JURASSIC WORLD: FALLEN KINGDOM | 22 JUN 2018 | Universal | J.A. Bayona to direct | The Park is Closed | NOT THE FRANCHISE WARS THREAD

[a2k]

On 5/1/2018 at 6:32 PM, Zakiyyah6 said:

I think The Lost World is the worst Jurassic movie. JP3 is stupid but at least it is entertaining. And Sam Neil is just a better lead in this series than Goldblum playing a toned down, not fun Ian Malcolm. 

Lost World as inexplicably unlikable characters irrespective of the length of the roles.

 

 

[DAJK]

I really am getting the feeling that this'll be good. Or at least pretty decent. The idea of 'two movies in one' of sorts in terms of the supposed tonal shift is actually kind of appealing to me. And the story makes it look like it'll be fun.

 

I'll up my prediction to around 425M DOM

[a2k]

Even if this drops ~36% like Lost World did from Jurassic Park then it gets 418m. 

30-35% drop gives 424-457m.

20-25% drop gives 490-522m.

I hope it can make it to 450m, along with 300m in China and 750m OS-China for 1500m ww.

[Krissykins]

It’s really hard to predict how this will do. 

 

Just like JW was last time. 

[Mekanos]

I think the lack of novelty/nostalgia is gonna hurt it. Will still get a billion no problem but I feel pretty confident it will lose to Black Panther. 

[That One Girl]

I still maintain that this looks great.  Most anticipated non Mission Impossible film of the sunmer

[Lordmandeep]

The interest is there, the issue is convincing people to pay 10-20 bucks to see it in theatres than on Netflix. 

[a2k]

I feel confident of the quality of the film. I think the drop in multiplier won't be very big. 1st one did 3.12x and I think this can do 2.65-2.70x especially if the ow is not full swing znd shows a considerable drop from the first one. 170*2.65/2.70=450-460 would be nice.

Edited May 10, 2018 by A2k Raptor
typo fixed

[excel1]

Boxoffice.com is only predicting $135m for it's opening weekend?? Seems very low. Millennials with kids will flock to this.

[That One Girl]

This will do $160M OW at the absolute worst.

[MrGamer]

I know I'm late on this, but I can't wait for T-Rex vs Lion to become a SyFy movie. 

[Valonqar]

4 minutes ago, excel1 said:

Boxoffice.com is only predicting $135m for it's opening weekend?? Seems very low. Millennials with kids will flock to this.

Wasn't JW a big walk up movie? It wasn't tracking anywhere near 200M and then shocked everyone. 

[Cap]

So many Summer Games will go up in smoke if that 135M holds. 

[ChipDerby]

Can't see this opening that low. Though I could probably see $150 mil.

[a2k]

1 hour ago, excel1 said:

Boxoffice.com is only predicting $135m for it's opening weekend?? Seems very low. Millennials with kids will flock to this.

135 is much closer to JW's 107 2nd weekend than it's 209 ow. Seems tough to believe that FK's ow will fall below the 158 mark which splits JW's 1st and 2nd weekends.

[DMan7]

I think this movie's OW will prove that the last one massive success was mostly due to Dinosaur starvation among the GA since there weren't a movie like that in over a decade or more. 

[Zakiyyah6]

It's going to open way above 135mil. No it won't open as well as the first but it will have a more massive opening than that.

[Eric Prime]

 

[Thrylos 7]

Jurassic park 2 dropped huge compared to the first, don’t see why this will be a different case.

[MovieMan89]

4 hours ago, captainwondyful said:

So many Summer Games will go up in smoke if that 135M holds. 

I predicted 144m OW and 397 total in the game, so I'm on board with BO's projections. Been saying for months now the hype just isn't there for this. 

Edited May 10, 2018 by MovieMan89