The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Eric Duncan]

Ford v Ferrari Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	38	135	8,646	1.56%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 9

Total Seats Added Today: 2,454

Total Seats Sold Today: 9

 

Comp

0.147x of Once Upon 3 days before release (853K)

0.865x of Angel Has Fallen (1.30M)

0.699x of Ad Astra (1.05M)

0.843x of Rambo (1.10M)

0.435x of Terminator (1.02M)

0.937x of Doctor Sleep (1.41M)

2.500x of Midway (2.31M)

 

What the hell even happened here? 9 tickets is inexcusable for opening Tuesday. I don't even know how that happened. Either this is some freak anomaly, or Mickey's Law just killed another movie.

[keysersoze123]

Frozen 2 Update(T-9)

AMC Prev -  35905/311973 (1540 shows) 11/12 +1957
Cin Prev - 38276/383978 $467584 (2405 shows) +2219

 

CIN is slightly ahead and has around 12% higher run rate as well. I think we have to wait until next wave of ramp up(show count) before AMC overtakes CIN. But that should happen before release.

As I posted earlier you need 350k+ between the 2 chains for Frozen 2 to hit 10m previews. Definitely can happen.

Edited November 13, 2019 by keysersoze123

[narniadis]

As always thank you!

[Legion Again]

LMAO, that Midway comp sticks out so much,

[lorddemaxus]

1 hour ago, Eric Plus said:

Ford v Ferrari Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	38	135	8,646	1.56%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 9

Total Seats Added Today: 2,454

Total Seats Sold Today: 9

 

Comp

0.147x of Once Upon 3 days before release (853K)

0.865x of Angel Has Fallen (1.30M)

0.699x of Ad Astra (1.05M)

0.843x of Rambo (1.10M)

0.435x of Terminator (1.02M)

0.937x of Doctor Sleep (1.41M)

2.500x of Midway (2.31M)

 

What the hell even happened here? 9 tickets is inexcusable for opening Tuesday. I don't even know how that happened. Either this is some freak anomaly, or Mickey's Law just killed another movie.

Mickey killed its own movie. Won't this have an older audience like Midway though? Might have good walkups but imo anything below 30 mil weekend isn't good considering the huge 100 mil budget.

Edited November 13, 2019 by lorddemaxus

[filmlover]

The Wrap:

 

Ford v Ferrari: high-$20M range

Charlie's Angels: $18-20M

The Good Liar: $5-9M

 

https://www.thewrap.com/can-ford-v-ferrari-give-fox-a-much-needed-box-office-win/

[Porthos]

The Rise of Skywalker Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-37 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	205	12282	24156	11874	49.16%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

63

 

T-37 Adjusted Comp #1 (EXTREMELY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

	%		Sold T-37	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
CM	425.95		22	2663		0/81	7951/10614	25.09%		88.17m
TROS (adj)	n/a		57	11343		2/205	11551/22894	49.55%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Captain Marvel.

 

T-37 Adjusted Comp #2 (VERY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

	%		Sold T-37	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
IW	175.79		99	5761		0/107	4899/10660	54.40%		68.56m
TROS (adj)	n/a		38	10127		2/205	8644/18771	53.95%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Infinity War.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  TROS had 60 days of pre-sales while Infinity War had 42 days of pre-sales.

 

---

Comps so far off of Final Totals of:

	%		Final Sold		TROS Sold		Comp
IW	66.81		15159		10127		26.05m
DP2	124.52		8133		10127		23.16m
Solo	174.94		5789		10127		24.67m
JW:FK	162.60		6228		10127		24.88m
AM&tW	219.91		4605		10127		25.29m
Venom	234.56		4493		10539		23.46m
CM	107.49		10553		11343		22.25m
EG	42.55		26655		11343		25.53m
TLK	103.33		10977		11343		23.77m
It 2	209.83		5659		11874		22.03m
AVG							24.11m

NOTE: FINAL SOLD is the amount of tickets sold at stop of tracking for the given movie and TROS SOLD is the amount of tickets sold so far at the same theaters I had tracking info for the movie in question.

[Porthos]

Frozen 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	118	14619	16562	1943	11.73%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

139

 

T-9 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts / Shows	Seats Left / Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
Aladdin	184.46		78	1023		0/74	9695/10718	9.54%		12.91m
TS4	101.02		84	1868		1/90	10441/12309	15.18%		12.12m
TLK	55.91		279	3375		0/209	18320/21695	15.56%		12.86m
Frozen 2 (adj)	n/a		139	1887		0/118	12347/14234	13.26%		n/a

PRE-SALES NOTE: Aladdin and The Lion King both had 25 days of pre-sales and Toy Story 4 had 24 days of pre-sales.  In comparison Frozen 2 had 18 days of pre-sales. 

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  Frozen 2 (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for all of the movies in that stat block.

[FlashMaster659]

Frozen II Inland Empire Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 Days

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Seats Left	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	124	1950	31306	29356	6.23%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 5

Total Seats Added Today: 968

Total Seats Sold Today: 83

[FlashMaster659]

I'll be posting the Star Wars update tomorrow morning

[Krissykins]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

The Wrap:

 

Ford v Ferrari: high-$20M range

Charlie's Angels: $18-20M

The Good Liar: $5-9M

 

https://www.thewrap.com/can-ford-v-ferrari-give-fox-a-much-needed-box-office-win/

Would be nice to see Charlie’s Angels go over $20m. 

[frozenheart1993]

Frozen 2 seems that 100Mow has lost its possibilities.

[danhtruong5]

Just now, frozenheart1993 said:

Frozen 2 seems that 100Mow has lost its possibilities.

What did you mean here?

[a2k]

21 minutes ago, frozenheart1993 said:

Frozen 2 seems that 100Mow has lost its possibilities.

malef2 did 16x the previews over ow.

with 12m previews forzen2 would need a little over 8x to get to 100 ow.

 

even dark fate did 12.3x 

 

thinking 13x+ is a reasonable guess

Edited November 13, 2019 by a2k

[Legion Again]

2 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

Mickey killed its own movie.

The Fox Disney is a False Disney, and shall not escape The Law merely by virtue of having been conquered   

[jedijake]

3 hours ago, a2k said:

malef2 did 16x the previews over ow.

with 12m previews forzen2 would need a little over 8x to get to 100 ow.

 

even dark fate did 12.3x 

 

thinking 13x+ is a reasonable guess

Finding Dory, another sequel to a beloved animated film, did 15X its preview number. And Incredibles 2, which played out like the superhero movie it was (more front loaded than most animated films), had a 10X from previews. And we're looking at around $12-$13 million in previews for Frozen 2. So there's that.

 

No way Frozen 2 is going to open with less than $120 million. That's just absurd. Under $130 million is EXTREMELY unlikely and under $140 m is also very unlikely.

Edited November 13, 2019 by jedijake

[charlie Jatinder]

4 hours ago, frozenheart1993 said:

Frozen 2 seems that 100Mow has lost its possibilities.

160+ incoming.

[a2k]

15 minutes ago, jedijake said:

Finding Dory, another sequel to a beloved animated film, did 15X its preview number. And Incredibles 2, which played out like the superhero movie it was (more front loaded than most animated films), had a 10X from previews. And we're looking at around $12-$13 million in previews for Frozen 2. So there's that.

 

No way Frozen 2 is going to open with less than $120 million. That's just absurd. Under $130 million is EXTREMELY unlikely and under $140 m is also very unlikely.

Also I2 and Dory were both summer where previews tend to be heavier compared to when weekdays are working/schools are on.

 

Am guessing 12-13m * 12.5-13.5x = 150-175.5 ow

[narniadis]

4 hours ago, danhtruong5 said:

What did you mean here?

That poster is being either a Troll or an intentional "refuse to shut up and learn" fanatic. The stupidity of the post means nothing. 

[Jonwo]

The Good Liar oddly isn't doing Thursday previews.