The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Porthos]

 

8 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

So from what I’m hearing, 2-5. I guess that’s pretty believable: 😂

Deadline ain't got nothing on us! 👍

[Boxofficerules]

1 hour ago, TalismanRing said:

NYC Local 

 

NYC Local	Mon		Tues		Wed		Thur		Previews	Preview Start
Jumanji 2	72/1864	(4pm)	120/3381	(5:30pm)	141/3381	(5:30pm)	178/3381	(4pm)		4:00 PM
Black Christmas	22/512	(4pm)	24/512	(5:30pm)	24/512	(5:30pm)	24/512	(4pm)		7:00 PM

 

COMP THUR:

 

TLK:  $7.35m

Joker:  $3.115m

Frozen 2: $4.97m

Godzilla 2:  $5.497m

Mal 2: $4.265m

Zombieland 2: $5.34m

 

TLK and Joker are the outliers in terms of walk ups

 

Others range in genre but are all sequels. None are ideal comps but from this theatre it looks like $4.3m - 5m+ in previews

 

Does this mean that Black Christmas didn’t  sell a single ticket in the last few days?

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

Just for @Boxofficerules, Black Christmas has sold 12 seats at my theater for tonight. This is about 1/3 of SLOP2, so I'll put my previews estimate at $700k for the film.

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Jumanji: The Next Level Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

159

2084

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

148

1769

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
599	147	12246	4.89%	9	70

 

Showings added: 7

Seats added: 398

 

Frozen 2 comp: 2.13M

Terminator comp: 4.24M

Maleficent comp: 5.07M

Zombieland 2 comp: 3.74M

Gemini Man comp: 5.21M

Hobbs comp: 3.86M

Lion King comp: 2.70M

 

Big bumps today partially due to some comps no longer being adjusted. It'll be interesting to see where this ends up tomorrow, but don't be surprised if I boot half of these comps.

Jumanji: The Next Level Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

287

2906

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

223

1769

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1251	652	13650	9.16%	9	76

 

Showings added: 6

Seats added: 1404

 

Maleficent comp: 3.55M

Gemini Man comp: 3.72M

Addams Family comp: 3.63M

IT 2 comp: 3.38M

Hobbs comp: 3.54M

Adjusted OUATiH comp: 3.59M

Lion King comp: 3.79M

 

Not as much of a boost that I had hoped for, but it's still early. Walkups will probably be huge. I removed comps that didn't seem to have great walkups, and added some mostly for the showtime start comp. I'll go with 3.75M. I'm thinking this will have better walkups than most of these because it should have a good amount of teens/young adults for the later showings.

[Boxofficerules]

14 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

Just for @Boxofficerules, Black Christmas has sold 12 seats at my theater for tonight. This is about 1/3 of SLOP2, so I'll put my previews estimate at $700k for the film.

Walk ups, 13 year olds can’t book on credit cards.

[TalismanRing]

20 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Does this mean that Black Christmas didn’t  sell a single ticket in the last few days?

Yes.  Checked at 6:30pm and it's sold 7 more across two shows with the first show starting at 7:15pm.

 

Dr Sleep (5pm at a 6pm start - 53/512 -  $1.5m previews --- > .87m previews

Zombieland 2 (6pm for a 7pm start): 95/1478 - $2.85m pre --> .93 previews

 

Avg of these two comps - 900k

 

 

 

 

 

[Cooper Legion]

Is it just me, or is 700+ great for BC? I’ve been thinking a 20+ multiplier.

[keysersoze123]

3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

11AM at just MTC1 Jumanji has sold another 8500 tickets for previews. its at 36616/407256 and could cross 60K+. MTC2 is at  23922/467257 and should cross 40K.  With great Walk-ins even 5m previews can happen. Let us see how things are this evening.

I just reran for MTC1 its up to 53523 at 4PM. I can see it hitting as high as 75K by shows end with huge walk ins. Nothing surprising as we have been expecting Jumanji audience to be driven by walk-ins. 5m previews.

[narniadis]

21 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I just reran for MTC1 its up to 53523 at 4PM. I can see it hitting as high as 75K by shows end with huge walk ins. Nothing surprising as we have been expecting Jumanji audience to be driven by walk-ins. 5m previews.

Thanks!! Makes me much more comfortable with the 50/250+ window. 

[jedijake]

I realize this is Jumanji3's weekend to shine (maybe) but I can't wait to see if the new SW9 clip does anything to spike ticket sales.

[Eric Prime]

Black Christmas Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	26	149	3,688	4.04%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 90

 

Comp

0.347x of Crawl (347K)

0.229x of Scary Stories (533K)

0.768x of 47 Meters (396K)

0.147x of Zombieland 2 (419K)

0.745x of Countdown (383K)

0.378x of Doctor Sleep (567K)

 

Meh.

[Boxofficerules]

11 minutes ago, Eric loves Rey said:

Black Christmas Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	26	149	3,688	4.04%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 90

 

Comp

0.347x of Crawl (347K)

0.229x of Scary Stories (533K)

0.768x of 47 Meters (396K)

0.147x of Zombieland 2 (419K)

0.745x of Countdown (383K)

0.378x of Doctor Sleep (567K)

 

Meh.

But, walk ups?

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

7 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

But, walk ups?

 

I honestly can't tell if you're serious or trolling at this point. Most people aren't aware of this movie, it's not going to have a bunch of unforeseen walk ups. The comps for other horror movies from this year aren't going to fall apart. You're looking at $10-13m opening weekend and a final total below $40m. 

Edited December 13, 2019 by VenomXXR

[a2k]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

I just reran for MTC1 its up to 53523 at 4PM. I can see it hitting as high as 75K by shows end with huge walk ins. Nothing surprising as we have been expecting Jumanji audience to be driven by walk-ins. 5m previews.

How come Jum3 preview expectations went from 2.5m to 5m within a matter of days. Any reason why folks would delay buying tickets or is it usual for such movements to happen?

[Menor the Destroyer]

3 minutes ago, a2k said:

How come Jum3 preview expectations went from 2.5m to 5m within a matter of days. Any reason why folks would delay buying tickets or is it usual for such movements to happen?

Normal for a walkup heavy film kinda like Jurassic World, where the amount of folks who like the franchise far outnumbers the hardcore fanbase. 

[TwoMisfits]

6 minutes ago, a2k said:

How come Jum3 preview expectations went from 2.5m to 5m within a matter of days. Any reason why folks would delay buying tickets or is it usual for such movements to happen?

Why, you haven't been reading my posts, have you:)...

 

The Atom promos this week were hugely well known and publicized (for over a week)...but you had to wait til Tuesday and really Wednesday to get the double deal.  Ticket buyers are becoming much savvier about waiting to buy for a promo, especially if they are prebuying for a future date...

 

EDIT: But, yes, it's type of movie also helped:)...

Edited December 13, 2019 by TwoMisfits

[ZackM]

Jumanji: The Next Level Various theater chains (Michigan) Final Friday Seat Report
12/12/2019	Showings	Seats Left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Pct. Sold
Total	291	56,467	58,715	2,248	3.83%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	0	0	0	1

[VanillaSkies]

1 hour ago, TwoMisfits said:

Why, you haven't been reading my posts, have you:)...

 

The Atom promos this week were hugely well known and publicized (for over a week)...but you had to wait til Tuesday and really Wednesday to get the double deal.  Ticket buyers are becoming much savvier about waiting to buy for a promo, especially if they are prebuying for a future date...

 

EDIT: But, yes, it's type of movie also helped:)...

Is the $7 off Chase Pay one for the whole weekend too?
We don't have Chase in Canada, too bad!

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, a2k said:

How come Jum3 preview expectations went from 2.5m to 5m within a matter of days. Any reason why folks would delay buying tickets or is it usual for such movements to happen?

I never thought it will make just 2.5m. Those are people tracking 1 city/few theaters and extrapolating numbers which could sometimes work but other times could be way off. This was always expected to have great finish to its PS(I had said that last week). its bcos of its core audience(Latinos/minorities) who are not the most PS heavy audience.

[charlie Jatinder]

With 70k MTC 1 it shall be around $4.7mn.

With 75k, $5mn.

 

Nice. After watching film, confident on legs as well. So perhaps;

 5

13.5

19

14 // 51

 

$200mn is only 4x legs. Can do 5x.

 

 

Edited December 13, 2019 by Jedi Jat