Weekend Thread: Actuals - TS4 59.7, Annabelle 20.3 (31.1 5-Day), Yesterday 17, Aladdin 10.1, Pets 7.3, MIB 6.7, Endgame 6.1

[Maxmoser3]

Music seems to be the most successful thing of the summer. Aladdin(even though I wasn’t a fan), Rocketman, and now Yesterday are all doing well! Maybe Blinded By The Light will do well in August next. 

[Pure Spirit]

2 hours ago, Darth Homer said:

How does Box Office Mojo remain so popular when they’re so bad at this stuff? Aside from killing the forums and making obvious mistakes (like Dumbo this week) their writeups are never insightful. At least Guru makes interesting historical comparisons in the weekend writeup.

Because the site continues to do its one job and is the #1 result when Googling for "box office". The home page has high information density and the site is easy to navigate. Even in your post complaining about it, you didn't suggest a better alternative, guru's site looks awful even if you think the analysis is better. The second Google result is called "boxofficepro" and seems more interested in selling a premium product that 99% of people Googling don't want.  I also got an "internal server error" when clicking one of their links. So even if Boxofficemojo is making mistakes, their competition is too. There's only so much money to be made reporting raw box office results.

 

I'm not saying boxofficemojo can't be improved, but it's damn hard to knock out the #1 player in a space, even with a "superior" product. I know this, because I worked at a startup a decade ago that tried to kill craigslist. Craigslist is still around and that startup is not. It was a good life lesson for me, I was much more careful picking tech companies going forward.

[Chaz]

54 minutes ago, Pure Spirit said:

Because the site continues to do its one job and is the #1 result when Googling for "box office". The home page has high information density and the site is easy to navigate. Even in your post complaining about it, you didn't suggest a better alternative, guru's site looks awful even if you think the analysis is better. The second Google result is called "boxofficepro" and seems more interested in selling a premium product that 99% of people Googling don't want.  I also got an "internal server error" when clicking one of their links. So even if Boxofficemojo is making mistakes, their competition is too. There's only so much money to be made reporting raw box office results.

 

I'm not saying boxofficemojo can't be improved, but it's damn hard to knock out the #1 player in a space, even with a "superior" product. I know this, because I worked at a startup a decade ago that tried to kill craigslist. Craigslist is still around and that startup is not. It was a good life lesson for me, I was much more careful picking tech companies going forward.

Well, if it makes you feel better, Craigslist is not long for this world either. You guys were just ahead of your time.

[MikeQ]

Summer RT Update (for those who care): We’ve received a needed influx of ‘Fresh’ films over the last couple of weeks, so that the Fresh to Rotten ratio has improved (12 Fresh, 16 Rotten). Far From Home and Midsommar, opening this Tuesday and Wednesday respectively, are both firmly in the ‘Fresh’ column. We now have 7 films with 80+%, with Toy Story 4 and Booksmart the only films with an 8+ average rating.

 

2019 Summer Films RT Watch (Wide-Release — May/June/July/August)

1. Toy Story 4 — 97% — 8.4 rating
2. Booksmart — 97% — 8.3 rating
3. Spider-Man: Far From Home — 91% — 7.4 rating
4. John Wick: Chapter 3 — 90% — 7.5 rating
5. Rocketman — 89% — 7.6 rating
6. Midsommar — 86% — 7.7 rating
7. Long Shot — 81% — 7.1 rating
8. Late Night — 79% — 6.9 rating
9. Annabelle Comes Home — 70% — 6.0 rating
10. Pokémon Detective Pikachu — 66% — 6.0 rating
11. Yesterday — 60% — 6.4 rating
12. Child’s Play — 60% — 5.8 rating
13. Secret Life of Pets 2 — 57% — 5.7 rating
14. Aladdin — 56% — 5.9 rating
15. Brightburn — 56% — 5.6 rating
16. Ma — 55% — 5.6 rating
17. Tolkien — 51% — 5.8 rating
18. A Dog’s Journey — 49% — 5.1 rating
19. The Sun Is Also a Star — 47% — 5.6 rating
20. Godzilla: King of the Monsters — 40% — 5.1 rating
21. Poms — 34% — 4.9 rating
22. Shaft — 31% — 4.8 rating
23. The Intruder — 31% — 4.2 rating
24. Anna — 30% — 4.6 rating
25. UglyDolls — 29% — 4.4 rating
26. Dark Phoenix — 23% — 4.6 rating
27. Men in Black International — 22% — 4.5 rating
28. The Hustle — 15% — 3.9 rating

 

2019 — 28 wide-release films (*SO FAR*)

• 12 fresh, 16 rotten
• 80% or higher: 7 films
• 8.0+ rating: 2 films (Toy Story 4, Booksmart)

2018 — 45 wide-release films

• 22 fresh, 23 rotten
• 80% or higher: 13 films
• 8.0+ rating: 3 films (BlacKkKlansman, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, and Hereditary)

2017 — 42 wide-release films

• 18 fresh, 24 rotten
• 80% or higher: 14 films
• 8.0+ rating: 4 films (Dunkirk, The Big Sick, War for the Planet of the Apes, Baby Driver)

2016 — 42 wide-release films

• 20 fresh, 22 rotten
• 80% or higher: 9 films
• 8.0+ rating: 1 film (Kubo and the Two Strings)

Peace,

Mike

Edited July 1, 2019 by MikeQ

[Barnack]

2 hours ago, Chaz said:

Can we talk about Austin Powers adjusted? 

 

International Man of Mystery: $105m

The Spy Who Shagged Me: $365m

Goldmember: $330m

 

Peak comedy box office of my lifetime for sure. I saw Spy Who Shagged Me in theaters when I was 13 and honestly thought it was the funniest thing I had ever seen.

 

I think it is easy to forget how big the Hangover / Meet the fockers / Rush hours / Home Alone got.

 

Rank	Title (click to view)	Studio	Adjusted Gross	Unadjusted Gross	Release
1	Rush Hour 2	NL	$360,024,800	$226,164,286	8/3/01
2	Rush Hour	NL	$269,285,000	$141,186,864	9/18/98
3	Rush Hour 3	NL	$183,508,000	$140,125,968	8/10/07

 

1	Meet the Fockers	Uni.	$397,998,900	$279,261,160	12/22/04
2	Meet the Parents	Uni.	$277,441,500	$166,244,045	10/6/00
3	Little Fockers	Uni.	$168,507,900	$148,438,600	12/22/10

 

1	The Hangover	WB	$334,864,700	$277,322,503	6/5/09
2	The Hangover Part II	WB	$284,602,500	$254,464,305	5/26/11
3	The Hangover Part III	WB	$120,771,400	$112,200,072	5/23/13

 

Average mojo ticket

 

Fockers: 31.2

Rush Hours: 30.1

Austin powers: 29.7

Hangover: 27.4

Night at the museum: 24.9

 

Home Alone made 610M adjusted, the sequel 377m.

Edited July 1, 2019 by Barnack

[Legion Again]

33 minutes ago, Barnack said:

Home Alone made 610M adjusted

[Royce]

2 hours ago, Maxmoser3 said:

Music seems to be the most successful thing of the summer. Aladdin(even though I wasn’t a fan), Rocketman, and now Yesterday are all doing well! Maybe Blinded By The Light will do well in August next. 

Bodes well for The Lion King 👍

[JimiQ]

1 hour ago, Barnack said:

 

I think it is easy to forget how big the Hangover / Meet the fockers / Rush hours / Home Alone got.

 

Rank	Title (click to view)	Studio	Adjusted Gross	Unadjusted Gross	Release
1	Rush Hour 2	NL	$360,024,800	$226,164,286	8/3/01
2	Rush Hour	NL	$269,285,000	$141,186,864	9/18/98
3	Rush Hour 3	NL	$183,508,000	$140,125,968	8/10/07

 

1	Meet the Fockers	Uni.	$397,998,900	$279,261,160	12/22/04
2	Meet the Parents	Uni.	$277,441,500	$166,244,045	10/6/00
3	Little Fockers	Uni.	$168,507,900	$148,438,600	12/22/10

 

1	The Hangover	WB	$334,864,700	$277,322,503	6/5/09
2	The Hangover Part II	WB	$284,602,500	$254,464,305	5/26/11
3	The Hangover Part III	WB	$120,771,400	$112,200,072	5/23/13

 

Average mojo ticket

 

Rush Hours: 30.1

Austin powers: 29.7

Hangover: 27.4

 

Home Alone made 610M adjusted, the sequel 377m.

Bring night at the museum to the mix

[DAJK]

Yesterday is doing pretty damn great at my theatre, and even Annabelle is recovering after somewhat of a soft first day. The former is at our equivalent of 29.3M after 3-days (and I'm expecting big Monday/Tuesday for it) while Annabelle did 23.5M over the weekend and is at 31.3M 5-day opening. 

 

And Yesterday is having really great WOM too. I hope this one legs out and can do something like 70M/150M WW

Edited July 1, 2019 by DAJK

[wildphantom]

8 hours ago, Slambros said:

I think July is going to be a very interesting month, not just for the new releases, but for the holdovers, too.

 

I say this because July only has six new nationwide releases. Six. That's not a lot of releases at all. So if a few films don't completely hog the audiences all to themselves (*glares at Spider-Man and The Lion King*), then we could see a lot of films benefit from the lack of releases. At least, this is my hope.

 

For instance, a film that might be able to have better legs than people are expecting is Yesterday, because it's a feel-good film that won't really have anything directly competing against it.

 

Plus, there's the horror film Crawl. If $40M's worth of moviegoers are seeing The Meg on opening weekend, I think Crawl has the potential to be a sleeper hit.

 

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood is a huge wildcard, but I think it has potential, too.

I can’t see anything but one of the bigger Tarantino grossers with OUATIH. 

 

It’ll open in at least the $40-50 million range, and you’d think a solid multiplier considering its critical reception. 

[DeeCee]

Happy Canada Day/Spider-Man Far From Home Opening Day in Australia. 

[charlie Jatinder]

Endgame $1.95mn Sunday. That's better than I expected.

[charlie Jatinder]

TS 4 19.6

Annabelle 5.9

Yday 4.9

Aladdin 3.05

Slop 2.3

Mibi 2.1

 

Enough?

[Taruseth]

2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Endgame $1.95mn Sunday. That's better than I expected.

That would be pretty great and a 14.8% drop from Saturday.

Total Wend: 6.1m (+206.8%)

[Taruseth]

1 minute ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

TS 4 19.6

Annabelle 5.9

Yday 4.9

Aladdin 3.05

Slop 2.3

Mibi 2.1

 

Enough?

Total Wends:

TS4: 59.6m (-50.7% about 200k above TS3 weekend)

Aladdin: 9.83m (-25.8%)

 

[john2000]

1 minute ago, Taruseth said:

Total Wends:

TS4: 59.6m (-50.7% about 200k above TS3 weekend)

Aladdin: 9.83m (-25.8%)

 

these could be higher is fri and sat are also higher

[Moses]

10 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Endgame $1.95mn Sunday. That's better than I expected.

That is great

We need higher os numbers for better weekend numbers 

[Taruseth]

8 minutes ago, john2000 said:

these could be higher is fri and sat are also higher

Normally Friday and Saturday don't change that much after the Sunday estimate, but you are right they both could be higher but I doubt it will be by much, maybe they together will be 400k higher, so the weekend is 60m.

[cookie]

21 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

TS 4 19.6

Annabelle 5.9

Yday 4.9

Aladdin 3.05

Slop 2.3

Mibi 2.1

 

Enough?

Soooooo close to $60m w/e

[lorddemaxus]

30 minutes ago, john2000 said:

these could be higher is fri and sat are also higher

Saturday and Friday usually don't change.