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Eric Duncan

CAPTAIN MARVEL WEEKEND THREAD l $153M DOM (3rd-biggest March opening), $455M WW (6th biggest WW opening) l Other weekend #s: Dragon 14.7, Madea 12, Lego 3.8, Alita 3.2

By Eric Duncan, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Rthmessiah,

From earlier, CM 63-65m  not looking much different to DL early est 
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Posted by Rthmessiah,

Going with sat CM 53, HTTYD3 6.670m,MFF 5.7, LM 1.8m, ABA 1.4m
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TalismanRing Global Phenomenon

TalismanRing

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43 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

forget to fill in:

he writes also about ww results

ww it does break records, take a look into the International thread

I don't care if the director... its about those movies are pretty different. it was said they are all the same in a way. To compare under a handful with the early movies sounds logical to me. Not logical to me is to compare it to an impression of the sum (and a bit too much only looking at te sum in my POV)

A director having his/her on style usually good. But usually not happening over-night. And sometimes even limiting, depends a lot on the project. 

A director's style also isn't just visual - it's also about directing actors, conveying story and themes, pacing etc  - otherwise they'd be cinematographers.

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Eric Duncan Global Phenomenon

Eric Duncan

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Just now, TombRaider said:

captain marvel almost outdid alita's whole gross in 1 day :hahaha:

AHEM

 

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2. KEEP YOUR AGENDA OUT OF HERE. We get it. Marvel is the greatest film series ever created and all other franchises are below it. Marvel is destroying cinema and Kevin Feige/Bob Iger/Kathleen Kennedy is the spawn of Satan, and DC or James Cameron are gifts from God. Wonder Woman is better than Captain Marvel. Captain Marvel's better than Wonder Woman. Alita's better than Captain Marvel. Captain Marvel's better than Alita. Shazam is the true Captain Marvel. Brie Larson wants to exterminate white men from existence. Yadda yadda yadda.

 

There's a time and place for these kinds of statements...actually, there isn't. But at the very least, it doesn't belong here. If you want to start these beefs related to all of these dumb children's movies, take it to the Fanboy Wars thread right here. If you do this kind of stuff here, it'll derail the thread and can be considered trolling. The mods will not be kind to the people who started this, I'll tell you that much. Don't be a dick.

 

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

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Weekend Estimates: Captain MarvelSoaring Higher, Further, Faster to $150M+ Domestic, $400M+ Global Debut

News & Analysis • Shawn Robbins • March 09 2019
captainmarvel1-775x970-479x600.png
 

Saturday Update: The Marvel Cinematic Universe has yet another resounding success to store in its coffers as Captain Marvel earned an excellent $61.382 million domestic opening on Friday, inclusive of Thursday night’s $20.7 million earnings.

That puts the weekend on course to land within the range of bullish pre-release expectations for a weekend close to or north of $150 million — far ahead of cautious tracking projections calling for around $100 million last month. The film has an eye toward the top three March openings of all-time if it can surpass The Hunger Games‘ $152.54 million.

Combined with overseas results, we project the film’s global debut is likely to exceed $400 million through Sunday — with upside for more.

Domestically, Friday’s take stands as the seventh highest MCU opening day, and the second-highest among all MCU origin/solo character titles — trailing only Black Panther‘s $75.94 million.

For Anna Boden, co-director of the film with Ryan Fleck, this represents the highest opening day in box office history by a film directed or co-directed by a woman — topping director Patty Jenkins’ previous record of $38.25 million for Wonder Woman.

The film earned an “A” CinemaScore.

For a fuller comparison view, Captain Marvel‘s first domestic day registered:

  • 19 percent behind Black Panther ($75.94 million)
  • 32 percent ahead of Thor: Ragnarok ($46.5 million)
  • 21 percent ahead of Spider-Man: Homecoming ($50.8 million)
  • 60.5 percent ahead of Wonder Woman ($38.25 million)
  • 9 percent ahead of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 ($56.1 million)
  • 4 percent behind Beauty and the Beast (2017) ($63.8 million)
  • 88 percent ahead of Doctor Strange ($32.6 million)

Internal weekend projections at this stage are highly dependent on the family turnout through Saturday and Sunday. Thursday night’s portion represented nearly 34 percent of the opening day gross, nearly identical to Black Panther‘s 33 percent Thursday night share of opening day. A direct projection based on that trajectory would suggest a weekend north of $160 million to be possible.

However, Panther had a holiday (Presidents Day on Monday) boosting its Sunday performance, as well as Valentine’s Day landing the day before opening night. As such, it’s not quite an apples-to-apples comparison for Marvel, which has no similar holiday to benefit from this weekend. It remains to be seen how much effect Friday’s International Women’s Day may or may not have had.

This morning, Disney is projecting $145-155 million for the domestic weekend. A complete table of domestic weekend estimates can be found below.

Captain Marvel International Update

Overseas, the film is off to an equally impressive start with $127 million collected through Friday, its third day of release. Representing the #1 western debut in all markets, that figure is inclusive of a $34.3 million opening day in China — the second highest MCU opening day ever, trailing only Avengers: Infinity War($76 million).

In the United Kingdom, Marvel scored the MCU’s fourth highest MCU opening day, while Mexico drew the seventh highest opening day in industry history, and Spain’ claimed the second best MCU opening behind Infinity War.

Through Friday, here’s the overseas breakdown from Disney:

Territories GBO
China $34.3M
Korea $9.3M
Indonesia $6.4M
Brazil $5.4M
Russia $5.4M
UK $5.3M
Australia $4.5M
France $4.3M
Mexico $4.1M
Thailand $3.7M
Germany $3.4M
Other $40.9M
Total $127.0M

Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)
FRI, MAR. 8 – SUN, MAR. 10

WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND – LOCATIONS – AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Captain Marvel $153,000,000 — 4,310 — $35,499 $153,000,000 1 Disney
2 How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World $15,900,000 -47% 4,042 -244 $3,934 $120,866,125 6 Universal / DreamWorks Animation
3 Tyler Perry’s A Madea Family Funeral $12,300,000 -55% 2,442 0 $5,037 $46,129,810 2 Lionsgate
4 The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part $3,900,000 -41% 2,930 -528 $1,331 $97,184,961 7 Warner Bros.
5 Alita: Battle Angel $3,200,000 -56% 2,374 -722 $1,348 $78,346,064 4 20th Century Fox
6 Green Book $2,600,000 -43% 2,097 -544 $1,240 $80,251,871 17 Universal Pictures
7 Fighting With My Family $2,400,000 -49% 2,455 -400 $978 $18,868,090 4 MGM
8 Isn’t It Romantic $2,400,000 -47% 2,223 -1102 $1,080 $44,144,720 4 Warner Bros.
9 Greta $2,100,000 -53% 2,417 6 $869 $8,190,735 2 Focus Features
10 What Men Want $1,200,000 -57% 1,062 -956 $1,130 $51,997,160 5 Paramount
11 The Upside $1,100,000 -45% 1,010 -597 $1,089 $104,620,031 9 STX Entertainment
12 Happy Death Day 2U $845,000 -66% 1,098 -1233 $770 $26,771,645 4 Universal Pictures

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND   LOCATIONS   AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Apollo 11 $1,400,000 -13% 405 285 $3,457 $3,879,952 2 Neon
2 A Star is Born $890,000 -52% 810 -425 $1,099 $214,678,255 23 Warner Bros.
3 Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse $680,000 -68% 824 -1580 $825 $188,821,684 13 Sony / Columbia
4 Cold Pursuit $560,000 -66% 823 -942 $680 $31,161,970 5 Lionsgate / Summit
5 Bohemian Rhapsody $370,000 -62% 386 -453 $959 $215,228,036 19 20th Century Fox
6 Ralph Breaks the Internet $300,000 33% 209 5 $1,435 $200,557,283 16 Disney
7 The Favourite $270,000 -67% 278 -464 $971 $33,819,298 16 Fox Searchlight
8 Mary Poppins Returns $200,000 -6% 215 -30 $930 $171,503,260 12 Disney
9 Total Dhamaal $150,000 -66% 117 -92 $1,282 $2,014,552 3 FIP
10 The Prodigy $100,000 -76% 152 -381 $658 $14,636,953 5 Orion Pictures

https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-estimates-captain-marvel-mcu-domestic-global-higher-further-faster/

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

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4 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

A director's style also isn't just visual - it's also about directing actors, conveying story and themes, pacing etc  - otherwise they'd be cinematographers.

it was only an example

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lorddemaxus Global Phenomenon

lorddemaxus

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7 minutes ago, Avatree said:

none of the marvel films have any directorial style apart from guardians of the galaxy. all of the others are exactly the same.

Black Panther? Thor (dutch angles)? Thor: Ragnarok? Winter Soldier? Even Captain Marvel had some influence from the previous Boden and Fleck movies (but still not enough). People should really check out their other films (except for Its Kind of a Funny Story which is just terrible). Mississipi Grind has both the best Ben Mendelsohn and Ryan Reynolds performances. 

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thedast Cult Classic

thedast

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7 minutes ago, Avatree said:

none of the marvel films have any directorial style apart from guardians of the galaxy. all of the others are exactly the same.

You can't have watched all 20 of those movies and sincerely think this. Especially for Phase 3 movies.

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REC Indie Sensation

REC

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33 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Shazam gonna either breakout or Ant-Man numbers. I am leaning toward first.

I actually agree on a good chance to breakout.  Shazam may do better than Ant-Man for any number of reasons, including audiences needing a palette cleanser between more somber (appearing) movies like Cap Marvel and Endgame.  The timing may be just right for it.

 

Also, Aquaman may have generated some good will from audiences towards new DC movies (a righting of the ship if you will) and I'd argue that Shazam is slightly more recognizable of an idea/character/concept than Ant-Man.  Plus.... uh... Big was a breakout hit 30 years ago.

  :sarah:

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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

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Just now, REC said:

I actually agree on a good chance to breakout.  Shazam may do better than Ant-Man for any number of reasons, including audiences needing a palette cleanser between more somber (appearing) movies like Cap Marvel and Endgame.  The timing may be just right for it.

 

Also, Aquaman may have generated some good will from audiences towards new DC movies (a righting of the ship if you will) and I'd argue that Shazam is slightly more recognizable of an idea/character/concept than Ant-Man.  Plus.... uh... Big was a breakout hit 30 years ago.

  :sarah:

Just to be clear, I meant AM&TW.

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