DUNKIRK WEEKEND THREAD | ABSOLUTELY NO SPOILERS | Official estimates Dunkirk 50.5M, GT 30.3M, SMH 22M, Apes 20.4M, Val 17M | Wonder Woman is the new summer champ with 389M total | Summer Sale is Live!

[cannastop]

There are a shitton of Girls Trip sellouts near where I live.

 

Yes, I live in the Atlanta suburbs.

[YM!]

4 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

STXfilms’ Valerian, currently estimated around$16M over three-days

TOG will not be pleased. While MDF will be twerking through the streets.

[Bishop54]

15 minutes ago, Water Bottle said:

 

Sorry about that.

Don't be, it's tight security...it's a good thing. 

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Star Trek Beyond did 59.2m OW off a 22.2m OD that had 5.5m previews this same weekend last year.

[Valonqar]

I just hope they don't over-estimate Dunkirk. I want those big numbers. 

[cannastop]

Speaking of tight security, I like my steaks done...

[Steele131]

9 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

http://deadline.com/2017/07/dunkirk-valerian-girls-trip-weekend-box-office-opening-1202132847/

‘Dunkirk’ To See Weekend Victory Of $51M+; ‘Girls Trip’ Hot At $27M+; ‘Valerian’ Falling To Earth With $16M

Friday, 2nd update, 12:47PM: Warner Bros.’ Dunkirk is poised to overperform as originally expected off its great word of mouth and film reviews. Industry estimates see the film landing between $19.5M-$22M today with three-day that’s at $51M-plus. That figure beats both the 3-day ($47.5M) and 5-day ($49.7M) of Christopher Nolan’s previous movie Interstellar. That sci-fi-think film cost $165M before P&A and was in the black with more than $47M-plus.  Dunkirk carries a net production cost around $150M. Some rival estimates even think Dunkirk could get to $57M-$59M.

 

In second, Universal’s R-rated Girls Trip looks to be the only comedy working this summer in regards to its less-than-$20M production cost. The Malcolm D. Lee-directed title is set to log $12.5M today per industry forecasts with a FSS take between $27.5M-$31M.

 

currently the holdovers look to make EuropaCorp/STXfilms’ Valerian, currently estimated around$16M over three-days, an afterthought with Spider-Man: Homecoming ($20M weekend 3), War for the Planet of the Apes ($18.5M) and Despicable Me 3 ($17M) piling on top of Luc Besson’s opus. Valerian is looking at $6M today based off midday matinees.

Very good number for Dunkirk. Could even go higher.

[nomyth]

Glad I stuck with my gut on Dunkirk and Girls Trip in the derby but I wouldn't be surprised by both of those projections raising.

 

Apes could be the derby killer this weekend.

[titanic2187]

‘Dunkirk’ Logs Two-Day Cume Of $8.6M After Solid $2.2M Start – Int’l Box Office

http://deadline.com/2017/07/dunkirk-international-box-office-grosses-1202132130/

[Biggestgeekever]

I think Dunkirk will be able to increase 20-25% on Saturday excluding previews, and then drop 10-15% on Sunday. Projections based on Deadline's numbers:

 

Pre: $5.5M

Fri: $14-16.5M

Sat: $16.8-20.6M

Sun: $14.2-18.5M

OW: $50.5-61.1M

 

Obviously that's quite a range.  But I feel confident that $50M is a lock as long as the OD doesn't come in under $19.5M.

[KJsooner]

Lol at those fycking hilarious ass drops for Apes and Spidey. Timber!!

[Zakiyyah6]

10 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

DeHaan Law of diminishing openings is unbeatable. never misses. 

DeHaan is too off kilter to be a movie star.

[TwoMisfits]

12 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

http://deadline.com/2017/07/dunkirk-valerian-girls-trip-weekend-box-office-opening-1202132847/

‘Dunkirk’ To See Weekend Victory Of $51M+; ‘Girls Trip’ Hot At $27M+; ‘Valerian’ Falling To Earth With $16M

Friday, 2nd update, 12:47PM: Warner Bros.’ Dunkirk is poised to overperform as originally expected off its great word of mouth and film reviews. Industry estimates see the film landing between $19.5M-$22M today with three-day that’s at $51M-plus. That figure beats both the 3-day ($47.5M) and 5-day ($49.7M) of Christopher Nolan’s previous movie Interstellar. That sci-fi-think film cost $165M before P&A and was in the black with more than $47M-plus.  Dunkirk carries a net production cost around $150M. Some rival estimates even think Dunkirk could get to $57M-$59M.

 

In second, Universal’s R-rated Girls Trip looks to be the only comedy working this summer in regards to its less-than-$20M production cost. The Malcolm D. Lee-directed title is set to log $12.5M today per industry forecasts with a FSS take between $27.5M-$31M.

 

currently the holdovers look to make EuropaCorp/STXfilms’ Valerian, currently estimated around$16M over three-days, an afterthought with Spider-Man: Homecoming ($20M weekend 3), War for the Planet of the Apes ($18.5M) and Despicable Me 3 ($17M) piling on top of Luc Besson’s opus. Valerian is looking at $6M today based off midday matinees.

War at $18.5M...dang, that would be under even my low expectation...

[cannastop]

3 minutes ago, KJsooner said:

Lol at those fycking hilarious ass drops for Apes and Spidey. Timber!!

Shocked at the Thursday drop for War, not for SMH. 15% is insane.

[FlashMaster659]

$18.5M would be an awful 68% weekend drop for Apes.

[Biggestgeekever]

15 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

and Despicable Me 3 ($17M) piling on top of Luc Besson’s opus.

The fuck?! A 12% drop from last weekend, really Deadline?

 

Is Nikki Finke already back writing for them?

[TwoMisfits]

4 minutes ago, KJsooner said:

Lol at those fycking hilarious ass drops for Apes and Spidey. Timber!!

Nah...54% for Spidey would be right on target for most folks' estimates on the board of a 53-55% drop for this weekend...and still could do a little better, but still could do a little worse...

[Jonwo]

$59m would be insane for Dunkirk, it's just cement Nolan as a draw but Warner Bros did an excellent job marketing it as it wasn't an easy sell on paper.

[Ryan Reynolds]

Huge drop for holdovers, im guessing movies on vod after two weeks will become the reality soon

[cannastop]

3 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

$59m would be insane for Dunkirk, it's just cement Nolan as a draw but Warner Bros did an excellent job marketing it as it wasn't an easy sell on paper.

I think the real draw is Nolan's epic scope. If he made a small, quiet movie, he wouldn't be a draw.