The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Porthos]

4 minutes ago, Menor said:

Wait I thought F9 sold more than 1000 in the second half of the day? 491 seems like first half. 

Sorry, didn't update a field (I have to do it all manually).  Lemme update that...

 

(the comp was correct, for the record — just not the rest of the quoted data)

 

9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

This is including early shows yesterday right? Then it definitely fell off after looking promising on Tuesday. 

 

Sure does.  And, yep.  

Edited October 8, 2021 by Porthos

[Ronin46]

BOReport prediction

 

Bond 68M

Venom 32M

AD2 9.8

 

 

[Menor the Destroyer]

Bond MTC2 at 59044/409958, $795652. Probably heading for 70k admits/930k gross finish here. Could be only 65k/870k if the night is poor. I will update tomorrow morning with final numbers. 

 

Edit: Just did a separate post for Fri numbers instead to make things more clearly demarcated. 

Edited October 8, 2021 by Menor

[titanic2187]

6 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

For the board, yes, but it shouldn't...

 

Maybe it's b/c Shawn popped tracking up from the reasonable $56M floor, but going to $71M as the floor (and something like $83M as the midpoint projection - aka, the expectation for the weekend) based on Venom's box office made little sense b/c the crossover between Venom's and Bond's audiences is so small.

 

Maybe I should have made this point earlier, but it would have been the same as looking at Addams Family's $17M and saying "oh crap, I need to drop the floor $20M" - when your movies have such differing GA demo appeals, one movie's wildly positive result might float everything a little, but not +30% or more...

But Bond indeed did lost some momentum toward the last moment. If the PS started weak, the “meltdown" would not be as intense. 

 

Also, the final weak PS may suggest that as much as we are living with covid, 70k hospitalisation and 1.5k death per day are still a very awful unpleasant things to coexist with for older age group and understandably so. It feel like Bond burning off its PS demand faster due to the shrinking overall demand from the crowd.   

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Some of you care way too much about "overreactions" and how this forum/thread reacts to news

[Menor the Destroyer]

NTTD Friday Sales:

 

Shows: 4810 (+24)

Tickets Sold: 70906/674049 (+18904)

Total $ sales: 880784* (+222652)

 

Blech. These aren't final sales and there a few hours to go for that but I don't see it going higher than like 76k by end of day. The 24-hr pace was not great. Way below F9 and SC let alone Venom. But can't make too solid a prediction from just MTC2, still my gut is telling me 18m Friday or so. 

 

Some comps:

 

F9 was at 107k a couple hours after this. 

SC was at 91k a few hours after this. 

Venom 2 was at 121k a few hours after this. 

Last two comps courtesy of @keysersoze123

Edited October 8, 2021 by Menor

[Eric the Minion]

23 hours ago, Eric Safin said:

Halloween Kills Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	24	557	4268	13.05%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 47

 

Comp

0.794x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-8 (15.39M)

1.751x of The Conjuring 3 T-8 (17.17M)

0.556x of F9 T-8 (3.95M)

1.450x of The Suicide Squad T-8 (5.95M)

0.579x of Venom 2 T-9 (6.72M)

Halloween Kills Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	24	614	4268	14.39%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 57

 

Comp

0.774x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-7 (15M)

1.754x of The Conjuring 3 T-7 (17.2M)

0.581x of F9 T-7 (4.13M)

1.479x of The Suicide Squad T-7 (6.07M)

0.591x of Venom 2 T-7 (6.86M)

[keysersoze123]

I dont have final update as I lost a file which had data for older shows and MTC1 does not return data after some time the shows are over. Still @Porthos expectations seem accurate. I would say 6m previews(including early shows) and its headed for OW below spectre based on how it has been trending past few days. 

Edited October 8, 2021 by keysersoze123

[Eric the Minion]

23 hours ago, Eric Safin said:

Dune Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	33	576	6716	8.58%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 41

 

Comp

0.820x of F9 T-15 (5.83M)

0.311x of Black Widow T-15 (4.11M)

2.313x of The Suicide Squad T-15 (9.48M)

0.695x of Shang-Chi T-15 (6.11M)

1.043x of Venom 2 T-15 (12.1M)

Dune Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-14 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	33	638	6716	9.50%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 62

 

Comp

0.345x of Black Widow T-14 (4.55M)

2.426x of The Suicide Squad T-14 (9.95M)

0.719x of Shang-Chi T-14 (6.33M)

1.008x of Venom 2 T-14 (11.69M)

[Ozymandias]

Another A24 hit this weekend with GA

 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Dune OW over No Time To Die OW club on the way 

[keysersoze123]

No Time to Die

MTC1 Friday PS End - 121363/866902 1938323.65 4798 shows

 

Final day PS surge was meh like the previews walkups. Let us see how things go tomorrow.

[charlie Jatinder]

Blech FRI pace. Guess 19M best case FRI. Thinking 65-67M OW.

 

I never really thought NTTD will open better than Spectre but pre-sales were pretty healthy and many on forum believed it will open better than Spectre, so thought may be it can/

 

Though goes to tell that BOND as a franchise is pre-sales heavy in US as well. 

Edited October 8, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[AdrianL]

an opening in ths 60s makes sense. Idk how on earth this was supposed to outopen MCU films lol but hopefully it can play well for the rest of the month. 

Edited October 8, 2021 by AdrianL

[charlie Jatinder]

@excel1 strikes again. 😛

[EmpireCity]

Holy shit you guys.  I leave the thread for less than a day and come back to an hysterical funeral where Cinema is declared dead and we should just throw every adult movie on streaming.  

 

You people have got to get a grip on yourselves.  

[Inceptionzq]

7 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Time to Die Megaplex

 

T-1 days Friday(212 showings): 5380(+1280)/56218 in 15 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 22.52M

No Time to Die Megaplex Friday(212 showings)

 

6731(+1351)/56218 in 15 theaters

 

Black Widow comp: 20.72M

 

The decrease isn't surprising considering the MTC data. BW comp will probably be under 20M by tomorrow morning.

[Joyous Legion]

22 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

Holy shit you guys.  I leave the thread for less than a day and come back to an hysterical funeral where Cinema is declared dead and we should just throw every adult movie on streaming.  

 

You people have got to get a grip on yourselves.  

This seems like a bit of an exaggeration 😛 

[Porthos]

On 10/7/2021 at 12:40 AM, Porthos said:

 

Dune Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-15 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	74	11106	11649	543	4.66%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

52

 

Day 3 Comp

	%		Sold Day 3	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9	98.91		78	549		0/92	13434/13983	3.93%		7.35m
SC	64.18		120	846		0/101	16156/17002	4.98%		5.65m
V2	107.10		90	507		0/148	24646/25153	2.02%		12.42m

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp have been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

 

1.106x of NTTD after Day 3 (???)

 

Regal: 147/4349 [3.38% sold] [+5 tickets]

 

Dune Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-14 Days and Counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	75	11219	11831	612	5.17%

 

Total Showtimes Added Today	1
Total Seats Added Today	182
Total Seats Sold Today	69

 

Day 4 Comp

	%		Sold Day 4	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9	104.97		34	583		0/92	13400/13983	4.17%		7.80m
SC	63.29		121	967		0/101	16035/17002	5.69%		5.57m
V2	107.56		62	569		0/150	24672/25241	2.25%		12.48m

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp have been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

 

1.089x of NTTD after Day 4 (???)

 

Regal: 161/4531 [3.55% sold] [+14 tickets]

 

===

 

Apologies for the delay, but internet was down for a while.  Aside from that, turned out to be a rather nice day in Sacto, all things considered. 

 

Also nice?  Gonna switch to T-x comps starting tomorrow.  SC will remain unchanged, as it had the same number of days of pre-sales, but both the F9 and V2 comps will get a hatchet taken to them, so keep that in mind.

[riveredge]

Anything for Last Night in Soho?