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Dec 21-23 Weekend Thread | Sat#'s (Asgard pg 60) - Aqua 21.8, MPR 8.8, BB 7.2, SMSV 6.9, Mule 3.8 | Discuss Pitbull's musical work here

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Somewhat sad to see Poppins underperform only because it’d be nice to see traditional animation to make some sort of a big success on the big screen as it’s been a while.

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I know a lot of people are happy that Spiderman had a bump today but it's not a great bump for an animated film. The Grinch and Ralph bumped by 18% and 14% respectively. Ferdinand had its first Thursday right before Christmas too and had a bump of 22%. Spider-Man is performing more like superhero film than an animated film. Not sure if it's reaching 200 mil.

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Poppins isn't making $200 million. Had the same conversation about legs with folks who kept saying legs would push TLJ to $700 mill, then just beating Titanic, then JW, then just Avengers. Called $620 million when the $21 million Monday came in and heard what people were saying. School's still in, last minute shopping, parties, travel, blah blah blah. Numbers are numbers. Speaks for itself sometimes. For MPR sake, it never had mass audience appeal. $20-$25 million 3-day Ow is abyssmal. Only major Oscar talk can help it, not just Blunt. $175-$180 milion domestic is where it may be heading.

 

Disney dominated the first half of the year with (drumroll) superhero films.

Edited by jedijake
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Mary Poppins Retuens hasn't lit the world on fire thus far, but I still think it's way too early to write it off. It's a big crowd pleaser and it has the multi-generational appeal to play well through Christmas and New Year's - and then well into January after that.

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‘Aquaman’ to Conquer Box Office With $70 Million Opening Weekend

Warner Bros.’ “Aquaman” is pegged for a Friday haul of around $28 million, including $13.7 million from three nights of previews. The tentpole has already generated $332 million from international markets,including $209 million in China in the two weeks before its U.S. launch. Reviews for the Jason Momoa vehicle have been decent, with a current 64% score on Rotten Tomatoes.

The latest addition to the DC Extended Universe is arriving in 4,150 domestic locations, with studio expectations of about $67 million for the Friday-Sunday period, and $120 million for the five days from Friday through Christmas

 

https://variety.com/2018/film/news/aquaman-box-office-opening-mary-poppins-returns-1203094912/

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3 minutes ago, raulbalarezo said:
 

‘Aquaman’ to Conquer Box Office With $70 Million Opening Weekend

Warner Bros.’ “Aquaman” is pegged for a Friday haul of around $28 million, including $13.7 million from three nights of previews. The tentpole has already generated $332 million from international markets,including $209 million in China in the two weeks before its U.S. launch. Reviews for the Jason Momoa vehicle have been decent, with a current 64% score on Rotten Tomatoes.

The latest addition to the DC Extended Universe is arriving in 4,150 domestic locations, with studio expectations of about $67 million for the Friday-Sunday period, and $120 million for the five days from Friday through Christmas

 

https://variety.com/2018/film/news/aquaman-box-office-opening-mary-poppins-returns-1203094912/

not them taking the newest RT score,when several hours ago still in 68%-ish... lol..they really wants it flop so bad,but WB really smart to launch it in CHINA first...maybe they already get the memo about RT score....lol

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8 minutes ago, raulbalarezo said:
 

‘Aquaman’ to Conquer Box Office With $70 Million Opening Weekend

Warner Bros.’ “Aquaman” is pegged for a Friday haul of around $28 million, including $13.7 million from three nights of previews. The tentpole has already generated $332 million from international markets,including $209 million in China in the two weeks before its U.S. launch. Reviews for the Jason Momoa vehicle have been decent, with a current 64% score on Rotten Tomatoes.

The latest addition to the DC Extended Universe is arriving in 4,150 domestic locations, with studio expectations of about $67 million for the Friday-Sunday period, and $120 million for the five days from Friday through Christmas

 

https://variety.com/2018/film/news/aquaman-box-office-opening-mary-poppins-returns-1203094912/

So, if it's $70M...they are predicting...

 

$13.7M pre-Fri

$14.3M true Fri

$23M Sat (+61% true Fri)

$19M Sun (-17%)

 

A little optimistic for this date, isn't it?

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In general, it's just hard to project how films are going to play out around Christmas and New Year's. It's just a totally different animal than the rest of the year and there's a ton of variation based simply on the day Christmas happens to fall on (not to mention outside factors like travel, family plans, when school/work lets out for a break. etc.) that don't have much bearing on other times of the year.

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This has been a pretty bad year for Disney for anything that's not MCU or Incredibles

 

A Wrinkle In Time,Nutcracker and Solo all bombed.  Christopher Robin and Ralph underperformed and looks like Mary Poppins will follow in their footsteps :sadno: 

 

Hopefully next year is better for Disney, I can already see Artemis Fowl and Dumbo bombing with Aladdin potentially underperforming, the rest should do fine.. 

 

 

 

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5 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

This has been a pretty bad year for Disney for anything that's not MCU or Incredibles

 

A Wrinkle In Time,Nutcracker and Solo all bombed.  Christopher Robin and Ralph underperformed and looks like Mary Poppins will follow in their footsteps :sadno: 

 

Hopefully next year is better for Disney, I can already see Artemis Fowl and Dumbo bombing with Aladdin potentially underperforming, the rest should do fine.. 

 

 

 

Disney is doing fine, they're still the top grossing studio of the year.

 

 

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30 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

This has been a pretty bad year for Disney for anything that's not MCU or Incredibles

 

A Wrinkle In Time,Nutcracker and Solo all bombed.  Christopher Robin and Ralph underperformed and looks like Mary Poppins will follow in their footsteps :sadno: 

 

Hopefully next year is better for Disney, I can already see Artemis Fowl and Dumbo bombing with Aladdin potentially underperforming, the rest should do fine.. 

 

 

 

Dumbo trailer views on YT / FB / TT are good, way better than MPR... and apparently it was well received on screenings, i don’t think it’ll bomb, probably gonna cross $ 200M since it doesn’t have much competition.

 

Aladdin will be fine, OS will save it if underperform in USA.

 

Artemis Fowl yeah, probably one the biggest flops of 2019.

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