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[john2000]

2 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Read the wording again. When they estimated 81M they said "north of 200M". Now they clock it at 192-200M meaning they don't expect over 200M anymore but cannot call where it would fall between those 2 numbers. In roundabout way, they are distancing from 200M without looking like they are.

agreed however at the same time its more possible for this to hit 186 now, than it was before with 81 od ,anyway

 

ps plus i take like like yesterday they really thought that it could hit 220-230, and now they think that even if it does hit 200+ it wont be by much , like 202, so not really a 200+ for sure, if that makes sense

Edited July 20, 2019 by john2000

[Valonqar]

3 minutes ago, john2000 said:

agreed however at the same time its more possible for this to hit 186 now, than it was before with 81 od ,anyway

 

ps plus i take like like yesterday they really thought that it could hit 220-230, and now they think that even if it does hit 200+ it wont be by much , like 202, so not really a 200+ for sure, if that makes sense

Yes, this. Agreed. I think that they hedged the bets and still are because they don't want to look stupid if this blows up today (as family movies tend to do) but they are also keeping the higher end of estimation in check.

[Nova]

I'm sorry but I can't get past all of the Cats avatars. Truly the stuff of nightmares. I'm looking at you @That One Guy @CoolEric258 @CoolioD1 

[MattW]

9 minutes ago, john2000 said:

https://deadline.com/2019/07/the-lion-king-weekend-box-office-july-records-1202648944/

 

‘The Lion King’ Ruling B.O. With $192M-$200M: Record Opening For July & Jon Favreau

I think it lands in the 180s with 192 being closer to the upper end of what it might do.  July OW Saturday won't see a big jump.  Secret Life of Pets went up 11.5%, I'd say that's the most we can expect from TLK and even that's a big stretch considering SLoP was original and broke out big while TLK is nearly the opposite.

 

23+55+ (59-61) + (48-55) = 185-194

[a2k]

Thinking 190+ for TLK. Doesn't need to do anything out of the ordinary for that.

 

23

55

61.6 (+12%)

50.5 (-18%)

= 190.1

Edited July 20, 2019 by a2k

[john2000]

1 minute ago, a2k said:

Thinking 190+ for TLK. Doesn't need to do anything out of the ordinary for that.

 

23

55

63.3 (+15%)

52.2 (-17.5%)

= 193.5

agreed, and while i think that 200 is unlikely, i wouldnt be suprised if it gets there

[That One Girl]

.

Edited March 2, 2022 by That One Guy

[Nova]

1 minute ago, That One Guy said:

 

[CJohn]

Not getting to 200M is an underperformance, IMO. It should have done it fairly easily.

[filmlover]

Has anyone gotten the Cats trailer before their Lion King shows? I'm praying I get it before mine later today. 

[THUNDER BIRD]

It's there still a chance of 200?

I mean Avengers did 208 from 80 OD, JW did 209 from 82 OD & BP did 202 from 75 OD.

[DAR]

2 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Not getting to 200M is an underperformance, IMO. It should have done it fairly easily.

[Shawn Robbins]

78.5

[TalismanRing]

7 minutes ago, MattW said:

I think it lands in the 180s with 192 being closer to the upper end of what it might do.  July OW Saturday won't see a big jump.  Secret Life of Pets went up 11.5%, I'd say that's the most we can expect from TLK and even that's a big stretch considering SLoP was original and broke out big while TLK is nearly the opposite.

 

23+55+ (59-61) + (48-55) = 185-194

SLOP most likely skewed younger so with schools fully out would have lower jumps

[sfran43]

 

Edited July 20, 2019 by sfran43

[Alli]

4 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Not getting to 200M is an underperformance, IMO. It should have done it fairly easily.

didn't you have an OVER 300M OW  club?

[That One Girl]

.

Edited March 2, 2022 by That One Guy

[Waffles]

 

 

[Geo1500]

18 minutes ago, a2k said:

Thinking 190+ for TLK. Doesn't need to do anything out of the ordinary for that.

 

23

55

61.6 (+12%)

50.5 (-18%)

= 190.1

 

Yours is very conversative option tbh.

 

Middle-ground option 

 

23

55.5

68.7

54.8

=202

 

Over the top option

 

23

55.8

69.7

62.9

=210

Edited July 20, 2019 by Geo1500

[john2000]

Just now, Waffles said:

 

 

so it seems that it was closer to charlies initial projection