Weekdays Thread (6/13-16) // 6.9m TG2, 13m JW:D Mon //

[narniadis]

13 minutes ago, Legion and Thunder said:

It’s an objectively indefensible statistical viewpoint, that’s a bit more extreme than just “I would not prefer” so I would say clarification would be, if not necessary, at least pretty useful.  (And I hoped I would get actual clarification— I wouldn’t have bothered asking otherwise)

I like EC but anyone expecting clarification from him can have a stab at buying my ocean front property in Arizona 😂😂 But I get where you are coming from. 

[Legion Again]

36 minutes ago, narniadis said:

anyone expecting clarification from him can have a stab at buying my ocean front property in Arizona

I believe this is what they call “investing in the future”

[MattW]

More people should be willing to bet on beliefs. Really helps clarify confidence levels.

[JohnnyGossamer]

No Game 7. Father's Day numbers will be stellar across the board for all releases. Hopefully this helps LY clear 80+ this weekend. TGM will do 40+. JWD hopefully 60. Looking forward to seeing the Friday increases for everything.

[JohnnyGossamer]

I imagine, generally speaking, Pixar does well on the left coast. Warriors being a dynastic San Francisco team playing/winning championship tonight maybe deflated it's Thursday numbers there... Numbers it'll recover today and over the weekend.

 

No weekend thread up just yet?

Edited June 17, 2022 by JohnnyGossamer

[Juby]

9 hours ago, LegendaryBen said:

Then what’s your final prediction for this? Let’s not lose hope just yet. It’s not that it’s disappointed.

 

For Maverick? I think $570-580 million final domestic is the target right now. That would be insane run, I don't think not crossing $600m dom would be any dissapointment at all.

[BadOlCatSylvester]

Solo 2: Solo Harder incoming!

 

Premier Access is going to come back with a vengeance for Strange World once Chapek sees these numbers. I wouldn't put it past him to send Elemental straight to Plus either.

 

Minions 2 had better deliver if the animation industry wants to avoid massive layoffs across the board. No pressure, Illumination. None at all.

[Liiviig 1998]

1 hour ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

No Game 7. Father's Day numbers will be stellar across the board for all releases. Hopefully this helps LY clear 80+ this weekend. TGM will do 40+. JWD hopefully 60. Looking forward to seeing the Friday increases for everything.

Don't see  LY getting that high Previews should be around 6m including early access .

TS4 had a 10* IM with better WoM and early access always cuts  into IM.

 

Think holiday will help it get to 70m+ otherwise sub 70m was happening.

 

Verified is at 88% with 100+ reviews.

 

Edited June 17, 2022 by Liiviig 1998

[Hilpkioy]

I have a hard time seeing a strong debut for Lightyear in the US/CAN considering Pixar movies tend to be 50/50 Dom and Int split and the international nums do not look good so far. 

[Legion Again]

36 minutes ago, Liiviig 1998 said:

Verified is at 88% with 100+ reviews.

Holy shit

[Brainbug]

600M is i think too practically locked.

 

The real question is where it will end up in the 600M club since 700M aka Black Panther imo is a bit too far.

 

We have

 

Incredibles 2 at 608M - Top Gun should pass it.

The Last Jedi at 620M - Top Gun should pass it as well.

The Avengers at 623M - Same with this.

Jurassic World at 652M - Has a good shot at it as well, just needs great late legs in August/September no chance.

 

Top Gun will stop at a maximum of 651M.

[stripe]

1 hour ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

No Game 7. Father's Day numbers will be stellar across the board for all releases. Hopefully this helps LY clear 80+ this weekend. TGM will do 40+. JWD hopefully 60. Looking forward to seeing the Friday increases for everything.

 

Crossing fingers you're right. Another 200M weekend would mean great news

 

[charlie Jatinder]

9 minutes ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

600M is i think too practically locked.

 

The real question is where it will end up in the 600M club since 700M aka Black Panther imo is a bit too far.

 

We have

 

Incredibles 2 at 608M - Top Gun should pass it.

The Last Jedi at 620M - Top Gun should pass it as well.

The Avengers at 623M - Same with this.

Jurassic World at 652M - Has a good shot at it as well, just needs great late legs in August/September no chance.

 

Top Gun will stop at a maximum of 651M.

This is a very good analysis. 

[Brainbug]

2 hours ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

No Game 7. Father's Day numbers will be stellar across the board for all releases. Hopefully this helps LY clear 80+ this weekend. TGM will do 40+. JWD hopefully 60. Looking forward to seeing the Friday increases for everything.

 

Hopefully youre right. All these numbers would be amazing and im too hopefull that the Friday increases will look very good since i still think the Weekdays were for a number of reasons a bit deflated.

[titanic2187]

2 hours ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

No Game 7. Father's Day numbers will be stellar across the board for all releases. Hopefully this helps LY clear 80+ this weekend. TGM will do 40+. JWD hopefully 60. Looking forward to seeing the Friday increases for everything.

 

4 minutes ago, stripe said:

 

Crossing fingers you're right. Another 200M weekend would mean great news

 

Domestic market is actually tracking for a $1bn monthly gross. The first in post-pandemic era. Not even NWH and sing2 can lift that much to December last year.

[CJohn]

3 hours ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

No Game 7. Father's Day numbers will be stellar across the board for all releases. Hopefully this helps LY clear 80+ this weekend. TGM will do 40+. JWD hopefully 60. Looking forward to seeing the Friday increases for everything.

Fuck yes. The evil has been defeated at Game 6.

[Krissykins]

I can’t see Lightyear going under $60m opening from $6.25m previews. Unless I’m reading it wrong. 
 

 

Sonic 2 did $71m from $6.3m with no Sunday boost. 

[grey ghost]

Weekend thread?

[Eric Loves Rey]

1 minute ago, grey ghost said:

Weekend thread?

When we get an official preview number. We don't have that yet.

[XXR vs XXR]

46 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

I can’t see Lightyear going under $60m opening from $6.25m previews. Unless I’m reading it wrong. 
 

 

Sonic 2 did $71m from $6.3m with no Sunday boost. 

True, but that was also when kids where in school so Thursday (especially later shows) are comparitvely muted for PG films which leads to a larger IM as families make up for it on the weekend.

 

I think 10-11x will be the target, but I could be wrong.