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Mockingjay Raphael

Jurassic World OS | 1.015B OS | 1.667B WW | China 228m, United Kingdom 100.5m, Japan 74.8m

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DH2 is one of the most frontloaded movies types ever, so it's logical it's going to drop harder I think.

It had a bad second weekend drop, but after that, OS at least, it had good / very good drops. -44% third weekend, -5% in it's 4th (when it opened in China, but the drop in the other territories was in the 30% area). After the 4th weekend it still added almost 170m. Overall, it had a 3x+ multipiler from OW, which is not bad at all for such a huge opener. 

 

However, DH2 had way less competition than JW is about to have: Minions (possibly 700m OS), Inside Out (possibly 400m OS), Ted 2 (300M+), Terminator (200-300M, maybe more) + Ant-Man in 3 weeks. 

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It had a bad second weekend drop, but after that, OS at least, it had good / very good drops. -44% third weekend, -5% in it's 4th (when it opened in China, but the drop in the other territories was in the 30% area). After the 4th weekend it still added almost 170m. Overall, it had a 3x+ multipiler from OW, which is not bad at all for such a huge opener. 

 

However, DH2 had way less competition than JW is about to have: Minions (possibly 700m OS), Inside Out (possibly 400m OS), Ted 2 (300M+), Terminator (200-300M, maybe more) + Ant-Man in 3 weeks. 

 

That logical, because in the first week all the fanboys will see it, the second week will drop hard because of all the fan saw the movie so now only GA will go and see it. So week 3 will have a normal drop because of the hard 2nd week drop :D

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That's $155m overseas for FSS, down just 37% from last weekend's $245m. Crazy.

Actual Intl Weekend BO is based on weekend BO for individual countries normal play week start thru Sunday, so for example the 155m includes a combination of 2-5 days bo (ie FRA wed-Sun, AUS Thu-Sun, UK Fri-Sun, JPN would be Sat-Sun etc). Opening weekend previews are included even if the local territories keep it separated(which majority do).

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Actual Intl Weekend BO is based on weekend BO for individual countries normal play week start thru Sunday, so for example the 155m includes a combination of 2-5 days bo (ie FRA wed-Sun, AUS Thu-Sun, UK Fri-Sun, JPN would be Sat-Sun etc). Opening weekend previews are included even if the local territories keep it separated(which majority do).

 

Do you know how many % of markets have 3 vs 4 vs 5 day weekend( I am assuming only Japan has 2 day weekend).

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it´s already blew past FF7 domestic by 50 million, it will even have a shot at almost double the total for ff7 domestic.

OS however is something else, i really doubt JW will top it, due to China's unprecedented craving for american carchases.

but the WW numbers hopefully will top FF7!

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Just last week several people thought topping F7 is impossible. Now it is the other way round. My advice is everyone should go and see JW before making a prediction.

Edited by Jack
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Just last week several people thought topping F7 is impossible. Now it is the other way round. My advice is everyone should go and see JW before making a prediction.

Why would having seen JW before making a prediction make any difference?

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Yep, 1.6B worldwide is a good target. I'm thinking 665 domestic and 950ish overseas.

 

It it has another good drop OS next week, I would say we probably get 1.1B OS, Japan could be big for this (althougt it's a strange market)

Edited by pepsa
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Actual Intl Weekend BO is based on weekend BO for individual countries normal play week start thru Sunday, so for example the 155m includes a combination of 2-5 days bo (ie FRA wed-Sun, AUS Thu-Sun, UK Fri-Sun, JPN would be Sat-Sun etc). Opening weekend previews are included even if the local territories keep it separated(which majority do).

 

I think I see what you're saying now, took me a bit - the officially reported 160.5m overseas weekend isn't FSS everywhere, it's the "weekend" from each territory which is a 3-day in some, a 4-day in others and even a 5-day in a few.  

 

I'm still curious if my read on things is correct though:

 

Pre-opening weekend - 70m

First weekend - 245m (total 315)

Mon-Thurs - 113m (total through thursday 428)

Weekend 2 - 155m (583m)

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