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grim22

The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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Litio Sleeper Hit

Litio

Posted
Posted

40.055k 2018-10-18 THU Halloween ($7.7m)

 

28.191k   2018-09-06 THU The Nun ($5.4m)

 

44.337k  2019-03-21 THU   Us

 

Both comparisons would lead US previews numbers close to $8.5m, but it depends on how many theaters they were played on thursday. I believe US had a lower number of theaters. $8m looks a good target.

 

Extra

 

119.526k total sales for Captain Marvel on previews (including all formats) ($20.7m)

 

That would mean $7.68m for US.

 

Very curious if these comparisons mean something.

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MrGlass2 Summer Tentpole

MrGlass2

Posted
Posted 
Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-03-22 13:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	52.653%	38877	Us (2019)
2	16.327%	12055	Captain Marvel (2019)
3	09.663%	7135	Fandango Early Access Shazam!
4	03.536%	2611	Wonder Park
5	03.371%	2489	Five Feet Apart
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Eric Loves Rey Global Phenomenon

Eric Loves Rey

Posted
Posted

Here's a funny little observation. At Marcus Theaters, Hellboy, of all movies, has "supertickets" on sale. For $20, you get to see a Thursday night screening of the movie, as well as a Funko Pop and a poster. And for whatever reason, two people already bought tickets for it.

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Cap Summer Tentpole

Cap

Posted
Posted
51 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Here's a funny little observation. At Marcus Theaters, Hellboy, of all movies, has "supertickets" on sale. For $20, you get to see a Thursday night screening of the movie, as well as a Funko Pop and a poster. And for whatever reason, two people already bought tickets for it.

That is a steal.  And Never, Ever question Funko Pop collectors.  They are a rabid and scary bunch. 

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Stewart Box Office Gold

Stewart

Posted
Posted
20 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

That is a steal.  And Never, Ever question Funko Pop collectors.  They are a rabid and scary bunch. 

Can confirm, that's a bargain for new Pops. My brother was a pop collector (had over 200), but when he went through some money troubles last year he sold about 150 of them, ended up making over $1000 off the sale (he kept the ones he liked and the more valuable ones).

 

He would literally snap them up when he could. 

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Eric Loves Rey Global Phenomenon

Eric Loves Rey

Posted
Posted 
2019-03-24 20:00:00	2309	Us (2019)
2019-03-24 20:00:00	557	Captain Marvel (2019)
2019-03-24 20:00:00	119	Five Feet Apart
2019-03-24 20:00:00	103	Dumbo (2019)
2019-03-24 20:00:00	77	How to Train Your Dragon The Hidden World
2019-03-24 20:00:00	70	No Manches Frida 2
2019-03-24 20:00:00	66	Wonder Park
2019-03-24 20:00:00	60	Us The IMAX 2D Experience
2019-03-24 20:00:00	47	Tyler Perrys A Madea Family Funeral
2019-03-24 20:00:00	36	Captain Marvel The IMAX 2D Experience

 

andsoitbegins.gif

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Eric Loves Rey Global Phenomenon

Eric Loves Rey

Posted
Posted

Movie/Date Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday

Sunday

Dumbo 577 654 770 564 463 443 1,345
  11 days 10 days 9 days 8 days 7 days 6 days 5 days
               
Shazam! 362 285 290 226 176 198 498
  18 days 17 days 16 days 15 days 14 days 13 days 12 days

 

Dumbo

Past 7 Days

108% of Lego 2 (37M)

76% of Dragon 3 (41.8M)

 

Day 18-Day 5

124% of Lego 2 (42.5M)

85% of Dragon 3 (46.7M)

 

Shazam

Past 7 Days

108% of Lego 2 (37M)

70% of Dragon 3 (38.3M)

 

Day 23-Day 12

220% of Lego 2 (75M)

98% of Dragon 3 (53.8M)

 

 

-Dumbo started out relatively strong at first, but it hasn't really been as strong nor as held as well as Lego and Dragon had recently, which is kinda reflected with these numbers. I guess Lego and Dragon being sequels inflate their presales, but Dumbo is still an established property, so...maybe I'll just wait for Monday's #s, so I can get more material to work off of.

 

-Shazam's sales have been pretty mediocre, but it's arguably excused by the fact by the Fandango showings being of greater priority. So hey, with those out of the way, maybe Shazam will crawl its way back up to bigger numbers?

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TwoMisfits Global Phenomenon

TwoMisfits

Posted
Posted
6 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

Movie/Date Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday

Sunday

Dumbo 577 654 770 564 463 443 1,345
  11 days 10 days 9 days 8 days 7 days 6 days 5 days
               
Shazam! 362 285 290 226 176 198 498
  18 days 17 days 16 days 15 days 14 days 13 days 12 days

 

Dumbo

Past 7 Days

108% of Lego 2 (37M)

76% of Dragon 3 (41.8M)

 

Day 18-Day 5

124% of Lego 2 (42.5M)

85% of Dragon 3 (46.7M)

 

Shazam

Past 7 Days

108% of Lego 2 (37M)

70% of Dragon 3 (38.3M)

 

Day 23-Day 12

220% of Lego 2 (75M)

98% of Dragon 3 (53.8M)

 

 

-Dumbo started out relatively strong at first, but it hasn't really been as strong nor as held as well as Lego and Dragon had recently, which is kinda reflected with these numbers. I guess Lego and Dragon being sequels inflate their presales, but Dumbo is still an established property, so...maybe I'll just wait for Monday's #s, so I can get more material to work off of.

 

-Shazam's sales have been pretty mediocre, but it's arguably excused by the fact by the Fandango showings being of greater priority. So hey, with those out of the way, maybe Shazam will crawl its way back up to bigger numbers?

I owe you a like (I'm out from Dora yesterday:)...

 

But as for tracking vs presales, Dumbo has had $60M+ tracking for weeks and Shazam has had $45M+ tracking for the same period...most of us said those 2 numbers should have been swapped weeks ago...if you swap the tracking. both of the presales look on point so far:)...

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ThomasNicole Blockbuster

ThomasNicole

Posted
Posted
6 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

Movie/Date Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday

Sunday

Dumbo 577 654 770 564 463 443 1,345
  11 days 10 days 9 days 8 days 7 days 6 days 5 days
               
Shazam! 362 285 290 226 176 198 498
  18 days 17 days 16 days 15 days 14 days 13 days 12 days

 

Dumbo

Past 7 Days

108% of Lego 2 (37M)

76% of Dragon 3 (41.8M)

 

Day 18-Day 5

124% of Lego 2 (42.5M)

85% of Dragon 3 (46.7M)

 

Shazam

Past 7 Days

108% of Lego 2 (37M)

70% of Dragon 3 (38.3M)

 

Day 23-Day 12

220% of Lego 2 (75M)

98% of Dragon 3 (53.8M)

 

 

-Dumbo started out relatively strong at first, but it hasn't really been as strong nor as held as well as Lego and Dragon had recently, which is kinda reflected with these numbers. I guess Lego and Dragon being sequels inflate their presales, but Dumbo is still an established property, so...maybe I'll just wait for Monday's #s, so I can get more material to work off of.

 

-Shazam's sales have been pretty mediocre, but it's arguably excused by the fact by the Fandango showings being of greater priority. So hey, with those out of the way, maybe Shazam will crawl its way back up to bigger numbers?

Lego 2 / Dragon 3 also have official reviews out for a time at this point, which probably help presales being stable.

 

I think today and tomorrow with reviews dropping will tell more about Dumbo potential

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kitik Global Phenomenon

kitik

Posted
Posted

These are the Thursday night preview start times I'm seeing at my local theater:

 

Dumbo - 6:00

Shazam - 4:00

Pet Sematary - 7:00

The Best of Enemies - 7:00

Missing Link - 4:00

Hellboy - 7:00

Little - 7:00

 

 

 

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XXR vs XXR Global Phenomenon

XXR vs XXR

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

I don’t think Dumbo even hits 50M this weekend.  Don’t feel any hype for it whatsoever.

 

Sadly I agree. I’m thinking $41-44m. I hope it is well received and has strong enough legs to get to $150m though. 

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