HAN SOLO MEMORIAL (day weekend) THREAD | Solo Flops Domestically with 83M/101M weekend. Spectacularly Bombs Overseas with 65M weekend.

[The Panda]

16 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

There’s zero chance for an MCU movie to miss 200 DOM right now. Literally zero.

Nothing is ever a 0% chance, Ant-Man may not miss 200m but it’s certainly no lock.

[Ozymandias]

1 minute ago, dudalb said:

I am a Tolkien nerd who is very skeptical about the TV show.

I'm cautiously optimistic.

[a2k]

11 minutes ago, Mekanos said:

Solo under GOTG 3 day is what’s blowing my mind right now.

solo under asm2 3-day (91.6) likely. could be in this ballpark too:

75	Thor: The Dark World	BV	$85,737,841	41.5%	3,841	$22,322	$206,362,140	11/8/2013
76	X2: X-Men United	Fox	$85,558,731	39.8%	3,741	$22,870	$214,949,694	5/2/2003
77	Fifty Shades of Grey	Uni.	$85,171,450	51.3%	3,646	$23,360	$166,167,230	2/13/2015
78	Doctor Strange	BV	$85,058,311	36.6%	3,882	$21,911	$232,641,920	11/4/2016
79	X-Men Origins: Wolverine	Fox	$85,058,003	47.3%	4,099	$20,751	$179,883,157	5/1/2009

[Legion Again]

1 minute ago, Pandamia! said:

Nothing is ever a 0% chance, Ant-Man may not miss 200m but it’s certainly no lock.

What is the chance, in your opinion, that Ant-Man and the Wasp will have a Domestic total below $10M?

Edited May 25, 2018 by Thanos Legion

[dudalb]

10 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Just go back to the old SW strategy up until ROs release. A mainline trilogy every decade or so with 3 years between each. Worked so well for 40 years for a reason.

The Three Years between films is one reason why the 007 franchise has such incredible longetivity.

[John Harris]

That Solo number looks bad... but it’s awfully early on Friday to make anything other than educated guesses right now. Deadline’s numbers are notorious for jumping all over the place during the early part of the weekend.

[Daxtreme]

Just now, dudalb said:

The Three Years between films is one reason why the 007 franchise has such incredible longetivity.

 

Spectre crawl to 200M 

 

Never forget

 

[filmnerdjamie]

13 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

LF has episode 9.

 

If that sucks they will probably fire Kathleen and rebrand in 5 to 7 years

The Last Jedi didn't leave general audiences begging for more and Episode IX lacks a hook.

 

Doubt Kennedy goes anywhere nor should she. She's delivered the goods, so far. Regardless of how she's handled it, she got the job done.

[Noctis]

ERC reporting $32m estimate for Friday

[MovieMan89]

2 minutes ago, Pandamia! said:

Nothing is ever a 0% chance, Ant-Man may not miss 200m but it’s certainly no lock.

It’s a lock barring BvS WOM. So sure, if that happens then it becomes possible to miss. But what are the odds of that, especially with an ant man film? 

[Ozymandias]

seriously can't wait for the half in the bag review of this

[Nova]

Watching the original Spider-Man to get that ugly Deadpool 2 drop off of my mind. Even after all these years it's so damn good. 

[harrycaul]

The business reality is they aren't going to make fewer Star Wars movie and they aren't going to space them out further. Neither of those is a realistic plan.

 

What they have to do instead is find a way for the side adventures to appeal to very broad audiences.

 

It's entirely possible to do this, they have an entire universe to work with. They probably do need some tonal variation. The need some story scale variation. All this is very do-able.

 

What I'm interested in hearing is how do they capture a reasonable share of the China market? It's important that they do, but it's difficult to see how. 

 

 

[grim22]

1 minute ago, Noctis said:

ERC reporting $32m estimate for Friday

Welcome back Noctis. Your trolling was missed 

[dudalb]

2 minutes ago, Ozymandias said:

I'm cautiously optimistic.

The problem is the "additional material" they are using as the basis of the TV show is pretty thin;just a outline not much meat on it.

And I note that one reason why the Hobbit trilogy was so disspointing is so much of was pretty much pulled out of PJ' butt with little or no roots in the Tolkien novel. I am not a purist but something which takes maybe on paragraph from the Appendices and tries to expand that into a three out plotline for a movie or TV series is going to make me suspicious.

[nevermore]

2 minutes ago, Noctis said:

ERC reporting $32m estimate for Friday

 crumbling 

Edited May 25, 2018 by nevermore

[Mekanos]

I am curious if the female co-lead will give AMATW a boost worth mentioning.

[Valonqar]

9 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:

 

There's only so much you can do with always the same setting

 

Which is why they have to switch it up big time if they want to steer the ship

 

Yeah, SW went overboard with the same setting - same timeline, same planets, different planets that look the same, same ships, same uniforms (why the fuck Poe, Finn, Cassian and young Han wear the same Han Wannabe jackets? How the fuck you distinguish those generic characters from each other?), same everything. MCU is criticized for recycling the same plot (McGuffin rinse repeat) but at least the movies look different and characters are very distinguishable (which is especially pronounced in AIW where a group if quippy characters managed to sound different from one another, no small feat). And they don't lack imagination when it comes to space, unlike Disney Wars. 

 

So it isn't that MCU has more options but that SW is not creating options for itself because the management is stuck in the same timeline and/or design/story/characters/etc. 

[a2k]

2 minutes ago, Pandamia! said:

Nothing is ever a 0% chance, Ant-Man may not miss 200m but it’s certainly no lock.

im2 showed a drop from im1 and aou from ta.

else the next worst sequel performance in mcu was thor2's 206 up from thor1's 181 which takes am2 over 200 as am1 did almost same as thor1 with 180 dom.

 

unless am2 is a baaaaad movie, it gonna hit 200 especially with mcu riding higher than ever after bp and aiw.

[Legion Again]

So what I’m hearing is that franchises should stick to a schedule of:    

 

One film per 3-4 years    

 

OR   

 

One year per 3-4 films       

 

 

And anything else throws you out of balance