MARY POPPINS RETURNS | Disney | 12.19.18 | Rob Marshall directing | Emily Blunt, Lin Manuel Miranda

[ThomasNicole]

3 minutes ago, jedijake said:

So with this weekend's performance, it looks like $200 million is back off the table? Maybe $180-$185 million domestic with decent legs?

 

And overseas, it's not looking to great. Probably will do about the same overseas than in North America. So a WW total of under $400 million?

 

That's not all that great, is it? This has already been a crazy rollercoaster ride for this film at the BO.

Still could Cross $ 200M

 

But let’s say it will make just $ 42M more on US for an $ 181M total

 

The movie gross $ 38M OS this week, so it could gross at least another $ 55-65M from this markets

 

And $ 45-50M from Japan

 

I don’t see this falling below $ 400M WW, it will be profitable, just far away than expectations.

 

 

[Barnack]

9 minutes ago, jedijake said:

That's not all that great, is it? This has already been a crazy rollercoaster ride for this film at the BO.

Cinderella did about 470m outside China, under that for MPR would not be too great.

 

I imagine that with hindsight Cinderella but domestic heavier could have been a really good comparable for some to go by.

 

9 hours ago, Oemorrob said:

I don't really know how else Disney is supposed to market this film. what did WB do differently?

Better trailers maybe, use of music wise ?

[boyamama]

50 minutes ago, Barnack said:

Cinderella did about 470m outside China, under that for MPR would not be too great.

 

I imagine that with hindsight Cinderella but domestic heavier could have been a really good comparable for some to go by.

 

Better trailers maybe, use of music wise ?

so u think how much MPR need to break even ???........

[boyamama]

58 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Still could Cross $ 200M

 

But let’s say it will make just $ 42M more on US for an $ 181M total

 

The movie gross $ 38M OS this week, so it could gross at least another $ 55-65M from this markets

 

And $ 45-50M from Japan

 

I don’t see this falling below $ 400M WW, it will be profitable, just far away than expectations.

 

 

why u think japan could reach that number?

 

MPR music is really boring and outdate........

[Barnack]

2 minutes ago, boyamama said:

so u think how much MPR need to break even ???........

Really hard to tell, Disney is so strong at monetizing stuff, it is really domestic heavy has of now and obviously 0 from China and depend how much that very strong group of producer, director and so on are getting before break even point if anything.

 

Could be a bit under $210M or some first dollar gross could push it at 315M...., not sure what level of precision is possible to say when we are not in the knows of those variable even in a rough way.

 

 

11 minutes ago, boyamama said:

why u think japan could reach that number?

Many musical went really high in Japan recently & Disney tend to do very well in that market.

[ThomasNicole]

1 hour ago, boyamama said:

why u think japan could reach that number?

 

MPR music is really boring and outdate........

they love musicals, especially the disney ones

[Krissykins]

Just had a look at the predictions earlier in this thread. 

 

It really has seriously underperformed so far, in relation to expectations here. 

[boyamama]

On 9/18/2018 at 12:50 AM, DMan7 said:

 1B+ WW here we come.

 

On 9/18/2018 at 5:47 AM, ThomasNicole said:

Families and People over 30 are probably enough to make this movie a big hit... teenages and young adults could be convinced to watch based on WOM, it’s a christmas movie, it doesn’t need a mega debut to have a huge total.

 

I think $ 300M is the goal, and could be higher if the movie is really good

 

My predictions:

Poppins: $ 400M (i’m confident)

Aquaman: $ 270M

Spiderverse: $ 160M

Bumblebee: $ 140M

Mortal Enginees: $ 60M

 

I don’t know what expect for Alita, i want it to be huge but marketing wasn’t good

 

On 9/19/2018 at 1:38 PM, expensiveho said:

I'm lowering my prediction from 580m to 450m DOM because the trailer wasn't out of this world. 1b WW is still happening, though. 

 

On 9/20/2018 at 3:20 AM, junkshop36 said:

350-400m DOM

900-1b WW

 

 

 

On 11/13/2018 at 12:15 AM, TMP said:

Could see $600m+

Disney is killing it this year

 

On 11/19/2018 at 7:49 AM, wildphantom said:

Mark my words, this movie is going to blow up on all fronts. 

 

Box office wise I think it’s headed to $400 million plus territory domestic. 

 

As for Oscars... if it’s as good as the buzz then we could be talking 7 or 8 nominations easy. 

 

On 11/19/2018 at 8:46 PM, Elessar said:

Behold the 2nd coming...

 

On 11/25/2018 at 9:11 AM, ThomasNicole said:

All the signs points to a massive performance... young kids and YA doesn't need to know mary poppins to see a TV spot, find interest and go to the theaters, especially with the obvious critical acclaim, it's the perfect holiday movie

 

[DMan7]

 

14 minutes ago, boyamama said:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[nevermore]

ANOTHER ONE POPPIN' 

Mary Poppins second sequel is already in the pipeline with Emily Blunt returning to the role

Director Rob Marshall has confirmed that the production team are talking about another film as there are eight books written by P.L. Travers

 

https://www.thesun.co.uk/tvandshowbiz/8158788/mary-poppins-sequel-emily-blunt/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1547067913

[Noctis]

10 minutes ago, nevermore said:

ANOTHER ONE POPPIN' 

Mary Poppins second sequel is already in the pipeline with Emily Blunt returning to the role

 Director Rob Marshall has confirmed that the production team are talking about another film as there are eight books written by P.L. Travers

 

https://www.thesun.co.uk/tvandshowbiz/8158788/mary-poppins-sequel-emily-blunt/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1547067913

The Sun is your source?

[Hades]

13 minutes ago, nevermore said:

ANOTHER ONE POPPIN' 

Mary Poppins second sequel is already in the pipeline with Emily Blunt returning to the role

Director Rob Marshall has confirmed that the production team are talking about another film as there are eight books written by P.L. Travers

 

https://www.thesun.co.uk/tvandshowbiz/8158788/mary-poppins-sequel-emily-blunt/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1547067913

[Valonqar]

those predictions are too hilarious for words now in hindsight. I wished I made one to have a quote that I can laugh at. 

[nevermore]

4 minutes ago, Noctis said:

The Sun is your source?

No idea what the Sun is. Saw it on reddit, thought I'd post it.

[LouisianaArkansasGeorgia]

Saw this movie.

Hated it.

However, the more I think about it, the more I could see Lin Manuel as The Emcee and Blunt as Sally in a modern take on Cabaret.

The original with Minelli is such a sacred, iconic, untouchable property that a movie remake will never happen, I bet, but I am intrigued about the possibility of Blunt and Miranda paired again in something raunchy, baudy, and decadently, unapologectically sexual.

[Ezen Baklattan]

20 hours ago, nevermore said:

No idea what the Sun is. Saw it on reddit, thought I'd post it.

For future reference...the sun is one of the world’s most notorious tabloids. I wouldn’t take what they say too seriously.

[Ipickthiswhiterose]

11 hours ago, LouisianaArkansasGeorgia said:

The original with Minelli is such a sacred, iconic, untouchable property that a movie remake will never happen, I bet, but I am intrigued about the possibility of Blunt and Miranda paired again in something raunchy, baudy, and decadently, unapologectically sexual.

Interesting since the film takes so many liberties with the original material that a down-the-line version of the actual stage show would almost seem like a completely different movie.

 

I don't think you'd be touching Minelli's performance specifically since she doesn't play anything like the actual Sally Bowles as she's written.

 

I think it may put off some Americans who are attached to the original, but actually WW I would agree with you that this would be a good idea in terms of Blunt and she would really pull it off. Don't know about Miranda's non-naturalistic chops though, not many actors in the US are trained that heavily outside of the Stanislavski system other than in some specialist courses, and a proper version of the Emcee needs an outstanding gestic performer. 

 

EDIT: Though if I could pick any Sally Bowles I'd go with Isla Fisher. That lady has been so appallingly underserved relative to her skill set.

 

Edited January 11, 2019 by Ipickthiswhiterose

[TombRaider]

A sequel is not being done. if people didnt care about this the sequel will do 2/3 of its bo gross at best

[Hatebox]

It's not like the film cost that much in the first place, but its WW total is staggeringly low. Honestly can't recall such an underperformer vs expectations on this forum that wasn't an outright bomb.

[John Marston]

https://comicbook.com/movies/2019/02/21/disney-mary-poppins-returns-no-sequel-development/

 

 

 

no sequel in the works