CAPTAIN MARVEL WEEKEND THREAD l $153M DOM (3rd-biggest March opening), $455M WW (6th biggest WW opening) l Other weekend #s: Dragon 14.7, Madea 12, Lego 3.8, Alita 3.2

[MikeQ]

Terrific preview gross for Captain Marvel - the 18th largest preview gross of all-time, and the 7th best preview gross for a comic book film, behind mostly established entities.

 

Best Preview Grosses for Comic Book Films and the Share of Opening Day

 

Title / Preview Gross / Share of Opening Day

1. Avengers: Infinity War (2018) — 39.0 million (36.7%)
2. The Dark Knight Rises (2012) — 30.6 million (40.4%)
3. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016) — 27.7 million (34.0%)
4. Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) — 27.6 million (32.7%)
5. Black Panther (2018) — 25.2 million (33.2%)
6. Captain America: Civil War (2016) — 25 million (33.1%)
7. Captain Marvel (2019) — 20.7 million (TBD)
8. Suicide Squad (2016) — 20.5 million (31.6%)
9. Marvel's The Avengers (2012) — 18.7 million (23.1%)
10. Deadpool 2 (2018) — 18.6 million (35.1%)
11. The Dark Knight (2008) — 18.5 million (27.5%)
12. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017) — 17 million (30.2%)
13. Iron Man 3 (2013) — 15.6 million (22.7%)
14. Spider-Man: Homecoming (2017) — 15.4 million (30.5%)
15. Thor: Ragnarok (2017) — 14.5 million (31.0%)

Peace,

Mike

Edited March 8, 2019 by MikeQ

[TalismanRing]

7 minutes ago, MikeQ said:

I'm hoping someone will be able to help me: there used to be a forum post with a link to a spreadsheet (I think a google spreadsheet) with a collection of preview grosses for past films, etc. I'm pretty sure it used to be stickied in the 'Numbers and Data' sub-forum, but it is no longer there. Anyone know where I can find this? Cheers to anyone who is able to help.

 

Peace,

Mike

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1O0sNH_An1oCqxZQo0hd1v6lq0KTw1uCODh4_UflRA8Y/edit#gid=0

 

 

[nevermore]

20 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

RT does need to do something at this point about their audience score. It's clearly way too easy to manipulate. It's ironic too, because for all the flack IMDB gets around here, you never see scores as easily trolled there after a movie starts getting a decent amount of votes (case and point, CM's IMDB score of 6.6 isn't bad enough to say its being drastically affected by trolls, opposed to RT's 33% which is being majorly trolled). 

There's only 4.3k audience votes now, but still low score. Not sure what they are doing.

 

 

[SpiderByte]

6 minutes ago, Aurora said:

"Just" 20.7? Beauty and The Beast's title is definitely safe. There will likely be frontloading because it's Women's Day today. And there's no way this movie plays as leggy as Beauty did over the weekend considering the different audiences/types of movie.

 

I'd say 150-165M.

Oh my God, why won't people get that women's day IS NOT A REAL HOLIDAY

[MikeQ]

1 minute ago, TalismanRing said:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1O0sNH_An1oCqxZQo0hd1v6lq0KTw1uCODh4_UflRA8Y/edit#gid=0

 

 

Thank you very much!

 

Peace,

Mike

[fabiopazzo2]

2 minutes ago, nevermore said:

There's only 4.3k audience votes now, but still low score. Not sure what they are doing.

 

 

Its clear 

[chuck0]

6 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Its clear 

might have removed the "want to see" data?

If so, good... rolling that into the user rating was a bad idea from the start.

Probably still a lot of spam in there though.

Edited March 8, 2019 by chuck0

[Napoleon]

I warned you not to set your expectations too high about the presales. Marvel movies are becoming very presales heavy, simply because they are doing a really good job in getting people excited about this franchise. Not because of superhero fatigue, not because people are hating Captain Marvel.

[DlAMONDZ]

I see Endgame doing Titanic numbers overseas. The hype is clearly there

[a2k]

For any solo SH movie to beat GOTG2's ow or even cross 140-145 is incredible. I think TDK, TDKR, IM3 and BP possibly will be only ones for a while. And if you see non-sequels then just BP! THG deserves a shout-out here.

 

DP2 and SMH fell well below 140 last year and both had a lot going for them. CM is looking at minimum 140-145 so ow being incredible is the floor.

[eddyxx]

2 hours ago, Brainbug said:

 

That woudnt be all that great though...

 

The Avengers (1998)
 

Domestic Total Gross: $23,384,939

Damn I cant believe Captain Marvel couldnt outgross this movie in 5 hours. What a failure!

Edited March 8, 2019 by eddyxx

[Aurora]

9 minutes ago, SpiderByte said:

Oh my God, why won't people get that women's day IS NOT A REAL HOLIDAY

I know that it's not a holiday. But there are women around the world who are skipping work and school to protest and go to rallys.. You don't think that there's gonna be zero impact today's sales? That maybe there might be a little more business than usual because some women might want to go watch the MCU's first female lead movie?

Edited March 8, 2019 by Aurora

[Daxtreme]

45 minutes ago, DAR said:

Don't shoot the messenger

 

 

 

[IronJimbo]

So how much will this make worldwide, more or less than $1.39b?

[a2k]

47 minutes ago, DAR said:

Don't shoot the messenger

 

 

so he expects Dom to be 15x (300/20) the "OD"? good for CM when the real OD comes in

 

[Fullbuster]

With Black Panther and Captain Marvel Disney/Marvel understood that more diversity in movies is a strong asset, people express with their wallet here.

 

 

[Nova]

$20.7M puts the March record in danger depending on how things shake out. I’m thinking somewhere between $175M and $180M right now but it could fall in the $165-170M range if it plays like other MCU films. Regardless a fantastic opening weekend is in stores for CM both domestically and OS. 

 

Now I wonder where the posters who predicted $600-$700M total WW are at 🤔

[Valonqar]

7 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

So how much will this make worldwide, more or less than $1.39b?

over TLJ and certainly over Episode IX

[terrestrial]

https://www.screendaily.com/box-office/captain-marvel-blasts-off-to-987m-worldwide-in-first-two-days/5137516.article

Quote

After two days in release, Captain Marvel is already blazing a trail at the global box office, soaring to an estimated $98.7m including early estimates from China, according to Disney distribution executives.

The 21st and latest entry in the Marvel Studios canon starring Brie Larson took $44m internationally excluding China, where early estimates indicate a March 8 launch of approximately $34m, which would be the second highest Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU) opening day behind Avengers: Infinity War.

Early numbers put the tentpole on $5.9m in South Korea, $2.9m in France, and $1.5m in Italy since the Wednesday launch in those territories.

In the locales where Captain Marvel opened on Thursday, the blockbuster-elect stands at $4.8m in Indonesia, $3m in Brazil, $2.5m in Australia, $2.1m in Russia, $1.9m in Thailand, $1.8m in Taiwan, $1.7m in both Malaysia and Philippines, and $1.5m in both Germany and Hong Kong. Remaining territories have delivered $112m.

It opens on Friday in the UK, China, Mexico and Spain, among others and will be active everywhere this weekend except Japan, where it is scheduled to debut on March 15.

Meanwhile North America has generated $20.7m in Thursday previews, scoring the fifth highest preview grosses for an MCU release behind the second and third Avengers films, Black Panther, and Captain America: Civil War. Captain Marvel opens officially in North America on Friday in 4,310 theatres.

Overall, the film is ranking as the number one western release in all markets as well as the highest March debut in many and highest first stand-alone character MCU opening day in most. Highlights include the second highest opening day in industry history in Brazil, behind only Avengers: Infinity War, as well as one of the highest ever opening days in Indonesia.

Compared to the same bucket of territories at today’s exchange rates, Disney sources said Captain Marvel was currently pacing ahead of comparable first-instalment MCU films such as Black Panther, Doctor Strange and Ant-Man in most territories. The studio will release a more comprehensive round-up on Sunday.

 

[a2k]

1 minute ago, Valonqar said:

over TLJ and certainly over Episode IX

how much are u expecting os-china for cmarv?