The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Menor the Destroyer]

2 minutes ago, JB33 said:

BP's 3rd weekend is what I had as well. However, it could reach $73M if it goes like this (off $8M Thursday):

 

Friday: $18.8M (+135%)

Saturday: $31.0M (+65%)

Sunday: $23.6M (-24%, Mother's Day drop)

Total: $73.4M

 

That's a more "standard" Marvel weekend. It could do it if Pika does relatively disappoint, therefor not taking much business from Endgame. Otherwise, this is my actual prediction:

 

Friday: $17.6M (+120%)

Saturday: $28.2M (+60%)

Sunday: $20.3M (-28%)

Total: $66.1M

Yeah your first prediction is far from crazy, but given the drops so far I've finally admitted that this is probably frontloading in play, therefore "normal" percent increases shouldn't be expected too much especially with the crowding this month.

[druv10]

2 hours ago, MrPink said:

First the Houston Fraudkets, now Pokemon movie is fraud too. 

 

End me now

Why did you have open up the wounds again? I decided to skip radio, TV and internet today.

[Porthos]

Detective Pikachu Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (FINAL REPORT) [3:30pm - 4:00pm]

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	112	7172	10268	30.15%

 

Total Seats Sold Since Mid-Day:       447

 

I don't have any good comps like Incredibles 2, so these will have to do.  Use with caution:

 

.4284x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom at stop of tracking.           

.5432x as many tickets sold as Crimes of Grindelwald at stop of tracking.

.5794x as many tickets sold as Ant-Man and the Wasp at stop of tracking.

.6170x as many tickers sold as Venom at stop of tracking.

NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio.  It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in a different number of theaters locally.

 

More Detailed Final Comps:

 

JW2: [5:30pm - 6:15pm]

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	147	7487	13715	45.41%

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm:           1275

 

AM&tW: [5:00pm - 5:30pm]

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	114	6515	11120	41.41%

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm:            1070

 

Pika (JW)*: [3:30pm - 4:00pm]

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	112	5739	8407	31.74%

* Pika (JW) is the number of tickets sold at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom and Ant-Man and the Wasp.

 

Total Seats Sold Since Mid-Day:      375

 

==========

 

Venom: [4:15pm - 4:50pm]

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	127	8736	13229	33.96%

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm:            1012

 

FB2: [4:10pm - 4:55pm]

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	135	10784	15887	32.12%

Total Seats Sold Since 1pm:             756

 

Pika (FB)*: [3:30pm - 4:00pm]

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	112	6632	9404	29.48%

Pika (FB) is the number of tickets sold at the same theaters I had tracking info for Crimes of Grindelwald and Venom

 

Total Seats Sold Since Mid-Day:      401

[YM!]

North Shore is finally up and running again, and I’ll do that and Pikachu tonight. Though the 4:00 Show was missing for Pikachu, I doubt it did much. Though the 6:45 at North Shore is almost sold out and the 6:30 at Menomonee is looking great.

[Porthos]

I could try to do another hour or so of tracking, but let's just say that accounts for the matinee affect more or less.

 

Not going to give an official prediction but I'm thinking now around mid to high 5's for today.  Maybe as high as 6m.

 

It just did not have any sort of sustained bump day of like AM&tW and Venom did, which is what I was looking for as a comp that it would get stronger day-of sales.

 

Because I'm cutting tracking off an hour earlier, I won't be surprised to see my comps being off.  Then again, PLF and matinee might make it more of a wash.  Be interested to see where it comes in when all is said and done.

 

 

[DAJK]

Damn, the 4:20 Pikachu is almost sold out at the theatre I'm tracking. Was not expecting that. I'll do an update after the show starts, and then another when the first evening show starts in a few hours

[JB33]

Quick, update for Thursday previews for my theatre before they begin:

 

POKEMON Detective Pikachu

Update: T-0 days to Thursday previews | May 9, 2019 | 5:10PM

Cineplex Scotiabank Theatre Chinook - Calgary, AB

 

Thursday, May 9

UltraAVX (3D)

6:00PM - 140/406 seats sold (34%)

9:30PM - 76/406 seats sold (19%)

 

 

Minimal showings scheduled for Detective Pikachu, and for good reason. Presales right up until the first showtime are quite muted. Meanwhile, Endgame still has a ton of showings that are selling pretty decently. 

[MrPink]

29 minutes ago, druv10 said:

Why did you have open up the wounds again? I decided to skip radio, TV and internet today.

 

Wounds never closed for me 😭

[DAJK]

Update:

4:20 show has now started. I guess some people refunded tickets for tonight because I checked about an hour ago and it said there were a few left, but it's sold out again. Even the 9:40 PM is picking up. I would imagine they would add more showtimes if they could. I doubt they will because every movie already has tickets sold but oh well. 211 tickets now

 

92% Crimes of Grindelwald (8.35M previews)

134% Bohemian Rhapsody (5.2M previews)

642% Grinch (14.12M previews)

193%% Glass (7.13M previews)

45% Captain Marvel (9.28M previews)

142% Shazam (8.4M previews)

 

5 definitely seems like the absolute floor if this is anything to go by. Maybe just an overperformance here, but this is making it look like 8-9M is possible. Now, I don't want to raise expectations, and then have people think it's a flop if the actual number comes in at 5-6M but this is definitely encouraging. 

 

[Minnale101]

4 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Update:

4:20 show has now started. I guess some people refunded tickets for tonight because I checked about an hour ago and it said there were a few left, but it's sold out again. Even the 9:40 PM is picking up. I would imagine they would add more showtimes if they could. I doubt they will because every movie already has tickets sold but oh well. 211 tickets now

 

92% Crimes of Grindelwald (8.35M previews)

134% Bohemian Rhapsody (5.2M previews)

642% Grinch (14.12M previews)

193%% Glass (7.13M previews)

45% Captain Marvel (9.28M previews)

142% Shazam (8.4M previews)

 

5 definitely seems like the absolute floor if this is anything to go by. Maybe just an overperformance here, but this is making it look like 8-9M is possible. Now, I don't want to raise expectations, and then have people think it's a flop if the actual number comes in at 5-6M but this is definitely encouraging. 

 

I rather people think 4-5 million than get disappointed those projection happen 

 

it if does happen then awesome

 

thanks for the work bruh 

[YM!]

Pokémon: Detective Pikachu

 

North Shore Cinema

6:45 - 103/146

8:30 - 33/66

9:30 - 17/146

11:00 - 6/66

 

Menominee Falls Cinema

6:50 - 71/151 - SuperScreen 

7:50 - 26/130

9:30 - 21/151 - SuperScreen

10:30 - 8/130

Edited May 10, 2019 by YourMother the Edgelord

[Minnale101]

9 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Pokémon: Detective Pikachu

 

North Shore Cinema

6:45 - 103/146

 

Menominee Falls Cinema

6:50 - 71/151 - SuperScreen 

What time zone ?

[Tentatek]

I don’t expect big Thursday night previews simply because it’s a family film and most pokemon fans aren’t hardcore movie fans that go to advance screenings. 

 

[Minnale101]

Okay so movie tickets updates are done for today 

 

Inside out premiere shows Thursday 

 

jurassic world 69%

 

inside out 15%

 

detective pikachu premier show 

 

Endgame 52.3 %

 

detective pikachu 27.8%

 

wont have any idea what 8-12pm est is until tomorrow 

[cax16]

Pikachu 

 

May 5th (update) 

 

6:00pm - 24/392

9:00pm - 40/392

 

May 7th (update)

 

6:00pm - 35/392

9:00pm - 62/392

 

May 9th (update)- 5:55pm

 

6:00pm- 83/392

9:00pm - 95/392

 

 

Final update for late show 

 

115/392

[Minnale101]

2 minutes ago, cax16 said:

Pikachu 

 

May 5th (update) 

 

6:00pm - 24/392

9:00pm - 40/392

 

May 7th (update)

 

6:00pm - 35/392

9:00pm - 62/392

 

May 9th (update)- 5:55pm

 

6:00pm- 83/392

9:00pm - 95/392

 

 

Final update for late show 

 

115/392

Not saying it was good but it really picked up at the end 

[TalismanRing]

Inside Out: $3.7m Thur previews

JP: $17,822,580 - Thur  ( $19,895,470  Wed)

 

Comps to consider for MT% comps

 

 

Edited May 10, 2019 by TalismanRing

[cdsacken]

10 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Inside Out: $3.7m Thur previews

JP: $17,822,580 - Thur  ( $19,895,470  Wed)

 

Comps to consider for MT% comps

 

 

Pure animated film with perfect WOM and JP was bigger. I think it will be bigger previews and 25-35 million lower OW.

Edited May 10, 2019 by cdsacken

[Minnale101]

From what I’m seeing. The WOM for detective pikachu is fantastic on Thursday previews 

[MattW]

Reading through the reports Thursday I think will be at least 5, maybe as high as 7m?  Weekend IM I'd guess 9-12.  It could surprise and venture up towards the animated range but I think the safe money is on something lower.