Weekend Thread: Friday Estimates: Pika pi! 20.7m, Assemble! 16.1m, Anne Hathaway! 4m, Cheerleaders: Endgame 1.5m, LotR: Origins 825k

[JohnnyGossamer]

Admittedly... Pika was not for me. Don't think it will play well to families either. Young adults is its market.

[JonathanLB]

Has Marvel offered any clues or anyone else any clues about a potential next Avengers film? I mean I would assume you can still have another future Avengers just without a few of the current characters, but new ones would come along or current ones take a bigger role.

 

Maybe they let it cool down for 4-5 years?

[raulbalarezo]

 

[titanic2187]

1 hour ago, IceFire9yt said:

At least it looks like Endgame's competition (Pika+JW3+Alladin) turned out to be no worse than IW's (DP2+Solo), perhaps a bit better even.

 

Deadpool was a 125M opener, and a superhero movie.  Solo also competed for the same franchise audience.  Honestly, having these movies all open so close to each other was a boneheaded move.

 

Pika ended up being much more of a family movie than originally thought, and opened lower than expectations to boot.  John Wick is overperforming, but isn't that direct of competition and is still going to have relatively modest opening (though it looks like it will kick EG out of Imax screens).  Alladin looks like it'll easily open below Solo, and won't be as direct competition as Solo either.

 

The downside for Endgame is that it got competition sooner (though keeping Imax screens this weekend was a big win).  The upshot is that it'll be the only movie 'in its lane' going into Memorial day, while IW arguably had two other movies in the same lane as it, and those movies were much bigger openers than the movies that Endgame is facing.

 

EG is such a big event that every demo in the market is their audience, this make virtually every tentpole film come out will be its direct competition.  

 

In the post memorial weekend, IW had almost nothing big, while EG need to deal with Godzilla+Rocketman combo. In the following week, IW had Ocean 8 which were a modest hit but EG needs to battle two front with own genre, Dark Pheonix and huge family IP- SLOP 2 

[terrestrial]

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[Legion Again]

4 minutes ago, raulbalarezo said:

 

As expected. Don’t think it’ll drop terribly but I hope this helps keep some legs expectations  in check.

[Tentatek]

4 minutes ago, raulbalarezo said:

 

And I oop. A smash incoming. 

[IceFire9yt]

7 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

EG is such a big event that every demo in the market is their audience, this make virtually every tentpole film come out will be its direct competition.  

 

In the post memorial weekend, IW had almost nothing big, while EG need to deal with Godzilla+Rocketman combo. In the following week, IW had Ocean 8 which were a modest hit but EG needs to battle two front with own genre, Dark Pheonix and huge family IP- SLOP 2 

I mean, yeah, all competition is competition, I'm not trying to say that Pika, JW3, and Aladdin are going to have no impact on EG.  But some competition is more competitive than others.  If there was a CBM opening soon after its release (as with IW), EG would be in a significantly worse spot than it is with Pika and Aladdin.

Edited May 11, 2019 by IceFire9yt

[cannastop]

10 minutes ago, raulbalarezo said:

 

 Meh. Could mean anything.

[cdsacken]

46 minutes ago, Jim Shorts said:

Agreed.  EG was probably the best shot at 1B off that OW. North America is probably 7-10 years away from a $1B movie while China is probably less than 5 years. 

Not if cny goes to 7.5 to 1 instead of 6.75

[cdsacken]

17 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Admittedly... Pika was not for me. Don't think it will play well to families either. Young adults is its market.

Thats what I figured. I expect it to drop off hard.

 

60/150 give or take.

Edited May 11, 2019 by cdsacken

[JB33]

Ugh. $16M is a little less than a 115% increase for EG. Even taking into account Detective Pikachu - which isn't exactly doing gangbusters either - that's a lame increase. At this point I'm just going to expect something like this:

 

Friday: $16.0M

Saturday: $24.8M

Sunday: $17.4M

Total: $58.2M

 

Yikes.

[LexJoker]

1 hour ago, MrPink said:

No matter how low the Pokemon number gets, it could not disappoint me any harder than what transpired tonight.

 

It could make $5.7m this weekend and it'd still disappoint me less

[Minnale101]

2 minutes ago, LexJoker said:

He was ass tonight. Rockets choked 

[dxmatrixdt]

13 hours ago, youcantseemyname said:

Fuck it give me Officer Jenny movie next!

do we know Officer Jenny's sleep schedule, so we can sleep while she is awake and wake up when she goes to sleep?

[LexJoker]

8 minutes ago, Minnale101 said:

He was ass tonight. Rockets choked 

Not in the 2nd half, specifically in the last 5 mins of the 4th quarter when it mattered.

[cdsacken]

13 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Ugh. $16M is a little less than a 115% increase for EG. Even taking into account Detective Pikachu - which isn't exactly doing gangbusters either - that's a lame increase. At this point I'm just going to expect something like this:

 

Friday: $16.0M

Saturday: $24.8M

Sunday: $17.4M

Total: $58.2M

 

Yikes.

Gimme 

16

26.5

22

64.5

[Zakiyyah6]

IF it does 16mil I see it doing.

 

16

27.2

19

 

62.2mil

 

I'm basing that on what Infinity War did plus what Endgame did last weekend. 

[keysersoze123]

13 minutes ago, LexJoker said:

Not in the 2nd half, specifically in the last 5 mins of the 4th quarter when it mattered.

You are arguing with facts with Minnale.

 

[Minnale101]

3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

You are arguing with facts with Minnale.

 

Did you not get proven wrong yesterday about the inside out numbers.