Weekend Thread | Wknd #'s A:IW 61.8, LOTP 18.5, BI 16.5, OB 10.1, AQP 6.4, IFP 3.7, R 3.4, T 2.2

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[a2k]

rampage needs 10.2 after a 3.5 weekend. usually i would feel certain but next 2 weekends are going to be heavy. maybe summer weekdays post mem day will help. maybe someone will make a phone call to wb saying "it gets to 100 or i am not playing black adam".

[WrathOfHan]

Life of the Party's Sunday increase was only 13% to 6.9M @aabattery

 

This increase is about half of what Snatched did last year. WOM is definitely spreading.

Edited May 14, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[Jake Gittes]

Rampage was never getting to 100m after its drop against IW. And it's a little wild to me that so many people here now seem to believe that a movie can get to like 95-96m and from there on it can be fudged. I mean A Wrinkle in Time just proved how much that can backfire and even that was an exceptional case in the first place.

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

Rampage was never getting to 100m after its drop against IW. And it's a little wild to me that so many people here now seem to believe that a movie can get to like 95-96m and from there on it can be fudged. I mean A Wrinkle in Time just proved how much that can backfire and even that was an exceptional case in the first place.

Especially when Sony's attempt to push Sausage Party past $100M two years ago backfired gloriously. 

Edited May 14, 2018 by filmlover

[harrycaul]

No way you can fudge an end-of-run movie from 95. 

[Boxofficerules]

11 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Life of the Party's Sunday increase was only 13% to 6.9M @aabattery

 

This increase is about half of what Snatched did last year. WOM is definitely spreading.

Didn’t people say it should easily outgross Snatched cause Snached was rated R?

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Especially when Sony's attempt to push Sausage Party past $100M two years ago backfired gloriously. 

True, but Sony will always have the glory of SPECTRE

[filmlover]

Just now, TalismanRing said:

True, but Sony will always have the glory of SPECTRE

And Passengers lmao (that movie's hilarious crawl to $100M is pretty much the only thing anybody remembers about it at this point, and even then...).

[MrPink]

I feel like the studios wait too long to fudge to 100. If they laid the groundwork earlier, they could do it a little bit easier without being quite as obvious. Like I'm surprised Sony didn't try some kind of fudging during the holidays with Spectre when it was still actually making noticeable grosses so they wouldn't have to do a laborious stretch in February/March

[Mekanos]

Only time in recent history I've seen fudging work is WB's attempts to make Wonder Woman the highest grossing superhero origin movie ever. WB capitalized on a crappy August by adding more screens and barely got it past the finish line.

 

...then a little kitty stripped that title away a few months later.

Edited May 14, 2018 by Mekanos

[terrestrial]

nvm.

 

Edited May 14, 2018 by terrestrial

[Joel M]

17 minutes ago, Mekanos said:

Only time in recent history I've seen fudging work is WB's attempts to make Wonder Woman the highest grossing superhero origin movie ever. WB capitalized on a crappy August by adding more screens and barely got it past the finish line.

 

...then a little kitty stripped that title away a few months later.

So 10m over Raimi's Spider-Man is now barely over the finish line.

 

[Barnack]

50 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Didn’t people say it should easily outgross Snatched cause Snached was rated R?

Didn't pay to go pg-13 at all it seem.

 

With 80% of the audience over 25 according to cinemascore, 

 

The 18-24 tend to be biggest demo with 16% of the ticket sold, add the 25 year's old and the 17 year's old, and it was probably close to 100% of an over 16 audience not affected by an R rating.

[Jake Gittes]

50 minutes ago, MrWhite said:

I feel like the studios wait too long to fudge to 100. If they laid the groundwork earlier, they could do it a little bit easier without being quite as obvious. Like I'm surprised Sony didn't try some kind of fudging during the holidays with Spectre when it was still actually making noticeable grosses so they wouldn't have to do a laborious stretch in February/March

This has been done I think. Check out these PTA increases on Superman Returns way back when

 

Aug 4–6	14	$2,158,227	-43.0%	1,710	-295	$1,262	$190,176,570	6
Aug 11–13	18	$1,242,461	-42.4%	750	-960	$1,656	$192,594,159	7
Aug 18–20	21	$848,255	-31.7%	383	-367	$2,214	$194,165,746	8
Aug 25–27	21	$780,405	-8.0%	311	-72	$2,509	$195,388,237	9
Sep 1–3	18	$874,141	+12.0%	281	-30	$3,110	$196,576,057	10
Sep 1–4	19	$1,115,228	+42.9%	281	-30	$3,968	$196,817,144	10
Sep 8–10	23	$453,273	-48.1%	241	-40	$1,880	$197,430,626	11
Sep 15–17	24	$386,424	-14.7%	144	-97	$2,683	$198,008,105	12
Sep 22–24	28	$301,373	-22.0%	124	-20	$2,430	$198,447,055	13
Sep 29–Oct 1	22	$403,377	+33.8%	410	+286	$983	$198,935,940	14
Oct 6–8	24	$296,502	-26.5%	388	-22	$764	$199,394,532	15
Oct 13–15	26	$216,430	-27.0%	348	-40	$621	$199,732,905	16
Oct 20–22	34	$173,300	-19.9%	303	-45	$572	$200,006,305	17
Oct 27–29	55	$40,505	-76.6%	41	-262	$987	$200,069,408	18

[MrPink]

5 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

This has been done I think. Check out these PTA increases on Superman Returns way back when

 

Aug 4–6	14	$2,158,227	-43.0%	1,710	-295	$1,262	$190,176,570	6
Aug 11–13	18	$1,242,461	-42.4%	750	-960	$1,656	$192,594,159	7
Aug 18–20	21	$848,255	-31.7%	383	-367	$2,214	$194,165,746	8
Aug 25–27	21	$780,405	-8.0%	311	-72	$2,509	$195,388,237	9
Sep 1–3	18	$874,141	+12.0%	281	-30	$3,110	$196,576,057	10
Sep 1–4	19	$1,115,228	+42.9%	281	-30	$3,968	$196,817,144	10
Sep 8–10	23	$453,273	-48.1%	241	-40	$1,880	$197,430,626	11
Sep 15–17	24	$386,424	-14.7%	144	-97	$2,683	$198,008,105	12
Sep 22–24	28	$301,373	-22.0%	124	-20	$2,430	$198,447,055	13
Sep 29–Oct 1	22	$403,377	+33.8%	410	+286	$983	$198,935,940	14
Oct 6–8	24	$296,502	-26.5%	388	-22	$764	$199,394,532	15
Oct 13–15	26	$216,430	-27.0%	348	-40	$621	$199,732,905	16
Oct 20–22	34	$173,300	-19.9%	303	-45	$572	$200,006,305	17
Oct 27–29	55	$40,505	-76.6%	41	-262	$987	$200,069,408	18

 

This one is almost believable when you remove the PTA aspect out of it.

[filmlover]

Sony also pushed Bad Teacher past the $100M hard several years back.

 

Jun 24–26	2	$31,603,106	-	3,049	-	$10,365	$31,603,106	1
Jul 1–3	3	$14,506,592	-54.1%	3,049	-	$4,758	$59,952,563	2
Jul 1–4	3	$17,261,534	-45.4%	3,049	-	$5,661	$62,707,505	2
Jul 8–10	5	$8,914,412	-38.5%	2,962	-87	$3,010	$78,671,819	3
Jul 15–17	7	$5,152,447	-42.2%	2,659	-303	$1,938	$88,457,639	4
Jul 22–24	9	$2,610,925	-49.3%	2,034	-625	$1,284	$94,365,688	5
Jul 29–31	14	$842,740	-67.7%	765	-1,269	$1,102	$96,718,147	6
Aug 5–7	21	$341,825	-59.4%	350	-415	$977	$97,513,967	7
Aug 12–14	29	$203,827	-40.4%	149	-201	$1,368	$97,901,421	8
Aug 19–21	38	$106,189	-47.9%	100	-49	$1,062	$98,108,425	9
Aug 26–28	38	$100,214	-5.6%	75	-25	$1,336	$98,264,694	10
Sep 2–4	31	$477,188	+376%	986	+911	$484	$98,777,576	11
Sep 2–5	31	$559,155	+458%	986	+911	$567	$98,859,543	11
Sep 9–11	48	$59,365	-87.6%	96	-890	$618	$99,039,414	12
Sep 16–18	29	$326,549	+450%	474	+378	$689	$99,390,898	13
Sep 23–25	34	$160,977	-50.7%	232	-242	$694	$99,685,143	14
Sep 30–Oct 2	16	$473,817	+194%	354	+122	$1,338	$100,226,015	15
Oct 7–9	56	$32,554	-93.1%	64	-290	$509	$100,292,856	16

[Barnack]

6 minutes ago, MrWhite said:

This one is almost believable when you remove the PTA aspect out of it.

PTA seem logical also, raise only one a holiday weekend or massive theatrical count lost. Unlike the Bad Teacher example just above.