AMERICA CHAVEZ IN THE MULTIVERSE OF MADNESS WEEKEND THREAD | Aka carbonara civil war thread | 187.42M OW

[MrPink]

I know this is being lowballed big time but if 185m was the actual, I'm bringing back CRUMBLING and I don't care

[M37]

4 minutes ago, Borobudur said:

Lol, Sunday down 35%???? Even Morbius had 35% on Sunday without Mother's day

 

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days
May 5, 2022	P	$36,000,000		0		$36,000,000
May 6, 2022	1	$90,000,000		4,534	$19,850	$90,000,000	1
May 7, 2022	1	$57,500,000	-36%	4,534	$12,682	$147,500,000	2
May 8, 2022	1	$37,500,000	-35%	4,534	$8,271	$185,000,000	3

Saturday estimate more than $1M below numbers posted in here, same as Friday. Interesting...

[Blaze Heatnix]

This getting Ultron // Civil War legs. 

 

 

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

Looks like my call from a few months ago that this would open right around AOU and finish between CM and AOU will be correct. Gotta stick with my gut and not let the false gods in the tracking thread deter me! 

 

[Krissykins]

Oh.

 

I don’t buy it, but I’m scratching my head as to why they’d want to estimate so “low” when the headlines and coverage come from the estimates, not the actuals. 

[BadOlCatSylvester]

I knew Mother's Day wouldn't be too kind to this film. I don't think this'll be quite the lowball you all are hoping for. Detective Pikachu similarly crumbled in the same May timeframe.

 

Add in the divisive WoM, and $400M isn't looking so certain anymore.

[TigerPaw]

Has there ever been a 5m difference between studio estimates and actuals?

 

I mean percentage terms it is a mere 2.7% but I was thinking 190m.

 

I did not like the movie at all, genuinely did not enjoy it but I still hope for good box office and theater recovery.

[John Marston]

Just now, TigerPaw said:

Has there ever been a 5m difference between studio estimates and actuals?

 

I mean percentage terms it is a mere 2.7% but I was thinking 190m.

 

I did not like the movie at all, genuinely did not enjoy it but I still hope for good box office and theater recovery.

Yes. Iron Man 2, but that was adjudged 5m DOWN

[CJohn]

185M lmao. Yeah, they are lowballing to announce a much higher number Monday night.

[Cooper Legion]

2 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

Has there ever been a 5m difference between studio estimates and actuals?

 

I mean percentage terms it is a mere 2.7% but I was thinking 190m.

 

I did not like the movie at all, genuinely did not enjoy it but I still hope for good box office and theater recovery.

Yeah estimates rise by more than 5M/2.7% all the time

[Cmasterclay]

Thor and Black Panther were always going to give us the best idea of the MCU's box office future because the Shang Chis/Black Widows were always bound for a big drop and Dr. Strange is locked in an eternal debate over whether it should be treated as a Doctor Strange movie, NWH sequel, big inflection point in the MCU, etc. Thor and Panther seem pretty clearly like "regular big MCU movies" in a way Iron Man 3 and Winter Soldier once did.

[charlie Jatinder]

3 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

Has there ever been a 5m difference between studio estimates and actuals?

 

I mean percentage terms it is a mere 2.7% but I was thinking 190m.

 

I did not like the movie at all, genuinely did not enjoy it but I still hope for good box office and theater recovery.

Disney has given $7M less estimates for IW, EG and I think similar for Black Panther

[Mr Terrific]

Wellll..  

400/185 is 2.16. That’s like FB3 response. Seems 400 is very available. 

[exomassey]

Honestly reading this thread is draining. Seems the end of the MCU is near, the negativity…

 

Naturally an ageing franchise like this will lose fans, will become more front-loaded, other franchises will start to come along. It’s natural,  Marvel will falter eventually and some will be happy to see it.

 

RIP MCU. It was fun while it lasted.

[WittyUsername]

On the subject of the differences between studio estimates and actuals, Black Panther’s actuals came in at over $10 million more than the estimates. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

6 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Thor and Black Panther were always going to give us the best idea of the MCU's box office future because the Shang Chis/Black Widows were always bound for a big drop and Dr. Strange is locked in an eternal debate over whether it should be treated as a Doctor Strange movie, NWH sequel, big inflection point in the MCU, etc. Thor and Panther seem pretty clearly like "regular big MCU movies" in a way Iron Man 3 and Winter Soldier once did.

I think BP2 has some pretty unusual circumstances itself, but yeah Thor should be a good indicator.

[Valonqar]

RT Audience 87% and 4.4/5 (10000+ verified) 

IMDB 7.5/10 (79K)

Metacritic Audience 6.2/10 (271 user reviews) 

 

any idea which platform is the most GA-friendly?

[John Marston]

1	N	Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness	Walt Disney	$185,000,000		4,534		$40,803	$185,000,000	1
2	(1)	The Bad Guys	Universal	$9,770,000	-40%	3,839	-203	$2,545	$57,572,485	3
3	(2)	Sonic the Hedgehog 2	Paramount Pi…	$7,100,000	-38%	3,358	-443	$2,114	$170,801,471	5
4	(3)	Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore	Warner Bros.	$3,950,000	-52%	3,051	-911	$1,295	$86,009,171	4
5	(5)	Everything Everywhere All At Once	A24	$3,323,297	-40%	1,542	-671	$2,155	$41,565,896	7
6	(4)	The Northman	Focus Features	$2,770,000	-56%	2,413	-871	$1,148	$28,048,585	3
7	(7)	The Lost City	Paramount Pi…	$2,500,000	-35%	1,897	-698	$1,318	$94,389,264	7
8	(6)	The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent	Lionsgate	$1,525,000	-61%	3,036	n/c	$502	$16,388,403	3
9	(8)	Memory	Open Road	$1,220,000	-61%	2,433	-122	$501	$5,492,665	2
10	(9)	Father Stu	Sony Pictures	$800,000	-64%	1,265	-1,211	$632	$19,235,742	4
11	(10)	Morbius	Sony Pictures	$625,000	-59%	1,726	n/c	$362	$72,557,763	6
-	(-)	Ambulance	Universal	$235,000	-80%	424	-1,013	$554	$21,651,920	5
-	(-)	Petite maman	Neon	$186,000	+214%	224	+193	$830	$342,301	3
-	(-)	Uncharted	Sony Pictures	$90,000	-72%	428	n/c	$210	$146,614,202	12
-	(-)	Y Como Es El	Pantelion Films	$59,139	-80%	72	-253	$821	$1,247,696	3
-	N	Happening	IFC Films	$34,000		4		$8,500	$34,000	1
-	(-)	Vortex	Utopia	$31,212	+86%	39	+38	$800	$52,664	2
-	(-)	The Automat	A Slice of P…	$5,500	-50%	6	-6	$917	$202,667	12
-	(-)	We’re All Going to the World’s Fair	Utopia	$3,201	-76%	9	-17	$356	$88,733	4

[ImNotRacistAtAll]

How much is Disney low-balling? 

 

190-195 actuals? 

[fabiopazzo2]

Just now, ImNotRacistAtAll said:

How much is Disney low-balling? 

 

190-195 actuals? 

175M Marvel is doomed