HAN SOLO MEMORIAL (day weekend) THREAD | Solo Flops Domestically with 83M/101M weekend. Spectacularly Bombs Overseas with 65M weekend.

[lab276]

51 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

With each passing year, Pirates of the Caribbean 3 looks better and better. 

 

Its adjusted 4 day is $186m, the closest since then was Indy 4 and since then Fast 6, which adjusts to 60m less than Pirates. Solo's gonna be the first memorial day hundred-millionaire for four years. It's a shame that this weekend has sort of fallen by the wayside.

[KeepItU25071906]

28 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

I wonder what Lord and Miller are doing right now? They must be happy that their names aren't on such a flop.

First of all: I don't think it would be flop with Lord&Miller's helming.

Edited May 26, 2018 by KeepItU25071906

[KeepItU25071906]

10 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Only 460M for BP?

‘Panther’ Profits

THUMB STREAM EST. COSTS EST. REVENUE EST. PROFIT Domestic B.O.   $650M   Foreign B.O.   $600M   Global B.O.   $1.25 billion   Domestic Rental   $325M   Foreign Rental   $251M   Net Domestic Home Ent. & Digital Revenue   $100M   Net Domestic Pay & Free TV   $35M   Net Foreign Home Ent. Revenue   $25M   Net Foreign TV   $75M   Est. Total Revenue   $811M   Production Cost $210M     Global P&A $140M     Total Costs $350M     Est. Profit*     $461M   *(Before Participations, Interest And Residuals)

[Taruseth]

12 hours ago, Taruseth said:

That would be a 17.9M True Friday (PotC 5 had a 18.05M True Friday)

So if it follows this it's Opening WEEK will be below 100M:

Previews: 14.1M

T Friday: 17.9M

Saturday: 20M (+11.7%)

Sunday: 18.5M (-7.5%) (70.5M 3-D-OW)

Monday: 15M  (-18.9%) (85.5M 4-D-OW)

Tuesday: 6.5M (-56.7%)

Wednesday: 4M (-38.5%)

Thursday: 3.25M (-18.8%) (99.25M OW)

 

That would mean a total of 170 (2.41x) to 200M (2.83)

 

Okay, this is to low... This can't be happening.

 

With a 36.5M Friday with the same drops it would be as followed:

Previews: 14.1M

T Friday: 22.4M

Saturday: 25M (+11.7%) (-31.5%)

Sunday: 23.125M (-7.5%) (84.625M 3-D-OW)

Monday: 18.75M  (-18.9%) (103.375M 4-D-OW)

Tuesday: 8.1M (-56.8%)

Wednesday: 5M (-38.3%)

Thursday: 4.1M (-18%) (120.575M OW)

(I used PotC 5 as comparison so I think Thursday hold might be better as WW isn't opening)

And that would mean a total of 200m (2.363x) to 240M (2.836x)

[Curtis1986]

DP2 is good for one watch so not shocking its dropping off a cliff fast.

[Taruseth]

11 minutes ago, lab276 said:

 

Its adjusted 4 day is $186m, the closest since then was Indy 4 and since then Fast 6, which adjusts to 60m less than Pirates. Solo's gonna be the first memorial day hundred-millionaire for four years. It's a shame that this weekend has sort of fallen by the wayside.

I still haven't found any evidence that suggest that PotC 3 thursday gross was a full day and not just evening previews (starting at 8pm is the only time I found) which to make it fair would be a part of the weekend considering the fact that nowadays previews often start at 7pm or sometimes even earlier.

So 203.8M four day weekend.

[StevenG]

Remember when Book Club was supposed to flop? 

[terrestrial]

6 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Only 460M for BP?

I didn't look into if its 'only' or only... General: They use in the most cases calculation models. I think Barnack told recently about them making more effort now (or for a time, that was the detail I was not sure how to understand), but as the Sony leak did not give us hints about merchandise... and the influence of a solo title to the complete franchises sales/income is not for us accessable anyway, I'd take that as a guess out of the industries averages for now

[StevenG]

1 hour ago, bladels said:

Dam, horrible number for all 

Not really. Breaking In, Book Club, Overboard, and Life of the Party all had decent to great holds.

[Marek the Jedi]

8 hours ago, junkshop36 said:

Saw it

 

I thought it was a fun, entertaining movie. Good action and humor as well. 

 

Acting wise, everyone did a good job but I especially thought Alden did really well given the amount of pressure that was on him. 

 

The train sequence was definitely a highlight and I liked all the little twists and turns in the last act. 

 

Wish it was doing better box office wise because with what they set up near the end I’d like to see where they were planning on going with it. 

cool!

same for me!

 

Marek

[Thomas Beck]

16 minutes ago, Curtis1986 said:

DP2 is good for one watch so not shocking its dropping off a cliff fast.

Is it actually common to watch a movie more than once in the cinemas in the US?

 

Would be very rare experience for me personally, should be about 2-3 movies in total that I watched more than once there. Later, when they come out in other formats is a different issue of course.

 

 

 

 

[TalismanRing]

38 minutes ago, KeepItU25071906 said:

‘Panther’ Profits

THUMB STREAM EST. COSTS EST. REVENUE EST. PROFIT Domestic B.O.   $650M   Foreign B.O.   $600M   Global B.O.   $1.25 billion   Domestic Rental   $325M   Foreign Rental   $251M   Net Domestic Home Ent. & Digital Revenue   $100M   Net Domestic Pay & Free TV   $35M   Net Foreign Home Ent. Revenue   $25M   Net Foreign TV   $75M   Est. Total Revenue   $811M   Production Cost $210M     Global P&A $140M     Total Costs $350M     Est. Profit*     $461M   *(Before Participations, Interest And Residuals)

They're already off on the projected B.O. by about $90m WW (more than half of that domestic) and they're going to be about $100-125m off on their early AIW projections (more than half domestic as well)

[Valonqar]

1 hour ago, James said:

LMAO, in the OS thread they are discussing if Solo will go under 200m OS... total...

At this point I am curious what Ep 9 will make OS.

Ep 9 is bound to drop OS. No amount of returned old favorites is saving that one. Dom may get fooled but OS won't be. 

 

Funny thing about new SW is that when they drop, they fall off the cliff. TLJ lost $700M on TFA WW (I don't care whether that's the same percentage AOTC lost, the number is staggering itself and that's that) and now Solo is poised to lose between $400-500M on RO WW (although it isn't a sequel but it shows the level of rejection of this particular spin-off). 

[pepsa]

Happy we got that 36.5m Friday (some even reporting close to 38m) This is way better than the 33m early guestimate. Now we are looking at 22.4m 'real' Friday instead of a $18.9m 'real' Friday. Dom might recover a bit. 4-day will be over $110m I think.

[Valonqar]

1 hour ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Only 460M for BP?

I wished I had "only" that in my bank account. 

 

Solo A Star Wars Bomb

Childish Bombino

Alden Floppenreich

 

Edited May 26, 2018 by Valonqar

[fabiopazzo2]

17 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

I wished I had "only" that in my bank account. 

 

Solo A Star Wars Bomb

Childish Bombino

Alden Floppenreich

 

 

Oh my god 

Obviously 480m is fucking huge 

[POTUS 2020]

13 hours ago, Mango said:

tbh these Star Wars spinoffs aren't really the same as say the MCU. Whereas those compliment other current films in the franchise these are pretty detatched one-offs basically designed to tide people over for the next main entry. They're pretty unnecessary and come off more as fan fiction at times.

 

I think it's best to go back to doing just main Star Wars films and let them be the events they should be.

Dis paid $4,000,000,000.  They need to milk that cow big time

[CoolioD1]

idk deadpool 2 was kinda in one ear and out the other for me. Not really enough of anything. Not funny enough, action not cool enough, emotional beats don't hit hard enough...

[Valonqar]

@Mango

 

Quote

tbh these Star Wars spinoffs aren't really the same as say the MCU. Whereas those compliment other current films in the franchise these are pretty detatched one-offs basically designed to tide people over for the next main entry. They're pretty unnecessary and come off more as fan fiction at times.

 

You nailed it. Spin-offs feel like a filler and filler isn't a must-see. RO had a benefit of XMas spot and coming off TFA heels (and ramping up Vader in promos) but that was one time when people were curious. Next filler (Solo) didn't fare well and fillers coming after it won't either. 

Edited May 26, 2018 by Valonqar

[Eastwood47]

1 hour ago, Curtis1986 said:

DP2 is good for one watch so not shocking its dropping off a cliff fast.

I don't think that's the reason. It might be in the "superhero" genre, but it's definitely a rated R film and they never should have put it in this kind of traffic with big tent-poll movies coming out all around it. You have allot of fans of all of these big movies out right now, which means they all suffer for that. I honestly thought Deadpool should have kept the tradition of coming out on Valentines Day. Sticking it in a crowded summer schedule was a huge mistake. Solo suffers in the same way. And Infinity Wars is missing financial goals some here expected it to make with ease. Some day these studios (or in this case Disney) will learn to put some space between these projects to maximize profit.