druv10 Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 GOTG projections based on: The Wolverine(Dropped lots of theaters): 4.8m 4.3(-10%) 6.9m(+59%) 9.8m(+42%) 7.2(-27%) 23.9m(-43.3%) Absolute worst case scenario. TDKR: 4.8m 4.6(-5%) 7.1m(+54%) 10.3m(+46%) 7.5(-27%) 24.9m(-40.9%) More likely. GOTG's looking at a great drop this weekend. My projection 4.51M (-7%) 7.44M (+65%) 10.42M (+40%) 7.60M (-27%) 25.464 (-39.5%) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empire Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 One's in the middle of its opening week, the other isn't. Look at Guardians' Mon-Wed drop last week Yeah, Turtles' drop is really similar to what Guardians' was last week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Perfectly expected for a movie in its first week to have bigger daily drops than a movie in its second week. And frankly, TMNT's Tuesday was really good. The bigger the Tuesday, the worse the Wednesday drop will be. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 So Turtles drops 5% harder than Guardians on a Wednesday and somehow one's really harsh and the other's solid? And y'all wonder why baumer's rolling his eyes... If Turtles hits low end is -35.3% one of the worst Wednesday drops we have seen, so yeah it is harsh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deep Wang Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 One's in the middle of its opening week, the other isn't. Look at Guardians' Mon-Wed drop last weekYou're supposed to ignore that! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 I don't get the chaos - the higher the Tuesday bump the bigger the Wednesday fall - this has been going on for several years now. Openers always have bigger Wednesday falls than holdovers and TMNT opened big and is following the trend of big films much like Guardians did last week. It's not going to nosedive 65% and more than likely won't drop even 60%. And I told everyone to take a bigger Wednesday fall into account due to LBC opening midweek. Logic folks, seriously it takes then joy entry out of following this if there's constant lows and highs over normal things. When turtles drops another 30% on Thursday then you might have reason to swoon. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 You're supposed to ignore that! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Killimano3 Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 GOTG only dropped 26% on it's first wednesday so TMNTs drop is still a lot worse in fact that means GOTG dropped harder this wednesday then last wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 GOTG only dropped 26% on it's first wednesday so TMNTs drop is still a lot worse in fact that means GOTG dropped harder this wednesday then last wednesday Because the Tuesday bumps this week were much larger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orestes Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Because the Tuesday bumps this week were much larger Hey, we're trying to rip on Turtles here, quit bringing facts into it. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 As I said before I never liked the Ninja Turtles but the fans of the original love this new film. (Also the original was hated by older audiences) Anyway-school started here today. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
La Binoche Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Anything for the rest of the top 10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 GOTG's looking at a great drop this weekend. My projection 4.51M (-7%) 7.44M (+65%) 10.42M (+40%) 7.60M (-27%) 25.464 (-39.5%) Looks reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Well I was thinking Cops wouldn't do that well, but ever since Millers broke out last year I was not sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Turtles has fallen behind GOTG on Movietckets.com 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Expected drops for TMNT and GOTG. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 This weekend is gonna be very close between Turtles and Guardians. Both should be doing around 25m. Expendables also could have a similar opening. So a very tight race for #1 this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Let's Be Cops is going to make money. Audience was pretty crowded and very enthusiastic tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Reynolds Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 GOTG only dropped 26% on it's first wednesday so TMNTs drop is still a lot worse in fact that means GOTG dropped harder this wednesday then last Wednesday its bad, but GotG did not face a Wednesday opener last week, over 30% drop is bad though, given that some schools went back in session this week we may need to see weekend numbers to determine legs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
La Binoche Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 Where's Spatula? He usually knows all the #s... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...