SHANG-CHI WEEKEND THREAD | NO SPOILERS | 75.38M 3-Day, 94.67M 4-Day. Record for Labor Day! | Tony Leung saved the theater! | Get Vaccinated and Wear a mask.

[MrPink]

If NWH is moving, it's not because of this number, it's because Sony already made up their minds. 70m 4-day definitely makes 200m a good target.

 

And yes I think it's going higher than that too.

 

 

Edited September 3, 2021 by MrPink

[Madhuvan]

This will be frontloaded I think and so will be every Marvel movie from now. MCU is like Star Wars in this sense.

 

I am not disappointed but just sad. Numbers are ok , a lil below my final expectations but whatever.

 

8.8m

18m

18.5m

13m

 

nice 3-day weekend of 57-58m and 65-67m 4-day weekend.

Edited September 3, 2021 by Madhuvan

[Krissykins]

I think this number is good for the remaining schedule of films in 2021. Especially if the headline is a $70m 4 day. 

[filmlover]

A $60M+ opening would be more than enough to forget about doing a potential hybrid release with Eternals in November since that always seemed to have more going for it on paper. I'm sure Marvel will be happy with these numbers for their new characters (who are clearly being set up as potential leads for the next set of Avengers movies), since everything they have on deck after Eternals through Summer 2023 is a sequel featuring characters introduced pre-Endgame.

[fabiopazzo2]

1 minute ago, Madhuvan said:

This will be frontloaded I think and so will be every Marvel movie from now. MCU is like Star Wars in this sense.

 

I am not disappointed but just sad. Numbers are ok , a lil below my final expectations but whatever.

 

8.8m

18m

18.5m

13m

 

nice 3-day weekend of 57-58m and 65m 4-day weekend.

I dont find The problem about this Numbers. It's unknow character during The covid era

[Menor the Destroyer]

Just now, Madhuvan said:

This will be frontloaded I think and so will be every Marvel movie from now. MCU is like Star Wars in this sense.

 

I am not disappointed but just sad. Numbers are ok , a lil below my final expectations but whatever.

 

8.8m

18m

18.5m

13m

 

nice 3-day weekend of 57-58m and 65m 4-day weekend.

Ok you are just being unreasonable with that Sunday drop. This is Labor Day weekend. Why on earth would it have a worse Sunday drop than BW? 

 

Anyway it's funny how many people were saying that this movie was gonna open with 30 or 40 million after TSS's OW and now an 8.8 preview is being treated as a disappointment (and btw 8.8 was entirely in the range that the tracking thread was predicting). 

[Cmasterclay]

4 minutes ago, Madhuvan said:

This will be frontloaded I think and so will be every Marvel movie from now. MCU is like Star Wars in this sense.

 

I am not disappointed but just sad. Numbers are ok , a lil below my final expectations but whatever.

 

8.8m

18m

18.5m

13m

 

nice 3-day weekend of 57-58m and 65-67m 4-day weekend.

Agreed. All of the tracking numbers, which have already overestimated this, indicate that this is heading towards a high teens, low 20s true Friday and flat Saturday.

 

To immediately contradict myself, Candyman and F9 also looked frontloaded, under performed tracking, then did amazing Friday sales day of, so maybe that's a new thing.

Edited September 3, 2021 by Cmasterclay

[TalismanRing]

Just now, Madhuvan said:

This will be frontloaded I think and so will be every Marvel movie from now. MCU is like Star Wars in this sense.

 

I am not disappointed but just sad. Numbers are ok , a lil below my final expectations but whatever.

 

8.8m

18m

18.5m

13m

 

nice 3-day weekend of 57-58m and 65m 4-day weekend.

 

Based on what?  BW?

 

TFA off 57m in previews did 248m. AIW did $257m off 39m previews.  AEG off $60m did $357m.  Those are not comparable internal multipliers.   Captain Marvel had a 7.4 multi with previews 2.35 times as high as SC.

 

 

[Krissykins]

15 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Not only this film, its supposed to be genuine on every film. What someone had pointed out would be how often wrong it is.

I disagree. I’ve noticed the differing reactions to tracking for certain films. But I won’t start a franchise war. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

2 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Agreed. All of the tracking numbers, which have already overestimated this, indicate that this is heading towards a high teens, low 20s true Friday and flat Saturday.

 

To immediately contradict myself, Candyman and F9 also looked frontloaded, under performed tracking, then did amazing Friday sales day of, so maybe that's a new thing.

How did this underperform tracking? Consensus of the tracking thread was high 8s to low 9s. It landed within that range. 

[Madhuvan]

2 minutes ago, Menor said:

Ok you are just being unreasonable with that Sunday drop. This is Labor Day weekend. Why on earth would it have a worse Sunday drop than BW? 

 

Hoping you are right. Labor Day weekend is new for this so I am being pessimistic.

I am definetly not disappointed though. These are still good.  

[MrPink]

A 30% drop on Sunday makes little sense on a holiday weekend though. The Saturday would have to drop from Friday a bit.

[TigerPaw]

6 minutes ago, Madhuvan said:

This will be frontloaded I think and so will be every Marvel movie from now. MCU is like Star Wars in this sense.

 

I am not disappointed but just sad. Numbers are ok , a lil below my final expectations but whatever.

 

8.8m

18m

18.5m

13m

 

nice 3-day weekend of 57-58m and 65-67m 4-day weekend.

Since when did you become so pessimistic, haha. I think it will hit 70m just based on the WoM there.

 

Here in East / Southeast Asia, WoM is pretty average or slightly above average; but it is not the case for North America - people love the film - I wouldn’t be too worried.

 

I think 70m 4-day, over 200m dom total is highly likely.

[charlie Jatinder]

6 minutes ago, Menor said:

Anyway it's funny how many people were saying that this movie was gonna open with 30 or 40 million after TSS's OW and now an 8.8 preview is being treated as a disappointment (and btw 8.8 was entirely in the range that the tracking thread was predicting). 

see @Porthos

[Valonqar]

wait, do people seriously think SC opening could bring the hybrid back and delay NWH?  thought we were just joking about 8.8M being a flop. It's a very solid preview. 

[Krissykins]

8 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

I dont find The problem about this Numbers. It's unknow character during The covid era

On the other hand, it’s also benefiting massively from having no at-home option or initial piracy too. 
 

Shang-Chi is a good sign for cinema exclusive releases and hopefully Eternals remains one. Adding a Disney+ option to Eternals would be a kick in the face. 

Edited September 3, 2021 by Krissykins

[john2000]

no overseas number yet..at least not officially

[charlie Jatinder]

4 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

I disagree. I’ve noticed the differing reactions to tracking for certain films. But I won’t start a franchise war. 

there is no franchise war here. lemme list it clearly.

 

Tracking numbers are by tracking agencies which offer paid services for telling how much a film is gonna open. 

 

 

[TalismanRing]

4 minutes ago, MrPink said:

A 30% drop on Sunday makes little sense on a holiday weekend though. The Saturday would have to drop from Friday a bit.

 

Little is being kind.  2019 Labor Day Sunday

 

1	(1)	Angel Has Fallen	Lionsgate	$4,559,659	+5%	-19%	3,336	$1,367	$40,913,630	10
2	(2)	Good Boys	Universal	$3,710,385	+8%	+8%	3,458	$1,073	$56,513,865	17
3	(3)	The Lion King	Walt Disney	$2,764,575	+6%	+14%	3,190	$867	$521,152,746	45
4	(4)	Fast & Furious Presents: …	Universal	$2,539,530	+2%	+8%	2,972	$854	$157,273,185	31
5	(6)	Overcomer	Sony Pictures	$2,233,701	+10%	-2%	1,827	$1,223	$17,212,235	10
6	(5)	Ready or Not	Fox Searchlight	$2,186,526	n/c	-4%	2,998	$729	$20,389,072	12
7	(7)	Scary Stories to Tell in …	Lionsgate	$1,871,592	-4%	+17%	2,747	$681	$57,618,974	24
8	(11)	Once Upon a Time…in Holly…	Sony Pictures	$1,645,926	+11%	+13%	1,993	$826	$129,742,497	38
9	(8)	The Angry Birds Movie 2	Sony Pictures	$1,637,991	-2%	-15%	3,311	$495	$34,028,596	20
10	(9)	Dora and the Lost City of…	Paramount Pi…	$1,637,989	+3%	-6%	2,477	$661	$49,559,992	24
11	(10)	Spider-Man: Far From Home	Sony Pictures	$1,606,189	+4%	+235%	3,162	$508	$384,756,321	62
12	(12)	The Peanut Butter Falcon	Roadside Att…	$1,160,770	+4%	+35%	1,249	$929	$8,004,681	24
13	(14)	Toy Story 4	Walt Disney	$991,205	+8%	+170%	2,715	$365	$429,728,729	73
14	(13)	47 Meters Down: Uncaged	Entertainmen…	$883,539	-9%	-17%	2,224	$397	$19,180,347	17

[MrPink]

Yeah I can't believe 8.8m is causing doom posting. Literally yesterday I was hoping for just above 8m because I thought that would be enough to get it to around 60m 3-day. 

 

Only talk of 9-9.5m seems to have caused some kind of panic. Next time @charlie Jatinder, whatever you're thinking, adjust it down 10% so we can avoid the shenanigans.