AVENGERS: ENDGAME WEEKEND THREAD l Actuals: $357.115M | $866.526M OS, $1.223B WW l Russos true box office kings l *** NO SPOILERS - Even Tagged ***| SALE NOW LIVE: 50% Off Gold Montly, 25% Off Gold Annually

[Krissykins]

2 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

I think it now as well. I wanted to be more cautious and wait for the 2nd weekend drops around the world, but im now convinced.

 

Avatar WW is toast.

A 2.3x multiplier is all it needs? That will be easy. 

 

$3b is the real target after a weekend of this size. 

[Ororo Munroe]

11 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

You can disagree with the sentiment in La Binoche's original words; but there is some truth to Ehrlich's tweet. From an economic perspective, Disney is approaching monopoly status in the movie industry. If you have studied economics at all, you would know monopolies are almost never good for consumers.

 

Yes, this is a massive weekend worth celebrating if you're a box office fan or a Marvel fan. There's also room for concern from people who love the industry or movies other than CBMs.

There may be some truth to Ehrlich's tweet but attempting to shame fans is just more of him being an attention seeking contrarian. The guy is annoying af. 

[Sindreee]

54 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

I'm just joking. but yes, I think records will fall sooner than people think cause now is easier to create a perfect storm. I mean, EG demolished IW's record and will make 3 billie after IW's 2 billie. those types of numbers (2 billie) will soon become more frequent thanks to expanded markets, inflation, increasing number of IMAX, AVX, VIP, etc specialty screens that charge more. 

2 Billie is not easy in 2019 when the ER is so shit.

[Rebeccas]

5 minutes ago, HeadShot said:

 

um the entire movie industry is a monopoly. Sony Pictures is owned by giant conglomerate Sony. WB is owned by AT&T. Etc. People are only hating on Disney because they are producing decent content and having success. WB could have been 2x bigger than Disney with Harry Potter, DC, LOTR etc. No one is to blame for their failure. 

 

The fact that Disney never got bought out is kind of a feat honestly.

[VanillaSkies]

1 minute ago, baumer said:

Furthermore Infinity Wars fell 15% on Sunday. So why are they projecting this one to drop more?

Just gives us something to look forward to tomorrow when it increases in actuals.

Also, they are predicting a 40% drop on Sunday for Captain Marvel. 

That seems rather steep as well given that spillover business should continue, so it's figures could also go up. 

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, baumer said:

Furthermore Infinity Wars fell 15% on Sunday. So why are they projecting this one to drop more?

350,000,000

[Thomas Beck]

1 minute ago, Krissykins said:

A 2.3x multiplier is all it needs? That will be easy. 

  

$3b is the real target after a weekend of this size. 

But maybe standard multipliers do not apply with an opening this big?

[Webslinger]

Even with a full day to know it was headed there, it's still tough to wrap my head around the fact that Endgame beat the previous weekend record in two days and landed nearly $100 million higher. Like, I absolutely did not think that the realistic ceiling for a film's opening weekend was this high.

[ZackM]

2 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

That top bar is ridiculous :))

 

 

Especially when you crop the first $150m.

[HeadShot]

4 minutes ago, TMP said:

WB DOESN'T CONTROL THE DAY-TO-DAY OPERATIONS OF HBO!

They're two different assets owned by the same parent company (Time Warner). That's like saying that LucasFilm scheduled Toy Story 4 to come out in June or something.

WB only needed to send out a request and HBO would follow. It's obvious that they have been trying to stop the Marvel train this entire year. Shazam being released after Captain Marvel - to try to suck up some of the GA interest for SH movies before EG

Winterfell episode debuting same weekend as EG

Pikachu released 2 weeks after EG to cut off it's legs.

[MovieMan89]

6 minutes ago, A Panda of Ice and Fire said:

I faintly remember everyone saying the same thing about TFA in 2015

Eh, not really though. In fact, many of us kept saying that if a movie with TFAs hype could open outside of the deflated holiday season, it could go much higher. Most people were also already thinking IX could beat TFAs OW at the time too (which ironically is unlikely now). TFA broke the record by 40m. EG is breaking it by 100. C’mon, there’s zero chance this record falls before 2025 at the absolute earliest, and I honestly don’t see it happening before 2030. That’s how long I think it will take for another franchise to get this big and have a long built up climax+ inflation to help. 

Edited April 28, 2019 by MovieMan89

[Krissykins]

Just now, Thomas Beck said:

But maybe standard multipliers do not apply with an opening this big?

Audiences seem to be loving it though 

[XXR vs XXR]

4 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Um... and Civil War, which made even more than Aquaman.

 

Isn't that technically more unbelievable??

 

 

Or are you just trying to start a DC thing? Lol 

 

If it adjusts upwards another $6m, it's over Iron Man 3 worldwide  

 

[Valonqar]

Just now, Sindreee said:

2 Billie is not easy in 2019 when the ER is so shit.

movies that do it usually create critical mass (of movie goers) that offsets shitty ER. 

[jb007]

Phenomenal is an understatement here. 😎

 

Just cannot wait for AEG to brush aside the king of egomaniacs and take the crown. 

[expensiveho]

CM just under $200k less than Catching Fire (on the same day), hopefully it'll pass it with actuals. 

 

It had standard drops after that weekend and added 11m off a 4.3m weekend. $430m sounds likely for CM with $435m not completely dead.

[setna]

I think this list is the best explanation of this monstruosity…..

Fastest to $300m

Fastest to $400m

 

Rank	Date	Movie	Days to Milestone	Cumulative Gross After Passing Milestone
1	Apr 26, 2019	Avengers: Endgame	3	$350,000,000
2	Dec 23, 2015	Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens	6	$363,460,329
3	May 4, 2018	Avengers: Infinity War	8	$369,786,289
4	Feb 23, 2018	Black Panther	9	$368,297,777
5	Jun 19, 2015	Jurassic World	9	$364,438,555
6	Dec 22, 2017	Star Wars Ep. VIII: The Last Jedi	9	$350,537,855
7	May 11, 2012	The Avengers	10	$373,071,647
8	Jun 25, 2018	Incredibles 2	11	$360,211,422
9	Dec 28, 2016	Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	13	$358,656,173
10	Jul 31, 2008	The Dark Knight	14	$351,086,846
11	Mar 31, 2017	Beauty and the Beast	15	$360,756,693
12	May 15, 2015	Avengers: Age of Ultron	16	$360,394,291
13	Jul 1, 2016	Finding Dory	16	$358,889,536
14	Aug 3, 2012	The Dark Knight Rises	17	$353,935,094
15	Jan 1, 2010	Avatar	17	$352,114,898
16	May 23, 2016	Captain America: Civil War	18	$350,236,681
17	May 24, 2013	Iron Man 3	22	$353,228,940
18	Jul 13, 2018	Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom	22	$352,422,660
19	Dec 13, 2013	The Hunger Games: Catching Fire	23	$353,684,449
20	Jul 28, 2006	Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest	23	$352,233,958

[Nero]

2 hours ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

SW IX has a small chance to pass the Thursday record set by Endgame. 0 chance to beat the Avengers Endgame opening weekend.

0 chance for Thursday too IMO.. Hype is not there for it like TFA.. 

[LonePirate]

7 minutes ago, Rebeccas said:

I didn't see this handwringing when people were rooting for Roma to win Best Picture even though Netflix is basically doing the same shit for streaming though.

The major difference with Netflix is that companies, especially large ones, are entering the streaming market. You don't see major new movie studios opening. Netflix makes movies for its service, not for mass box office distribution, as that would be cannibalization to some degree.

[Jonwo]

The best thing for other studios to do is to do what Disney isn’t doing