 1.51x (4.23m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .587x (2.76m)

 - Cocaine Bear - missed

 - Civil War - 1.22x (3.53m)

 - Free Guy - 1.11x (2.53m)

 - Ticket to Paradise (Total) - missed

 - Lost City (Total) - .792x (3.11m)

 - Equalizer 3 - .96x (3.65m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 3.27m

 

Tarot T-4 adjusted comps

 - Last Voyage - .371x (278k)

 - M3GAN - missed

 - Black Phone - missed

 - Abigail - .589x (589k)

 - Talk to Me - .379x (472k)

 - The First Omen - missed

Well Fall Guy went up finally.I guess that's something. Hope it keeps going up in these final few days.

[Boxofficerules]

Is Tarot just looking bad? When does the embargo lift?

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, Boxofficerules said:

Is Tarot just looking bad? When does the embargo lift?

Probably not even being screened for critics, in all likelihood. It looks like shit.

[emoviefan]

2 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Is Tarot just looking bad? When does the embargo lift?

I mean honestly does anybody care about this movie? My guess is the embargo does not drop till Wednesday or maybe even Thursday morning.

[JimmyB]

1 minute ago, Boxofficerules said:

Is Tarot just looking bad? When does the embargo lift?

The embargo lifts May 10th a week after its release, Sony isnt going to let bad reviews hurt its opening weekend.

 

 

 

[TheFlatLannister]

22 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

THE FALL GUY

 

Thursday 

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
440	1535	88593	1.7%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

23

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

18

 

COMPS

T-5

(0.802x) of Civil War $2.32M

(1.758x) of Challengers $2.81M

Comps average: $2.57M

 

Finally got Python to cooperate with Fandango. Fell pretty drastically against comp in the past 5ish days

FLORIDA 

THE FALL GUY

 

Thursday 

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
440	1718	88593	1.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

183

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-4

(0.857x) of Civil War $2.49M

(1.727x) of Challengers $2.76M

Comps average: $2.63M

 

Pretty good T-4

[abracadabra1998]

On 4/25/2024 at 10:30 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Fall Guy (T-7):

Day: T-7, T-6	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 25 theaters	74	37	189	13546	1.4
Wednesday May 1 EA: 19 theaters	23	52	217	5129	4.23
TOTALS:	97	89	406	18675	2.17

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		152	29	80.42
MTC1:		127	24	67.2
Alamo:		18	0	9.52
Other chains:		44	13	23.28

 

Comps (combined EA + THU):

Monkey Man: Missed

1.31x Civil War: $3.8 Million

0.53x Godzilla v. King: $5.29 Million (17 theaters)

0.87x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $4.1 Million (17 theaters)

0.72x Madame Web (OD): $4.37 Million (17 theaters)

1.12x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $5.04 Million (17 theaters)

0.56x TMNT (w/ EA): $3.06 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $4.28 Million

 

I for sure messed up my Aquaman comp last update, I'm not sure what I did exactly but that was just totally off. A variety of comps here but trying to go with the blockbusters that had better walk-ups/were less pre-sales heavy.

 

Maybe will start separating EA and Thursday comps next update? Need some more expert voices to weigh in here, not sure what the most helpful way to approach this is since the EA is so broad

 

Tarot (T-7):

Day: T-7	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 21 theaters	55	6	12	5110	0.23

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		7	5	58.33
Alamo:		0	6	0
Other chains:		5	2	41.67

 

I'll add some comps at T-4 but still doing absolutely nothing

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Fall Guy (T-4):

Day: T-4, T-3	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 25 theaters	74	66	255	13546	1.88
Wednesday May 1 EA: 19 theaters	23	69	286	5129	5.58
TOTALS:	97	135	541	18675	2.9

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		200	48	78.43
MTC1:		179	52	70.2
Alamo:		20	2	7.84
Other chains:		56	12	21.96

 

Thursday Comps:

1.19x Monkey Man: $1.67 Million

0.58x Civil War: $1.68 Million

0.24x Godzilla v. King: $2.2 Million (17 theaters)

0.4x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $1.89 Million (17 theaters)

0.44x Madame Web (OD): $2.67 Million (17 theaters)

0.64x Wonka: $2.24 Million (17 theaters)

0.56x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $2.5 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $2.12 Million

 

EA Comps:

1.33x Challengers: $730k

0.29x Dune Part 2: $580k

0.48x MI7: $955k

 

Average: $755k

 

Finally decided to break this down and it obviously doesn't look great, but I wouldn't doom and gloom just yet, pace will be all messed up with the Wednesday EA

 

Tarot (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 21 theaters	55	14	26	5110	0.51

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		18	11	69.23
Alamo:		0	0	0
Other chains:		8	3	30.77

 

Comps:

0.33x Abigail: $330k

0.65x First Oman: $470k

0.43x Imaginary: $315k

0.45x Last Voyage of Demeter: $335k

 

Average: $360k

 

Not great

[abracadabra1998]

On 4/25/2024 at 10:40 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-14):

Day: T-14, T-13	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 25 theaters	98	17	169	17196	0.98
Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters	23	36	228	5146	4.43
TOTALS:	121	53	397	22342	1.78

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		144	12	85.21
MTC1:		97	12	57.4
Alamo:		16	0	9.47
Other chains:		56	5	33.14

 

Comps (THU + EA combined):

1.4x The Fall Guy: ???

1.17x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $5.5 Million (17 theaters)

1.48x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $6.68 Million (17 theaters)

0.46x FNAF: $4.78 Million (17 theaters)

0.41x MI7: $3.69 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $5.16 Million

 

This has been doing pretty consistently well, good to see!

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-11):

Day: T-11, T-10	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 25 theaters	98	23	192	17196	1.12
Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters	23	39	267	5146	5.19
TOTALS:	121	62	459	22342	2.05

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		162	18	84.38
MTC1:		118	21	61.46
Alamo:		16	0	8.33
Other chains:		58	2	30.21

 

Comps (THU + EA combined):

1.44x The Fall Guy: ???

1.26x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $5.9 Million (17 theaters)

1.03x Hunger Games BoSS: $5.91 Million (17 theaters)

0.45x FNAF: $4.67 Million (17 theaters)

0.43x MI7: $3.84 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $5.08 Million

[abracadabra1998]

On 4/25/2024 at 11:13 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Garfield Movie (T-28):

Day: T-28, T-24	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 23 theaters	84	10	10	10661	0.09
Sunday May 19 EA: 8 theaters	8	93	93	842	11.05
TOTALS:	92	103	103	11503	0.9

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		0	0	0
Alamo:		0	0	0
Other chains:		10	10	100

 

Was super busy Day 1 of release so I wasn't able to get to this, but this seems like it'll be like Trolls where EA syphons off all the early sales, so I'll for sure keep them separate here.

 

Thursday Comps:*

0.15x Wonka: $520k

0.26x Wish: $460k

1.25x Trolls: $1.63 Million

 

*Very low sales will lead to big variance in these early days. Trolls is the most useful comp due to similar EA situations.

 

EA Comps:

0.6x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes EA: ??

0.91x Fall Guy EA: ??

0.16x Dune Part 2 EA: $325k

 

Again, Trolls EA will be the most useful here but the first comp for it will be at T-16.

 

Gotta love EA  

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Garfield Movie (T-25):

Day: T-25, T-21	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 23 theaters	84	4	14	10661	0.13
Sunday May 19 EA: 9 theaters	9	37	130	954	13.63
TOTALS:	93	41	144	11615	1.24

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		4	4	28.57
Alamo:		0	0	0
Other chains:		10	0	71.43

 

Thursday Comps:*

0.3x Kung Fu Panda 4: $1.13 Million

0.15x Wonka: $535k

0.29x Wish (TUE): $525k

1.75x Trolls: $2.28 Million

 

*Very low sales will lead to big variance in these early days. Trolls is the most useful comp due to similar EA situations.

 

EA Comps:

0.69x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes EA: ??

1.17x Fall Guy EA: ??

0.21x Dune Part 2 EA: $420k

 

Again, Trolls EA will be the most useful here but the first comp for it will be at T-16.