New Year's Day Weekend Thread: Late Friday estimates (DHD) - TLJ 19.5M, Jumanji 17.5M, PP3 6.7M, TGS 5.3M

[MaxAggressor]

https://twitter.com/BoxOffice/status/947498730676203520

 

STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI $52.44M 3-Day Weekend (Est.) $65.55M 4-Day Weekend (Est.) $530.25M Total

[Brainbug]

Its nice to see that BATB isnt No.1 for the year anymore

[Hatebox]

Just now, Brainbug said:

Its nice to see that BATB isnt No.1 for the year anymore

Oh yeah, that film exists.

[hw64]

$65m for the 4-day is not good.

 

Jumanji will beat that handily.

Edited December 31, 2017 by hw64

[That One Girl]

This is the most depressing part to me:

 

Beauty and the Beast
 

Domestic Total Adj. Gross: $312,243,900 Domestic Lifetime Adj. Gross: $405,097,900   Beauty and the Beast (2017)   Domestic Total Adj. Gross: $507,208,000

[EmpireCity]

28 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

When it comes to the runtime and competition excuse, that is some weak bullshit. Avatar was on fewer screens, 10 minutes longer, and faced much tougher competition. 

 

 

 

It also had the uber-novelty of 3D and the grosses were a lot more spread out in 2009, but hey, keep on with this.  

[La Binoche]

3 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

Its nice to see that BATB isnt No.1 for the year anymore

One shitty Disney movie replaced by another shitty Disney movie. 

 

 

[MrPink]

4 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

https://twitter.com/BoxOffice/status/947498730676203520

 

STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI $52.44M 3-Day Weekend (Est.) $65.55M 4-Day Weekend (Est.) $530.25M Total

 

So wouldn't this mean they expect tomorrow to be flat?

 

Seems weird.

[redfirebird2008]

1 minute ago, hw64 said:

$65m for the 4-day is not good.

 

Jumanji will beat that handily.

 

Seems very conservative for Monday. 

[Lordmandeep]

They expect it to make 13 million on NYD?

 

Edited December 31, 2017 by Lordmandeep

[Brainbug]

Just now, La Binoche said:

One shitty Disney movie replaced by a fantastic Disney movie. 

 

 

 

Fixed that for you.

[John Marston]

lol not even 70m for 4 day? Loads are saying 80m

[MaxAggressor]

https://twitter.com/ERCboxoffice/status/947499713888055296

 

STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI hit $1B this weekend--$517M domestic, $523M int'l w/ China set to debut January 5th.

[mikee11]

2 minutes ago, hw64 said:

$65m for the 4-day is not good.

 

Jumanji will beat that handily.

Aren't they underestimating it? This means they don't think there will be increase on Monday, but there should be.

[EmpireCity]

16 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Avatar made $68m third weekend and $50m fourth weekend. That 4th week had no holiday boost. Last Jedi is about to make 50-54 for 3rd weekend with holiday boost. 4th weekend will probably be around $25m without holiday boost. 

 

Huh, I wonder if Avatar had anything that might have helped it along......

[redfirebird2008]

Just now, MrPink said:

 

So wouldn't this mean they expect tomorrow to be flat?

 

Seems weird.

 

Very conservative. Of course they might be too aggressive for Sunday by comparison. 

[The Panda]

12 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

I don’t think it’s the main factor like a certain person here keeps saying. 

The biggest factor is its a sequel to a zeitgeist movie, which historically have shorter legs and lower (but still large) OWs.  Look at recent examples like AoU and TDKR.  The fact that TFA was even more massive than TA or TDK just means that drops bound to be more inflated (especially since an IM3 like spinoff RO already came as a follow up for those high off TFA).

 

Competition is what is likely shortening the legs even more though and what’ll keep TLJ from a 700m gross vs a mid 600m gross.  You can see this from seeing inverse holds with J and TLJ.  When J has a poor hold, TLJ has a better hold.  Maybe it’s J benefiting from people not seeing TLJ maybe it’s the other way around.

[redfirebird2008]

Just now, EmpireCity said:

 

Huh, I wonder if Avatar had anything that might have helped it along......

 

Yes, primarily incredible WOM. 

[MrGlass2]

Incredible run for Jumanji, it has to be the second best movie with The Rock in the jungle.

 

[Brainbug]

2 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

 

Huh, I wonder if Avatar had anything that might have helped it along......

 

It was Sam Worthington. Guy is just a draw.