Wednesday #s: Eight Fresh Releases This Weekend and Fantastic Four Edition

[kowhite]

The first rule of BoxOfficeTheory, you do not ... frak ...nevermind.

Do what you want.

Good man.

I'll accept the rule...

Otherwise.

Maybe.

Edited August 6, 2015 by kowhite

[Fake]

The Wednesday number is still pretty close to what RotPotA did.

RotPotA jumped 87% on Friday though. I doubt MI5 can manage such jump. But even if it jumps 60%, it will do 25M+ for the weekend, which would be good enough.

[miketheavenger]

It's really a shame that Shaun is basically flopping in the U.S. I've seen it and it's a really funny, heartfelt film. O well, at least it's doing solidly overseas.

[Maxmoser3]

Well, it probably made for a good excuse for her to quit.

she was an ok actress but she was annoying in Lake Placid

[a2k]

giving it 4.5 on Thu, and 70.5% Fri bump (Rise was 87 and Ant Man was 54...70.5 is right in the middle),

7.65 + 10.32(+35%) + 7.74(-25%) = 25.71

53-54% drop

 

could drop 55%+ owing to F4

[CJohn]

It was obvious Shaun the Sheep wasn't gonna make much money.

[RamblinRed]

It's only 6 days so far but MI:RN tracking is almost identical to Ant-Man through the first 6 days. Ant-Man had bigger previews but their weekend numbers even by day were almost the same. MI had a slightly larger Monday due to the Canada holiday but the increases and drops have been quite close. Have to see if stronger WOM kicks in this weekend.

 

AM/MI  

22.6/20.3

19.4/19.6

15.1/15.5

6.4/6.7

7.8/7.2

5.1/5.1

 

Minions will fall behind IO's gross on Friday and then cross 300M on either Saturday or Sunday. Minion's 5th weekend may come in below IO's 6th weekend.

[Captain Craig]

Ant-Man 1.6

+ $136.4m = $138m in it's domestic run to date. 

 

Ant-Man should be around $147m come Sunday estimates!!

[zackzack]

heeeeelp meeee

[TServo2049]

Aardman makes a good amount of money from commercials and licensing. Their profits fell in 2013, but I haven't heard anything bad about them since.

Laika has a steady revenue stream from commercials, and Travis Knight has that Nike money. So both of them are able to stay afloat even if their movies don't set the world on fire.

And these films' budgets are low enough that they don't take a bath. I can't find Shaun's budget anywhere.

[mahnamahna]

I guess Shaun is a FLOP. Oh well.

It did well in the UK, and the budget is probably well below $50 million, so it'll make a small profit in the end. 

 

With that OD it's probably doing like 5m for the 5 day.

Shaun isn't going to be remotely frontloaded... it could definitely rebound over the weekend and do $9-10 million over the 5 day  it's not doomsday quite yet. 

 

$5-6 million 5 day may be very likely, but I'm thinking most parents don't even know it's out yet. My guess is $7-7.5 million for the 5 day. 

Edited August 6, 2015 by mahnamahna

[WrathOfHan]

I mean, Shaun was never going to do well but damn. Underdogs will get destroyed even more.

[filmlover]

It was obvious Shaun the Sheep wasn't gonna make much money.

This, sadly.

[Plain Old Tele]

Tele is retired, get it right.

Easy livin since 1976.

I wish.

[The Dark Alfred]

It's only 6 days so far but MI:RN tracking is almost identical to Ant-Man through the first 6 days. Ant-Man had bigger previews but their weekend numbers even by day were almost the same. MI had a slightly larger Monday due to the Canada holiday but the increases and drops have been quite close. Have to see if stronger WOM kicks in this weekend.

AM/MI

22.6/20.3

19.4/19.6

15.1/15.5

6.4/6.7

7.8/7.2

5.1/5.1

Minions will fall behind IO's gross on Friday and then cross 300M on either Saturday or Sunday. Minion's 5th weekend may come in below IO's 6th weekend.

MI5 will have bigger LD boost so I'd say 10m higher tally expected. 175m is a good target. 600m OS looking likely so it's easily the highest grossing entry of the franchise WW. Pretty impressive global tally without 3D.

[kayumanggi]

Can M:I-RN be number one again?

Fandango reports #FantasticFour and #MissionImpossible #RogueNation lead the weekend's advance sales. http://t.co/v1kPM5Vt1m

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice)

August 6, 2015

[Ezen Baklattan]

Can M:I-RN be number one again?

<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

 

At MovieTickets.com, F4 is still behind Dragonball and MI5.

[Captain Craig]

MI:RN has a solid chance to repeat IF it turns out to be a weekend film & FF tanks like it's looking likely to do. 

Those $46m OW predicts from last week will surely be dialed way back. Enough for MI:RN to repeat---could be interesting to watch!!

[baumer]

Keep in mind MI5 didn't show up at all for advanced sales.

[Mattrek]

Keep in mind MI5 didn't show up at all for advanced sales.

That's wrong B, it showed up Wednesday afternoon at 10%.