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Weekend Thread: Thursday Night Preview - The Grudge $1.8M w/ an F Cinemascore LMAO

By sfran43, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Eric Duncan,

Golden Globes thread is now up. It's gonna be way more interesting than this Star Wars talk, so go on ahead and jump ship.    
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VanillaSkies Box Office Gold

VanillaSkies

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, LegendaryBen said:

 

Cats will miss $30m and will lose more than 2,000 theaters next weekend and Bombshell bombed. However, at least it won't lose too much money compared to the former.

Bombshell still has a sliver of hope because of the awards season. 
It's pretty well represented at the Golden Globes this Sunday, though not expected to win. However, it did very well with SAG nominations and could have a good night there. If it gets quite a few key Oscar nominations (Theron, Kidman, Robbie, Lithgow, Picture) it *could* get a second wind and end up with a decent sized gross. The important thing to remember is it's currently still expanding and it's 1700 screens are the widest it's been thus far, which means there are still audiences that haven't had a chance to see it near them. Whether or not they want to will depend a lot on how the awards season plays out. However, given how the awards season can affect films such as this one, I wouldn't be too quick to write it off just yet.

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Nova said:

Finally watching Marriage Story. Hopefully this will be the superior Adam Driver movie than the one currently in theaters :ph34r:

The Report is worth checking out too. Watched it before New Year's on Amazon Prime Video.

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LegendaryBen Sleeper Hit

LegendaryBen

Posted
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1 minute ago, VanillaSkies said:

Bombshell still has a sliver of hope because of the awards season. 
It's pretty well represented at the Golden Globes this Sunday, though not expected to win. However, it did very well with SAG nominations and could have a good night there. If it gets quite a few key Oscar nominations (Theron, Kidman, Robbie, Lithgow, Picture) it *could* get a second wind and end up with a decent sized gross. The important thing to remember is it's currently still expanding and it's 1700 screens are the widest it's been thus far, which means there are still audiences that haven't had a chance to see it near them. Whether or not they want to will depend a lot on how the awards season plays out. However, given how the awards season can affect films such as this one, I wouldn't be too quick to write it off just yet.

Good point on that one. If GG and SAGs are kind to it this month, it might be gross okay numbers especially when they have yet to into 2000 theaters+. Plus, its audience score is actually decent. Thanks for the words.

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MagnarTheGreat Indie Sensation

MagnarTheGreat

Posted
Posted (edited)
29 minutes ago, grim22 said:

From Deadline

 

 

 

 

🤔:thinking:

I mused in previous posts that the finale rush effect seen with Endgame and Harry Potter and others could be a thumb on the scale holding its stamina back. Giving TROS TLJ's first weekend multiplier of 2.82 gets TROS to ~$500M, and they should be grateful if it does better than that milestone without having to resort to dragging it over the line.

Edited by MagnarTheGreat
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CJohn Cinematic Universe

CJohn

Posted
Posted
29 minutes ago, grim22 said:

From Deadline

 

 

 

 

🤔:thinking:

Ok, DHD is on some sort of acid trip with TROS I mean goddamn this is some insane spin/denial happening here since day one.

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TalismanRing Global Phenomenon

TalismanRing

Posted
Posted (edited)
36 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said:

Bombshell still has a sliver of hope because of the awards season. 
It's pretty well represented at the Golden Globes this Sunday, though not expected to win. However, it did very well with SAG nominations and could have a good night there. If it gets quite a few key Oscar nominations (Theron, Kidman, Robbie, Lithgow, Picture) it *could* get a second wind and end up with a decent sized gross. The important thing to remember is it's currently still expanding and it's 1700 screens are the widest it's been thus far, which means there are still audiences that haven't had a chance to see it near them. Whether or not they want to will depend a lot on how the awards season plays out. However, given how the awards season can affect films such as this one, I wouldn't be too quick to write it off just yet.

Lionsgate has to have a serious Awards push clause with the producers & actors of this film b/c the way they pushed this film instead of KO (with far superior reviews and B.O.) is ridiculous.   They botched Knives Out getting a SAG nom by sending in the screeners too late but look at this FYC coverage - 17 ads for BS, 3 for KO (2 after the Globe noms). :blink:

 

https://www.nextbestpicture.com/lionsgate-fyc-gallery.html

Edited by TalismanRing
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Legion Again Global Phenomenon

Legion Again

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3 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Ok, DHD is on some sort of acid trip with TROS I mean goddamn this is some insane spin/denial happening here since day one.

Aww, cmon, it just needs to have a 5.5x 3rd weekend multiplier without any holiday help. Just looking at the daily increases from the beginning of the run, surely this is a well legging movie that can achieve such a feat...

Dec 20, 2019 1 $89,615,288     4,406 $20,339   $89,615,288 1
Dec 21, 2019 1 $47,467,565 -47%   4,406 $10,773   $137,082,853 2
Dec 22, 2019 1 $40,301,011 -15%   4,406 $9,147   $177,383,864 3
Dec 23, 2019 1 $29,389,847 -27%   4,406 $6,670   $206,773,711 4
Dec 24, 2019 1 $20,270,474 -31%   4,406 $4,601   $227,044,185 5
Dec 25, 2019 1 $32,165,681 +59%   4,406 $7,300   $259,209,866 6
Dec 26, 2019 1 $30,586,950 -5%   4,406 $6,942   $289,796,816 7
Dec 27, 2019 1 $26,069,973 -15% -71% 4,406 $5,917   $315,866,789 8
Dec 28, 2019 1 $25,075,535 -4% -47% 4,406 $5,691   $340,942,324 9
Dec 29, 2019 1 $21,244,082 -15% -47% 4,406 $4,822   $362,186,406 10
Dec 30, 2019 1 $15,302,130 -28% -48% 4,406 $3,473   $377,488,536 11
Dec 31, 2019 1 $13,217,698 -14% -35% 4,406 $3,000   $390,706,234 12
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Justin4125 Indie Sensation

Justin4125

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, TwoMisfits said:

When Forbes is doing their best to mimic Deadline pro-Disney reporting...how the female-skewing Frozen 2 is more of a threat to TROS than the male-skewing and teen-young adult skewing Jumanji movie...how the #2 movie (every day since TROS open) with the enormous leg kick is less of a threat than the #5 movie with an enormous leg kick...

 

Only paid internet writers could make this stuff up...

Scott has his shortcomings when it comes to predicting box office, but he's clearly not a paid internet writer. He gave TROS and AEG negative reviews, and he has underestimated every MCU movie since Civil War, basically the opposite of what he's doing with TROS. To celebrate AEG taking the WW crown, something he repeatedly deemed impossible and then entirely underplayed when the benchmark was reached, he wrote an article talking about how Shazam was the best SH movie of 2019

Now you could argue SW needs the help more than the MCU does, so Disney pays Scott (an independent op-ed contributor with 30k- 100k readers) to write positive things about SW but not other Disney titles. But why the hell would a studio pay someone like Scott to write positive things about box office projections mid-run? Pray tell, how does this make TROS more lucrative? Or do they do it just to piss off box office nerds like us? If anything, its the latter not the former

 

Anyways, I agree TROS will have another sharp drop after losing screens next weekend, but I see little chance of it missing 500m. It can take solace in that at least, and Disney gets the obscene record of releasing 3 movies making 500m+ domestic two years in a row. That makes 8 500m+ titles in 3 years. Only one non-Disney title made 500m+ in the past decade, and only 4 non-Disney titles have ever reached that mark.

Whatever studio steps up in the next decade (WB seems a contender) its hard to foresee that record coming down

Edited by Justin4125
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Godzilla Box Office Gold

Godzilla

Posted
Posted
48 minutes ago, LegendaryBen said:

Cats will miss $30m and will lose more than 2,000 theaters next weekend and Bombshell bombed. However, at least it won't lose too much money compared to the former.

Did it bomb? It cost $32M and it'll cross $30M domestically. Disappointed seems more fit. 

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grim22 Global Phenomenon

grim22

Posted
Posted
12 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

finally

 

 

 

It's pretty clear that JJ wanted Snoke to be the big bad and Kylo to be redeemed, Rian felt Kylo made more sense as the big bad, God only knows what Treverrow had in mind, then JJ reset it so Palpatine took Snoke's place.

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a2k Global Phenomenon

a2k

Posted
Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, Godzilla said:

Did it bomb? It cost $32M and it'll cross $30M domestically. Disappointed seems more fit. 

edit: misread ur post.

Edited by a2k
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